Orioles vs. Red Sox Sunday Prediction
The Orioles and Red Sox slugged their way to a combined 14 runs on Saturday. With David Price on the hill for Boston, should bettors be weary of going back to the well with the over on Sunday when these division rivals wrap up their series?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, April 14, 2019
1:05 p.m. ET, Fenway Park, Boston, MA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 67% of the betting tickets are on the Red Sox to beat the Orioles on the moneyline.
Baltimore Orioles Fantasy Spin
Chris Davis finally snapped his historic 0-for-54 streak by going 3-for-5 with four RBI on Saturday against the Red Sox. It finally came to a close when Davis laced a single into right field against Rick Porcello in the first inning to drive in two runs. His teammates celebrated in the dugout and Davis had enough of a sense of humor to ask for the ball. May we all have the ability to handle a tough time in such a manner. Davis would add a pair of doubles before the afternoon was through. It was his first game with three-plus hits and four-plus RBIs since May 16, 2017. Good for him.
Boston Red Sox Fantasy Spin
Christian Vazquez homered and knocked in a career-high four runs Saturday against the Orioles. Vazquez provided most of the offense for Boston in the loss. He went 2-for-4 on the afternoon, including a two-run homer in the third and a two-run double in the seventh. After posting a weak .540 OPS over 80 games last season, he’s batting .229/.270/.486 with two homers and six RBI over 11 games to begin the 2019 campaign. He’s just not a fantasy option.
MLB Betting Trends
Despite winning yesterday at Fenway, the Orioles are just 6-20 in their last 26 games versus the Red Sox and are 3-9 in their last 12 contests in Boston.
The Red Sox are a perfect 7-0 in Price’s last seven starts against the Orioles.
I wouldn’t shy away from the over despite Price toeing the rubber for Boston. This Red Sox offense is loaded with right-handed power that eats lefty pitching alive. Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez own a .300+ ISO against left-handers, which is bad news for Baltimore starter John Means. Boston was five-for-11 with a home run and four runs scored off Means a year ago when he pitched out of the bullpen. Circling back to Price, no, the Orioles don’t have the most potent offense. But they do hit lefties pretty well and Price has surrendered four runs in each of his first two starts. Davis and Trey Mancini both have a pair of home runs off Price, who isn’t invincible, even against a poor-hitting Baltimore team.
The Pick: Orioles/Red Sox OVER 10