Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Can the Philadelphia Phillies go on the road and pick up a needed win over the New York Mets tonight at 7:10PM ET?
953 Philadelphia Phillies vs. 954 New York Mets
Friday, July 5, 2019
7:10PM ET – Citi Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Mets are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -180 to win. The Phillies are listed with a money line of +160 to win, while the over/under total is listed at 8.5 runs. The public betting for the contest currently has 61 percent going on the Mets as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Phillies in a small funk
Philly has lost four of its last six games coming into the weekend, losing two straight to the Braves over the last two days. The Phillies are 45-42 overall, 18-25 on the road and 44-40 with the under. Vince Velasquez gets the start for Philadelphia tonight. He is 2-5 on the season with a 4.73 ERA.
Philadelphia is putting up 4.85 runs per game this season while hitting .244 at the plate. On the mound, the Phillies have a 4.69 team ERA and a 1.40 team WHIP. Bryce Harper is leading the team this season with 23 doubles, 16 home runs and 61 RBI while Rhys Hoskins has 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 56 RBI.
Mets end brief win streak
New York had a brief two-game win streak come to an end on Wednesday in a 5-1 loss to the Yankees at home. The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 overall. New York is now 39-48 overall, 22-17 at home and 44-33 with the over. The Mets have Jacob deGrom on the mound today. He is 4-7 on the season with a 3.32 ERA.
The Mets are putting up 4.70 runs per game at the plate while hitting .255 as a team. On the mound, New York has a 4.80 team ERA with a 1.38 team WHIP. Pete Alonso is having a great season to lead the team. He has 20 doubles, 28 home runs and 64 RBI. Michael Conforto is adding 16 doubles, 16 home runs and 43 RBI.
MLB Betting Trends
The Phillies are just 2-8 in their last 10 road games and 2-5 in their last seven series openers.
The Mets are 1-8 in their last nine series openers and 1-6 in their last seven games following a loss.
The Phillies have had the Mets number for most of the year, winning five straight meetings. The Mets hope to buck that trend with deGrom on the mound. This hasn’t been his best year thus far, but he still is very competitive on the mound with limited walks and a lot of innings logged. Velasquez has limited starts and his extended outings have been pretty shaky. He has given up nine runs over his last 11.2 innings and the Phillies have lost his last six appearances. I just can’t see him keeping pace with an ace like deGrom, especially in New York.
MLB Prediction: New York Mets -180