Padres vs. Dodgers Friday Prediction
The Dodgers’ bats were quiet early last night but struck late in an 8-2 win over the Padres in Game 1 of their four-game set versus San Diego. Even with a rookie set to make his debut tonight, are the Dodgers still a sound moneyline play?
Game Snapshot & Odds
907 San Diego Padres (+140) at 908 Los Angeles Dodgers (-161); 8.5 runs
Friday, August 2, 2019
10:10 p.m. ET, Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 74% of the betting tickets are on the Dodgers to beat the Padres on the moneyline.
San Diego Padres Fantasy Spin
Hunter Renfroe hit his 30th home run of the season in Thursday's loss to the Dodgers. Renfroe turned on a Clayton Kershaw offering in the second inning, lining it inside the left field foul pole for his 30th dinger of the year. It marks the first time in more than two decades that a Padres outfielder has hit 30 or more homers in a season, as the last one to do it was Greg Vaughn, who hit 50 homers in 1998 for the San Diego club. Renfroe has come close before, bashing 26 in each of the past two seasons in less than a full slate of games, so it's no surprise that he was the one who finally broke through. The 27-year-old has always had prodigious power and will get to continue to show it off in the Padres outfield for at least the rest of the season after the club held onto him through Wednesday's trade deadline. Renfroe is hitting .237/.297/.566 with 30 homers, 59 RBI, 49 runs scored and four steals in 100 games to date.
Los Angeles Dodgers Fantasy Spin
Will Smith went 2-for-4 with a grand slam as the Dodgers cruised past the Padres 8-2 on Thursday. With the bases loaded and two outs in the sixth inning, Padres manager Andy Green took the ball from starter Joey Lucchesi and turned it over to reliever Trey Wingenter to face Smith. That move proved disastrous for the Friars, as the 24-year-old backstop sailed a home run over the wall in center field to break the game open. Smith has had some magic through his first few weeks in the majors, swatting six homers and hitting .349/.396/.884 in 14 games spanning a few different stints with the big club. With Austin Barnes now at Triple-A, Smith is the man post-dish in LA and should be owned everywhere in mixed leagues for his offensive upside and hot bat.
MLB Betting Trends
The Padres have dropped 13 of their last 18 games overall and six of their last eight on the road.
The Dodgers have now won six of their last seven games when facing a team with a losing record and are 40-13 in their last 53 home games.
Dustin May will make his debut tonight and the 21-year-old has been as good as advertised this season, posting a 3.38 ERA in 20 starts between Double-A Tulsa and Triple-A Oklahoma City. While they’re just 1-4 against the Padres when Eric Lauer starts, I’m going to roll the dice on the Dodgers despite starting the rookie. L.A. is 51-21 in its last 72 games versus National League West rivals and is 23-11 in its last 34 games after scoring five runs or more in its previous contest. Plus, while the Padres have had success with Lauer when facing the Dodgers, they’re just 2-5 in his last seven starts overall and 1-4 in his last five outings on the road.
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+110)