Mets vs. Brewers Prediction
The New York Mets have not scored more than one run in any of their last three games. Will their offensive woes lead to the under hitting tonight at the Milwaukee Brewers?
Saturday, May 4, 2019
Miller Park at 7:10PM ET
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Brewers are a -118 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Mets are a +108 underdog, while the over-under is set at 9 runs. As of Saturday afternoon, 66 percent of public bets are siding with host Milwaukee. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for up-to-date information.
Mets' offense sputters again
New York lost by a count of 3-1 Friday night at Milwaukee to drop to 16-16 overall and 9-8 on the road. The Mets took a 1-0 lead in the top of the first on a Wilson Ramos RBI single, but surrendered one run in the bottom half of the frame and then the tie-breaking runs in the fifth inning. Steven Matz took the loss as he surrendered three earned runs on nine hits with three strikeouts and one walk over 5 2/3 innings. Michael Conforto went 2-for-4 with a double, while Ramos finished 1-for-3 with a walk plus the RBI. Robinson Cano finished 0-for-3, but drew a walk and scored the lone run. Zack Wheeler draws the start for New York tonight as he comes in with a 2-2 record, 5.05 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with 37 strikeouts over 35 2/3 innings.
Braun powers Brewers to win
Ryan Braun broke a 1-1 tie in the bottom of the fifth inning Friday night as his two-run homer lifted Milwaukee to a 3-1 home victory over New York. Braun was 3-for-4 in the winning effort to pace the offense. Hernan Perez went 3-for-4 with a double, while Mike Moustakas was 2-for-4 with a double. Lorenzo Cain hit a solo home run in four at-bats. Brandon Woodruff earned the win on the mound as he gave up one earned run on six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks over five innings. Josh Hader picked up the save as he allowed one hit with five strikeouts and one walk over two innings. Gio Gonzalez will make his second start of the season tonight after allowing two earned runs on six hits with two strikeouts and one walk over five innings in a 5-2 loss at this same Mets team on April 28.
MLB Betting Trends
The under is 4-0 in the last four Mets games. The under is 4-1-1 in the last six New York games versus a team with a winning record.
The under is 8-3 in the last 11 Saturday games. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 Milwaukee home games.
New York's offense has been brutal lately, but this is a good chance to bust out. The Mets are in a hitter's park and Hader will be unavailable today, plus they are very familiar with Gonzalez after seeing him only last week. Conversely, Wheeler has been inconsistent so far this season and Milwaukee should be able to touch him up for some runs with or without Christian Yelich. Obviously, if Yelich plays tonight that would be a huge boost. I'm going with the over in this one.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: NEW YORK METS/MILWAUKEE BREWERS OVER 9