Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction
The Yankees will be a massive moneyline favorite when they open their 2019 season against the visiting Baltimore Orioles. So where is the value for bettors when these AL East rivals meet in the Bronx at 1:05 p.m. ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Thursday, March 28, 2019
1:05 p.m. ET, Yankee Stadium
TV: MASN2 (Orioles); YES (Yankees)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Yankees as a -385 favorite while the Orioles are listed as +300 money line underdogs. As of this writing, 73% of betting tickets are on the Yankees to win outright. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Baltimore Orioles Fantasy Spin
Andrew Cashner will start on Opening Day for the Orioles. Alex Cobb had been lined up to take the mound Thursday afternoon at Yankee Stadium, but he suffered a groin injury in his final Grapefruit League start. That means Cashner, who posted an ugly 5.87 ERA in five outings this spring, will get the nod by default. Cobb could be activated for the Orioles' home opener on April 4.
New York Yankees Fantasy Spin
Masahiro Tanaka pitched well in his Grapefruit League finale on Saturday, striking out three over two scoreless innings against the Blue Jays. Tanaka surrendered just one hit on the afternoon and didn't walk a batter. He finishes the spring with a 2.65 ERA and 23/3 K/BB ratio across 17 stellar innings. His next assignment will come on Opening Day as the Yankees host Alex Cobb and the Orioles on Thursday.
MLB Betting Trends
The Orioles are just 1-6 in their last seven games versus the Yankees.
The Yankees are 6-1 in Tanaka’s last seven starts when he pitches Game 1 of a series.
The Yankees should open the season with a victory but the problem for bettors is that there’s zero value in laying -385 on the money line their runline odds (-180) are expensive as well. Thus, let’s take a look at the total. The Yankees could break their own home run record this season and have a great matchup versus the journey-man Cashner. In 28 starts last season, he posted a low ground ball rate, which is an issue pitching at Yankee Stadium. The problem is that the Orioles don’t have much offensive firepower, so taking the over means that the Yankees would have to do most of the heavy lifting. That shouldn’t be much of an issue. The over is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams at Yankee Stadium and is 6-1 in Tanaka’s last seven starts versus the Orioles.
The Pick: Orioles/Yankees over 8.5