Phillies vs. Braves Prediction
Can the Atlanta Braves follow up an impressive win on Wednesday night with another win over the Philadelphia Phillies this evening at 7:20PM ET?
907 Philadelphia Phillies vs. 908 Atlanta Braves
Thursday, July 4, 2019
7:20PM ET – Sun Trust Park
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Braves are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -165 to win. The Phillies are listed with a money line of +135 to win, while the over/under total has been set at 10.5 runs. The public betting for the contest currently has 78 percent going on the Braves at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Phillies get beat up
Philadelphia suffered its first loss of the series on Wednesday, losing 9-2 to the Braves. Philly is 45-41 on the season, 18-24 on the road and 43-40 with the under. The Phillies have Zach Eflin getting the start tonight. He is 7-7 on the season with the 3.34 ERA.
The Phillies were held to just two runs on six hits Wednesday night. Bryce Harper had his 16th home run in the loss, driving in his 60th run of the year. J.T. Realmuto had two hits and drove in the other run. Nick Pivetta took the loss on the mound to fall to 4-3 on the season. He gave up five earned runs on five hits over 5.2 innings.
Braves stop skid
Atlanta put an end to its brief two-game losing streak on Wednesday night thanks to the 9-2 victory over Philly. The Braves are now 51-36 on the season, 25-18 at home and 46-37 with the over. Mike Soroka is getting the start for the Braves this evening. He is 9-1 on the season with a 2.13 ERA.
Bryse Wilson pitched six innings and allowed two run to get his first win of the year. He gave up five hits and had five strikeouts. The Braved had three home runs in the win. Matt Joyce had a two-run shot while Josh Donaldson and Austin Riley each had three-run shots. Donaldson has 16 home runs on the year while Riley has 15.
MLB Betting Trends
The Phillies are 2-7 in their last nine road games and 1-6 in their last seven road games against a right-handed starter.
The Braves are 18-7 in their last 25 games overall and 11-3 in their last 14 home games.
Soroka is having a great year for Atlanta and the Braves have won eight of his last nine starts. Eflin has given up at least three runs in his last three starts and the Phillies are just 2-6 in his last eight starts. Being on the road, Philly doesn’t have as strong of hitting as Atlanta and the Braves look to have the better starter.
MLB Prediction: Atlanta Braves -165