Cubs vs. Phillies Sunday Prediction
Following back-to-back low-scoring games that cashed the under, will the Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies also play in a pitcher’s duel on Sunday when Jon Lester squares off against Aaron Nola?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, September 2, 2018
2:15 p.m. ET, Busch Stadium
TV: CIN (FSO); STL (FSMW)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Phillies as a -151 favorite. As of this writing, 71% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Cubs on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Cubs’ Lester takes no-decision versus Mets
Jon Lester allowed three earned runs over six innings Monday in a no-decision against the Mets. Chicago wound up prevailing 7-4, with the win going to reliever Steve Cishek. Lester wasn't at his best, yielding five hits and three walks, but he did hit a bases-loaded two-run single in the third inning and he also picked off a guy at first base -- rare occurrences for the veteran left-hander. He'll carry a 3.67 ERA into his next start on the road against the Phillies.
Phillies’ Nola allows two runs to Nationals in last start
Aaron Nola yielded two runs -- one earned -- in seven innings Tuesday in a no-decision against the Nationals. Nola allowed two runs or fewer for the 11th time in 12 starts (he gave up three runs in the other). The no-decision will hurt, but he has to be in the running for NL Pitcher of the Month honors after allowing five runs -- four earned -- in five starts.
MLB Betting Trends
The Cubs have won eight of Lester’s last nine road starts and are 55-25 in his last 80 starts overall.
The Phillies are 21-6 in Nola’s last 27 home starts and are 19-7 in his last 26 outings overall.
Nola has been lights out all season and while the Phillies’ offense is slumping, I still like Philadelphia to come through on Sunday. The Phillies are 9-2 in Nola’s last 11 starts coming off a team loss in their previous game and are 16-5 in his last 21 outings following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -151