Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
The Atlanta Braves put up another lopsided win over the Philadelphia Phillies when the two NL foes met up on Saturday. Will the Braves finish off the series with another dominant win today at 1:05PM ET?
901 Atlanta Braves vs. 902 Philadelphia Phillies
Sunday, July 28, 2019
1:05PM ET – Citizens Bank Park
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Phillies are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -135 to win. The Braves are listed with odds of +115 to win, while the over/under total for the contest is set at 9.5 runs. The public betting for the contest currently has 54 percent going on the Braves on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
After a 9-2 win on Friday night, the Braves earned a 15-7 victory over the Phillies on Saturday night. The Braves are 62-43 overall, 32-20 on the road and 52-48 with the over. Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Braves this afternoon. He is 3-5 on the year with a 5.71 ERA.
The Braves put up 13 runs over the first four innings on Saturday’s game to completely blow out the Phillies. They had four home runs and 16 hits in the victory. Ronald Acuna Jr. connected on his 25th home run of the season and finished with two hits and three RBI. Ozzie Albies drove in four runs in the win while Ender Inciarte had three RBI. Max Fried picked up the win on the mound. He threw 5.1 innings and allowed four earned runs on seven hits. He is now 11-4 on the year.
Phillies look to get on track
Philadelphia has been heavily outclassed in this weekend series at home, being outscored by 15 runs in two games. Philly is 54-50 on the season, 30-23 at home and 53-48 with the under. Aaron Nola gets the start this afternoon for the Phillies. He is 8-2 on the year with a 3.64 ERA.
The Philly pitching didn’t hold up on Saturday, as Zach Eflin gave up 10 runs over 2.2 innings to take the loss. He is 7-11 on the year. Ranger Suarez then gave up another four runs over 2.1 innings of work. Philly finished with 12 hits at the plate. Sean Rodriguez had three hits, two RBI and three runs in the loss while J.T. Realmuto and Andrew Knapp each had two RBI.
MLB Betting Trends
The Braves are 37-14 in their last 51 Sunday games and 6-2 in their last eight road games.
The Phillies are 27-11 in Nola’s last 38 home starts, but just 3-8 in their last 11 games against a winning team.
The Phillies need a boost right now and Nola is the kind of guy that can give it to them. He has pitched really well in the last month, including eight scoreless in Atlanta on July 2. However, Atlanta is clearly in a good groove this weekend and Gausman is coming off arguably his best start of the year. While I don’t think he is going to lock down the Phillies, I do think Atlanta is going to continue to hit the ball. If not off Nola, then off the Philly bullpen. I am going to ride the hot team as the underdog given how one-sided this series has been.
MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves +115