Dodgers vs. Padres Saturday Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres, 5/4/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Padres generated three runs off Clayton Kershaw on Friday night, but their bullpen couldn’t hold a small lead in a 4-3 loss to the Dodgers. Will Saturday night’s matchup between these NL West rivals also fall under the total?

Game Snapshot & Odds

963 Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) at 964 San Diego Padres (+105); 7.5 runs

Saturday, May 3, 2019

8:40 p.m. ET, Petco Park, San Diego, CA

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 58% of the betting tickets are on the Dodgers to beat the Padres on the money line.

Los Angeles Dodgers Fantasy Spin

Chris Taylor went 2-for-4 with a solo homer to lead the Dodgers to a 4-3 win over the Padres on Friday. Taylor got the Dodgers on the board by taking Padres’ starter Eric Lauer deep in the fifth inning. He also singled in the eighth inning to record his third multi-hit effort of the season. The 28-year-old utility specialist has gotten off to an ice-cold start at the plate, hitting .179/.261/.295 with five runs scored, 10 RBI and a pair of stolen bases across 88 plate appearances.

San Diego Padres Fantasy Spin

Manny Machado launched a two-run homer in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Friday. Machado opened up the scoring with a titanic 437-foot blast -- his sixth round-tripper of the season -- to left field off Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw in the first inning. It was his lone hit in four at-bats in this one. The 26-year-old shortstop has gotten off to a slow start in San Diego, hitting .235/.316/.412 with 18 runs scored, 16 RBI and one steal in 133 plate appearances. It's too early to be concerned about Machado, but he hasn't lived up to the early-round price tag in fantasy drafts this spring.

MLB Betting Trends

Los Angeles

The Dodgers are 8-1 in Rich Hill’s last nine starts.

San Diego

The Padres are 4-1 in Joey Lucchesi’s last five home starts.

Prediction:

The under is now a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams at Petco Park, is 5-2 in Lucchesi’s last seven starts overall and is 13-6 in the Dodgers’ last 19 games. Hill is coming off a rough start against the Pirates last Sunday but has excellent strikeout, walk and swinging strike rates, while Lucchesi’s 3.68 SIERA is better than his 4.25 ERA, which indicates positive regression is coming. He too has an excellent strikeout rate of 26.1% and does a great job of also producing ground balls 45.6%.

The Pick: Dodgers/Padres UNDER 7.5

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