Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds, 7/29/2018 Prediction & Odds

Phillies vs. Reds Sunday Prediction

Has the betting total for Sunday's Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds matchup been set too high by oddsmakers? The two teams will conclude their weekend series at 1:10 p.m. ET today.

Game Snapshot & Odds

951 Philadelphia Phillies (-105) at 952 Cincinnati Reds (-115); 9.5 runs

Sunday, July 29, 2018

1:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ball Park

TV: PHI (NBCSP); CIN (FSO)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Reds as a -115 favorite. As of this writing, 68% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Reds to beat the Phillies on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Eflin rocked by Dodgers in return from disabled list

Zach Eflin surrendered three runs on five hits over 2 2/3 innings of work in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Monday. Eflin served up back-to-back home runs to Max Muncy and Yasmani Grandal in the first inning and surrendered another solo shot to Chris Taylor in the second. He was lifted after loading the bases with two outs in the third. He struggled mightily with command, walking three batters and throwing just 40 of 75 pitches for strikes. Eflin had been out since July 9 with a blister issue and drew a tough assignment against a loaded Dodgers lineup in his first start off the disabled list. Despite the shaky performance, he hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a start since May 30. He’s a risky streaming option in a road start against the Reds this weekend.

Reds' Castillo takes no-decision in last start vs. Cardinals

Luis Castillo worked 5 1/3 innings of one-run ball Monday in a no-decision versus the Cardinals. Cincinnati went on to win the game via a walk-off RBI single by Dilson Herrera in the bottom of the ninth. Castillo scattered four hits and a walk while striking out five. It's been a very up-and-down season for the talented 25-year-old right-hander, who stands 5-8 with a 5.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 101/36 K/BB ratio in 108 2/3 innings. He'll get the Phillies next.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies are 6-2 in Eflin's last eight starts.

Cincinnati

The Reds have won six of Castillo's last seven home starts and are 5-1 in his last six outings overall.

Prediction:

Nick Mahrley has been one of the better 'under' umpires of late, cashign the under in nine of his last 12 games behind the dish with one push. The under is also 4-1 in Mahrley's last five Sunday games behind home plate. Meanwhile, the under is 6-2 in Eflin's last eight starts, is 4-1 in his last five outings coming off five days of rest, and is 33-15-4 in the Phillies' last 52 games coming off a loss.

 

The Pick: Phillies/Reds under 9