Heat vs. Hawks Prediction

Wednesday NBA Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Predictions 12/7/16

Are the Miami Heat a solid underdog play tonight in Atlanta when they visit the Hawks at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Hawks are 8-point home favorites versus the Heat after opening as a 6.5-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 200 but has dropped to 198.5.

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HEAT KEY TRENDS: The Heat are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games versus Southeast opponents and are 8-2 at the betting window in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. That said, they have struggled playing on back-to-back nights, going 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games playing on no rest. They're also 0-4 against the number in their last four games versus Eastern Conference foes.

HAWKS KEY TRENDS: The Hawks are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games versus Eastern Conference opponents, are a dismal 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 games playing on one day of rest, and are winless at the betting window in their last four games overall. They're also 0-4 against the number in their last four games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: The underdog is a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games between these two teams, the Heat are a perfect 4-0 against the number in their last four games versus the Hawks, and are 9-4 at the betting window in their last 13 games in Atlanta.  The Hawks have the second best defensive efficiency rating in the NBA behind the Clippers, so the Heat could have issues scoring at times tonight. That said, they're also turning the ball over more than ever team in the league outside of the 76ers. They will give Miami opportunities to keep the game close.

 

WEDNESDAY NBA PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +8

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