Yankees vs. Orioles Game 1 Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles, 8/12/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Orioles and Yankees will play a double header on Monday, starting with a 1:05 p.m. ET matchup between Gabriel Ynoa and James Paxton. Is the over a safe bet in the first game of this double header?

Game Snapshot & Odds

955 Baltimore Orioles (+205) at 956 New York Yankees (-230); 8.5 runs

Monday, August 11, 2019

12:05 p.m. ET, Yankee Stadium, New York, NY

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 73% of the betting tickets are on the Yankees to beat the Orioles on the moneyline.

Baltimore Orioles Fantasy Spin

Jonathan Villar went 3-for-4 with two stolen bases and a run scored in Sunday's win over the Astros. Villar had three singles and a walk on the afternoon, and when he gets on base that often it's a good bet that the 28-year-old is going to put his wheels to use. He did so in both the sixth and eighth innings, singling and stealing second base each time. He's now got 26 steals on the year, behind only Adalberto Mondesi in the American League. With the good day, Villar's season line is up to .271/.336/.443 with 15 homers, 52 RBI, 78 runs scored and those 26 stolen bases.

New York Yankees Fantasy Spin

Gio Urshela went 2-for-4 with a double and a run scored in a win over the Blue Jays on Sunday. The Yankees had just five hits on the day, so it's par for the course that Urshela had two of them. The impressive 27-year-old also scored the only run of the afternoon when, after he led off the fifth inning with a double, he came home to score on a Brett Gardner ground-rule double. Along with being one of the game's best defensive third basemen, Urshela has really come into his own as an offensive player since joining the Yankees. This year, he's hitting .323/.368/.572 across 97 games.

MLB Betting Trends

Baltimore

The Orioles are 89-212 in their last 301 games overall.

New York

The Yankees have won 40 of their last 52 games at home.

Prediction:

The over is 42-10-1 in the last 53 meetings between these two teams and is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in the Bronx. The over has also cashed in 16 of the Yankees’ last 21 games overall and is 10-4 in their last 14 games versus American League East opponents. On the other side, the over is 5-1 in the Orioles’ last six road games and is 4-1-1 in their last six games overall.

The Pick: Orioles/Yankees OVER 8.5 (-115)

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