Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants, 7/11/2018 Prediction & Odds

Cubs vs. Giants Wednesday Prediction

The Chicago Cubs and San Francisco Giants wrap up their series at AT&T Park on Wednesday afternoon at 3:45 p.m. ET. Will the Giants pull off the small upset at home?

Game Snapshot & Odds

903 Chicago Cubs (-120) at 904 San Francisco Giants (+110); 8.5 runs

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

3:45 p.m. ET, AT&T Park

TV: CHC (CSNC); SF (NBCSBA)

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Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Cubs as a -120 favorite. As of this writing, 64% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to beat the Giants on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Cubs' Montgomery allows three runs in loss to Reds

Mike Montgomery allowed three runs over five innings in a loss to the Cubs on Friday. Montgomery wasn't bad, but with Tyler Mahle hurling one of his better games, it wasn't enough. He allowed six hits, and he walked two while striking out two. The three runs up his ERA to 3.68 on the year. He'll attempt to get back on the winning track on Wednesday when he faces the Giants.

Giants' Cueto allows 10 hits, five earned runs in return from DL

Making his first start since April 28, Johnny Cueto was knocked around for five runs on 10 hits over five innings in Thursday's 11-2 loss to the Cardinals.

A sprained right elbow had kept Cueto sidelined since the end of April. The long layoff showed for the veteran hurler, who was knocked for four runs in the first inning in his return from the disabled list on Thursday. Three of those runs touched home courtesy of a homer by Jedd Gyorko. Matt Carpenter would take him deep, too, striking for a solo shot one inning later.

Cueto finished his outing having thrown 76 pitches (51 strikes) over his five innings of work, with a fastball clocked in the range of 85-88 mph. That's noticeably slow and something to keep an eye on in his next outing, a scheduled home start against the Cubs. Cueto had been pitching to a sterling 0.84 ERA across five starts prior to having his season stalled by the injury concern just over two months ago.

MLB Betting Trends

Chicago

The Cubs are 5-1 in Montgomery's last six starts versus the National League West and are 6-2 in his last eight road outings.

San Francisco

The Giants are just 4-10 in their last 14 games when facing a left-handed starter.

Prediction:

Cueto was scheduled to start on Tuesday night but was moved back a day so now he'll face Montgomery instead of Jose Quintana. Despite his rough outing against the Cardinals, the Giants are 7-2 in Cueto's last nine starts and 4-1 in his last five home outings. The Cubs have had trouble winning on the road of late and against right-handers, as they're 1-6 in their last seven road games versus righties. I'm going to take a shot here on the dog.  

 

The Pick: San Francisco Giants +110