Twins vs. Yankees Sunday Prediction

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees, 5/5/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Twins and Yankees split the first two games of their series and will play the rubber match on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Will the Yankees beat their former teammate when Michael Pineda takes the hill for the Twins?

Game Snapshot & Odds

917 Minnesota Twins (+123) at 918 New York Yankees (-133); 8.5 runs

Sunday, May 5, 2019

4:05 p.m. ET, Yankee Stadium, New York, NY

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 73% of the betting tickets are on the Yankees to beat the Twins on the money line.

Minnesota Twins Fantasy Spin

Mitch Garver went 3-for-5 and drilled a two-run homer during Saturday's 7-3 triumph over the Yankees. He opened the scoring by launching the bomb off J.A. Happ with Jonathan Schoop along for the ride in the third inning. The ball was nearly caught by Cameron Maybin but settled into the first row of seats for Garver's sixth longball of the season. The catcher is slashing .333/.387/.719 with 12 RBI in 62 plate appearances. His hot bat will surely lead to an increasing share of playing time behind the plate at the expense of Jason Castro.

New York Yankees Fantasy Spin

Gary Sanchez went 1-for-2 with a home run and two walks in a loss to the Twins on Saturday. He blasted a long solo tater off reliever Blake Parker in the eighth inning. He has a remarkable 11 longballs in just 79 plate appearances this year. He's hit five home runs in his last six games.

MLB Betting Trends

Minnesota

The Twins have won seven of their last nine games overall.

New York

The Yankees are 10-4 in their last 14 games despite losing last night.

Prediction:

I thought the Yankees would be more expensive with Domingo German on the hill, but I’ll take the Bombers at what feels like a small discount. German has a 4.76 ERA but his 3.72 SIERA points to positive regression coming for the youngster. He has an elite swinging strike rate of 14.5% and if he can limit the hard contact (35.9% hard-hit rate isn’t good), then I see the Yankees picking up a win. Pineda owns an elite walk rate of just 4.8% but he too is giving up a lot of hard contact (45.4%) and isn’t striking out batters at the same rate that German has (17.5%). Thus, if German gets into a jam today, he has the ability to get out of trouble with strikeouts, while Pineda will have issues if the ball is put into play a lot.

The Pick: New York Yankees -133

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