NBA Predictions: Will Celtics and Bucks play low-scoring game? 4/3/18

Celtics vs. Bucks Pick

Are the Boston Celtics and host Milwaukee Bucks a good bet to keep it under the projected total tonight when they play at 8PM ET?

711 Boston Celtics at 712 Milwaukee Bucks, 8PM ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Bucks are a 2.5-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 206 points.

Bet NBA Action For Tuesday, April 3, 2018

LINE MOVEMENT

Milwaukee opened as a 4.5-point favorite before the spread dropped two points, while the total has gone down slightly from 206.5. The Bucks are at -3.5 at most books, but some have it at -3 and others at -2.5 or even -2 so make sure to shop around for the best line. The total is at 204.5 almost everywhere, but can be found up to 206.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of Tuesday afternoon, 60 percent of public bets are coming in on the visiting Celtics. Online wager info also shows that 55 percent of bets are being placed on the over.

INJURY TO WATCH

Boston point guard Terry Rozier (ankle) is probable to play tonight. Point guard Shane Larkin (illness) is out. Point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) is out until early May. Point guard Marcus Smart (thumb) is out until mid-May. Power forward Daniel Theis (knee) and small forward Gordon Hayward (ankle) are out for the season. For the Bucks, center Thon Maker (groin) is questionable. Shooting guard Malcolm Brogdon (quadricep) is out until late April, while point guard Matthew Dellavedova (ankle) is out indefinitely. 

BETTING STRATEGY

The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee. Boston broke a string of three straight unders with a 110-99 home victory over the Raptors last game. The Bucks have played three straight overs, the last two being a 124-122 overtime win at the Lakers and a 128-125 OT loss at the Nuggets. With the Celtics playing at a considerably slower pace, I'm going to say the score here comes crashing down to earth and the under hits. Try to shop around for this at 206 to get the best possible line.

NBA DAILY PREDICTION: CELTICS/BUCKS UNDER 206

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