Nationals vs. Phillies Saturday Prediction
The Phillies picked up a win over the Nationals on Friday night thanks to a huge late-inning home run by Rhys Hoskins. After the under cashed for bettors last night, should they go back to the well tonight when these teams meet again at 7:05 p.m. ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
955 Washington Nationals (+109) at 956 Philadelphia Phillies (-156); 8 runs
Saturday, May 4, 2019
7:05 p.m. ET, Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 77% of the betting tickets are on the Phillies to beat the Nationals on the money line.
Washington Nationals Fantasy Spin
Kurt Suzuki went 2-fof-4 with a solo homer — his third homer of the season — in Friday’s loss to the Phillies. This was his 13th start behind the plate this season compared to 19 starts for Yan Gomes. Suzuki has had some relevancy in two-catcher mixed formats over the past couple of seasons, but it could be tough for him to get there this year uniess there’s an injury.
Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin
Jean Segura went 2-for-4 with a solo homer and two runs scored Friday against the Nationals. Segura hit his second homer of the year with his first-inning blast against Jeremy Hellickson. While we haven’t seen much in the way of power or speed (one stolen base) so far, Segura is batting .345/.396/.536 over 21 games. Hitting near the top of the Phillies’ lineup, he’s also scored 17 runs.
MLB Betting Trends
The Nationals have lost four of their last five overall and five of their last seven on the road.
The Phillies are 5-1 in their last six games overall and are 5-1 in their last six home games.
The Cardinals eventually got to Corbin in his last start but he has been outstanding this season, posting a 3.22 ERA and a 3.01 SIERA to go along with an elite strikeout rate and a strong walk rate of 6.1%. On the other side, Jake Arrieta hasn’t been as good as his 3.87 ERA would indicate (he owns a 4.38 SIERA to go along with middling strikeout and walk rates), but he does an excellent job of inducing groundballs, which is crucial when making starts at Citizens Bank Park. Corbin should be able to pitch deep into today’s game and help avoid exposing too much of Washington’s struggling bullpen. Plus, with several players out of the Nationals’ lineup, I like Arrieta and the Phillies’ strong pen to keep Washington’s offense in check again tonight.
The Pick: Nationals/Phillies UNDER 8