New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies, 4/16/2019 Predictions & Odds

Mets vs. Phillies Tuesday Prediction

In what was supposed to be a pitcher’s duel between Noah Syndergaard and Aaron Nola, the Mets and Phillies combined to score 13 runs last night in Philadelphia. Will Tuesday night also produce enough offensive fireworks for bettors looking to play the over?

Game Snapshot & Odds

951 New York Mets (+100) at 952 Philadelphia Phillies (-120); 9 runs

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

7:05 p.m. ET, Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 57% of the betting tickets are on the Phillies to beat the New York Mets on the moneyline.

New York Mets Fantasy Spin

Brandon Nimmo homered and walked three times Monday as the Mets edged the Phillies 7-6 in 11 innings. Nimmo started the season 3-for-26 with 17 strikeouts, but he's gotten it going again this last week, collecting 11 hits in 28 at-bats with three homers and three doubles in his last eight games. With little steal ability and a history of modest batting averages, he's not going to be a great fantasy outfielder. He should be an asset atop the Mets' lineup, though.

Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin

Maikel Franco went 2-for-5 and hit a two-run homer Monday against the Mets. Franco also scalded a ball that turned into a double play. Franco has five homers and five strikeouts in 60 plate appearances this year. He's doing so well that the Phillies have the tough call on whether to move him up in the order to take advantage of his success or to leave him in the eighth spot in which he's seeing more pitches and seems to be thriving as a result.

MLB Betting Trends

New York

The Mets have beaten the Phillies 37 times in their last 54 games played at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia

The Phillies are now 33-67 in their last 100 meetings with the Mets.

Prediction:

Philadelphia starter Nick Pivetta has been excellent against right-handed hitters but has struggled with lefties. That sets up well for the Mets, as Brandon Nimmo, Robinson Cano, Michael Conforto and Jeff McNeil all bat from the left side and mash right-handed pitching. On the other side, Steven Matz has allowed a 38% hard contact rate and a 1.65 HR/9 to right-handed hitters. Jean Segura, Andrew McCutchen, Rhys Hoskins and J.T. Realmuto all bat from the right side and hit left-handed pitching well. Throw in the fact that Citizens Bank Park is usually a good place for hitters and the over is the play tonight again in Philly.

The Pick: Mets/Phillies OVER 9