Cardinals vs. Braves Wednesday Pick
The Cardinals poured on the runs last night in a 14-3 rout of the Braves. Will Atlanta even its series with St. Louis when the two teams meet at SunTrust Park again at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Game Snapshot & Odds
909 St. Louis Cardinals (+115) at 910 Atlanta Braves (-135); 9.5 runs
Wednesday, May 15, 2019
7:20 p.m. ET, SunTrust Park, Atlanta, GA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 59% of the betting tickets are on the Braves to beat the Cardinals on the moneyline.
St. Louis Cardinals Fantasy Spin
Dexter Fowler belted a solo home run, reached base four times and scored three runs Tuesday in the Cardinals' blowout win over the Braves. Fowler hit one of the Cards' four bombs on the night, a no-doubt shot off of Mike Foltynewicz to lead off the fourth inning. He also singled and drew a pair of walks. Fowler dealt with an illness earlier this month and had been struggling since returning to the lineup, but he certainly looked to get back on track in this one. St. Louis hasn't indicated that they might move the struggling Matt Carpenter out of the leadoff spot, but it might not be a bad idea to flip-flop him and Fowler for a while.
Atlanta Braves Fantasy Spin
Ozzie Albies went 0-for-4 with a strikeout in Tuesday's loss to the Cardinals. The Braves managed just three hits in this one, and two of them came from players that didn't start the game. Albies closed April on a tear but has fallen into a bad slump lately. After homering and driving in five runs on May 4, he has since gone 6-for-38 (.158) with a 10/1 K/BB ratio. Albies also batted sixth for the third time in the last four games
MLB Betting Trends
St. Louis
The Cardinals have won four of Michael Wacha’s last five starts and are 16-5 in his last 21 outings when he pitches the second game of a series.
Atlanta
The Braves have lost eight of their last 11 games at home.
Prediction:
As you can see in the trends section above, the Cardinals have been profitable when Wacha starts while the Braves have struggled at home of late. Still, I like Atlanta to rebound tonight. The Braves are 6-2 in Mike Soroka’s last eight starts and have won seven of their last 10 games versus a right-handed starter. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are just 3-9 in their last 12 games overall and are 1-4 in their last five road contests despite winning last night in Atlanta. This Cards’ offense is streaky and after they put up 14 runs last night, I wouldn’t be shocked if they struggled tonight.
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -135