Astros vs. Rays Saturday Prediction
The Astros and Rays split the first two games of their weekend series in Tampa and will clash again Saturday evening at 6:10 p.m. ET. Should bettors expect another low-scoring affair between these two teams?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, March 30, 2019
6:10 p.m. ET, Tropicana Field, Tampa, FL
TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest-Plus (Astros); FS Sun (Rays)
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Astros as a -125 favorite over the Rays, who are +104 money line underdogs to pull off the upset. As of this writing, 74% of betting tickets are on the Astros to win outright.
This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Houston Astros Fantasy Spin
Collin McHugh was lit up for six runs in 2 2/3 innings by the Marlins on Thursday. It's a good thing for McHugh that he's not having to compete for a rotation spot this year after missing out on one last season and spending the year in the bullpen. McHugh missed time with a sore back earlier in camp, and he's given up nine runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last two starts. In spite of his struggles, he still seems like a pretty good bet in mixed leagues.
Tampa Bay Rays Fantasy Spin
Tyler Glasnow gave up five runs and walked four in 3 2/3 innings against the Yankees on Tuesday. Glasnow's rotation spot was written in pen coming into the spring, but there's still time to find out if the Rays used invisible ink. After four starts, the right-hander has an 11.00 ERA and an 11/7 K/BB ratio in nine innings. There's still tons of upside here, and the Rays probably won't bail on him as their No. 3 starter just yet. However, he's not leaving himself with much of a margin for error for the start of the regular season.
MLB Betting Trends
The Astros are 6-1 in McHugh’s last seven starts and have won 10 of his last 14 outings on the road.
The Rays are 1-5 in Glasnow’s last six starts and have dropped five of their last six coming off a win.
The Astros have plenty of power but that power gets suppressed at Tropicana. Following his trade to Tampa last year, Glasnow looked like a different pitcher. In 45 appearances between Pittsburgh and Tampa, Glasnow produced a strikeout rate of 29.1%. He has struggled with walks throughout his career and that’s problematic versus this Astros’ lineup, but the under has been so profitable in this series that I’ll risk Glasnow having some problems with control. In the previous 11 meetings between these two teams, the under is 9-1-1. In the last 25 meetings at the Trop, the under is 19-4-2.
The Pick: Astros/Rays under 7.5