Padres vs. Cubs Sunday Prediction

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs, 8/5/2018 Prediction & Odds

The San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs wrap up their four-game series on Sunday at 2:20 p.m. ET. Will the two teams combine for enough runs to push the score over the betting total?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 San Diego Padres (+170) at 912 Chicago Cubs (-200)

Sunday, August 5, 2018

2:20 p.m. ET, Wrigley Field

TV: SD (FSSD); CHC (WGN)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Cubs as a -200 favorite. As of this writing, 77% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to beat the Padres on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Padres' Lucchesi allows five runs in loss to Diamondbacks

Joey Lucchesi allowed five earned runs over 4 1/3 innings Sunday in a loss to the Diamondbacks. Paul Goldschmidt launched a two-run homer in the top of the first inning and A.J. Pollock and Nick Ahmed both went yard in the top of the fourth. Lucchesi gave up six total hits and three walks, falling to 5-6 on the season with his ERA rising to 3.74.

Cubs' Lester labors through five vs. Pirates

Jon Lester scuffled through five innings Tuesday in Pittsburgh, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in a loss to the Pirates. David Freese was Lester’s nemesis with a pair of RBI doubles and he also served up a two-run home run to Francisco Cervelli. Lester needed 101 pitches to get through his five innings. It’s the fifth time in his last six starts and already the 12th time this season that Lester has walked three-plus batters in a game. The veteran left-hander’s walks continue to rise and his velocity continues to drop, which obviously isn’t a good combo.

MLB Betting Trends

San Diego

The Padres are 2-6 in Lucchesi's last eight starts.

Chicago

The Cubs have won 52 of Lester's last 75 starts.

Prediction:

The under is 4-1 in Lucchesi's last five road starts, is 4-1 in his last five outings overall, and is 4-1-1 in the Padres' last five games. On the other side, the under is 5-2 in Lester's last seven starts versus National League West opponents, is 5-2 in his last seven outings coming off four days of rest, and is 6-2 in the Cubs' last seven home games. Finally, the under is 8-2 in Angel Hernandez's last 10 games behind home plate when the game is played on Sunday.

 

The Pick: Padres/Cubs under

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