Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres, 8/12/2018 Prediction & Odds

Phillies vs. Padres Sunday Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres will play the rubber match of their weekend series at 3:40 p.m. ET on Sunday. Will the Phillies beat the Padres on the money line as a slight favorite?

Game Snapshot & Odds

959 Philadelphia Phillies (-120) at 960 San Diego Padres (+100); 7.5 runs

Sunday, August 12, 2018

3:40 p.m. ET, Petco Park

TV: PHI (NBCSP); SD (FSSD)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Phillies as a -120 favorite. As of this writing, 73% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Padres on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies’ Arrieta spins eight-inning gem in Arizona vs. D-Backs

Jake Arrieta fired eight scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Monday. It was a sweltering 111 degrees outside Chase Field at first pitch, but that extreme heat seems mild in comparison to the blistering performance of Arrieta in this one. The 32-year-old righty only struck out four batters, but he scattered three hits and a pair of walks over eight shutout frames. He departed in line for the win, but had to settle for a no-decision after the Phillies bullpen failed to slam the door in the ninth. After a rocky start to his Philadelphia tenure, he has now allowed three runs or less in eight of his last nine starts dating back to June 20. He’s 9-6 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 91/40 K/BB ratio in 22 starts.

Padres’ Lucchesi fans nine in no-decision vs. Cubs

Joey Lucchesi held the Cubs to three runs -- two earned -- over 5 2/3 innings Sunday in a no-decision. San Diego wound up winning the game 10-6, but it was tied when Lucchesi departed. The rookie left-hander struck out nine batters and didn't issue a walk, showing no ill effects from the stomach bug that pushed his turn in the rotation back one day. Lucchesi boasts a 3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 87/28 K/BB ratio through his first 82 2/3 major league frames. He'll get the Phillies at home next.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies have won six of their last seven games versus a team with a winning percentage that is below .400.

San Diego

The Padres are just 5-14 in their last 19 games versus a right-handed starter.

Prediction:

The Phillies have won six of Arrieta’s last seven starts, are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and have won five of their last six games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. On the other side, the Padres are just 4-17 in their last 21 home games, are 1-4 in Lucchesi’s last five home starts and are 1-9 in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning record.

 

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -120