Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox, 7/12/2018 Prediction & Odds

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Thursday Pick

Will the over cash when American League East rivals clash at Fenway Park on Thursday night as the Boston Red Sox host Toronto Blue Jays at 7:10 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

961 Toronto Blue Jays (+158) at 962 Boston Red Sox (-168); 9 runs

Thursday, July 12, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park

TV: TOR (SNET); BOS (NESN)

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Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Red Sox as a -168 favorite. As of this writing, 75% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Red Sox to beat the Blue Jays on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Yankees touch up Happ for six runs in his last start

J.A. Happ was rocked for six runs on four hits over 2 2/3 innings in Saturday's loss to the Yankees. Happ surrendered back-to-back solo home runs to Brett Gardner and Aaron Judge to open the top of the first, with Brandon Drury later hitting a two-run double off the southpaw before he was finally able to extricate himself from the inning. Control proved threadbare for Happ throughout his short outing, as he walked a whopping six batters on the afternoon. He finished his day's work having thrown just 47-of-84 pitches for strikes. Not the best of impressions made, here, given that the Yankees were linked to Happ in trade rumor earlier this week. He will try for better times next time out, when he brings his 4.44 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 115/34 K/BB ratio (105 1/3 innings) to bear against a just-as-brutal Red Sox lineup at Fenway.

Red Sox' Price can't get through five against the Royals

David Price allowed four runs on six hits and a walk -- also hitting three batters -- over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision Saturday against the Royals. Price did strike out nine in the effort, showing he wasn't all bad, but the Royals got to him for runs in the second, third and fifth innings before he exited. The most noteworthy part of his evening was that fateful fifth inning, in which he hit Mike Moustakas, Salvador Perez and, two batters later, Lucas Duda, something he'd never done in a game, let alone one inning. Paired with a disappointing turn his last time out, Price has seen his ERA rise from 3.66 to 4.44 in the span of two starts. He'll make one more start before the All-Star break offers a few days of relief, with that start expected to come next week against the Blue Jays.

MLB Betting Trends

Toronto

The Blue Jays are 4-1 in Happ's last five road starts versus the Red Sox and 6-2 in his last eight outings versus Boston overall.

Boston

The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 games versus the Blue Jays and are 4-0 in their last four games played at Fenway Park.

Prediction:

Happ got torched by the Yankees last week at home and even though he's had some success against the Red Sox in recent starts, this Boston lineup is just as potent as that New York offense. The over is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams at Fenway, is 6-1-1 in Happ's last eight road starts, and is 4-0 in his last four starts overall.

 

The Pick: Blue Jays/Red Sox over 9