NBA Predictions: Are Heat and Wizards going to keep score low? 3/6/18

Heat vs. Wizards Pick

Are the Miami Heat and host Washington Wizards going to keep the score under the total tonight when they meet at 7PM ET?

503 Miami Heat at 504 Washington Wizards, 7PM ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Wizards are a 4-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 204.5 points.

Bet NBA Action For Tuesday, March 6

LINE MOVEMENT

Washington opened as a 5-point favorite, while the total has gone down after opening at 205.5. The spread and total is found almost exclusively at -4 and 205.5 points wherever you look.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of Tuesday afternoon, 55 percent of public bets have come in on the visiting Heat. Online wager info also states that 58 percent of bets are being placed on the over.

INJURY TO WATCH

Heat shooting guard Wayne Ellington has missed the last three games with a strained quadriceps and is questionable for tonight. Wizards small forward Kelly Oubre Jr. sat out the last game with a sore foot, but is expected to play tonight. Center Jason Smith is out indefinitely with an illness.

BETTING STRATEGY

Both of these teams play at a slower pace and it has led to plenty of unders, with the Heat 36-28 on unders this season and Washington 36-27-1 on unders. The total has already gone down one point and it could go down further. After the Heat got into a shootout last night in a 125-103 home victory over the Suns, expect a completely different game tonight. In the previous two meetings this season, 195 and 179 points have been scored. Expect a low output again.

 

NBA DAILY PREDICTION: HEAT/WIZARDS UNDER 204