Cardinals vs. Nationals Monday Pick
Patrick Corbin is off to an excellent start with his new team, but he’ll face a stiff challenge on Monday night when the Nationals host the Cardinals for a new series starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. Is Corbin the better bet in this matchup?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, April 29, 2019
7:05 p.m. ET, Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 59% of the betting tickets are on the Cardinals to beat the Nationals on the moneyline.
St. Louis Cardinals Fantasy Spin
Jose Martinez went 2-for-3 with an RBI in Sunday's win over the Reds. Both starting pitchers traded zeroes until a couple runners reached base against Reds starter Sonny Gray in the fourth inning. Martinez followed with a run-scoring single that gave the Cards a lead they wouldn't relinquish. He also doubled in the win. The 30-year-old began the year as a high-usage reserve but injuries opened the door for Martinez to play more frequently and he's taken hold of that opportunity, batting .343/.365/.443 in 27 games. The Cards will be hard-pressed to take him out of the lineup when he's producing like this -- although some could have said that after last year, and the year before -- and fantasy owners can safely roll with him for the foreseeable future as well.
Washington Nationals Fantasy Spin
Matt Adams clobbered a walk-off homer to lift the Nationals to a 7-6 victory over the Padres in extra-innings on Sunday. Adams slugged a walk-off solo homer, his third long ball of the season, off Padres reliever Matt Wisler in the bottom of the 11th inning. It was his lone hit in six at-bats. The 30-year-old veteran first baseman is hitting .267/.261/.578 across 46 plate appearances. He's struck out 17 times and has not drawn a walk yet this season. He can be safely ignored outside of NL-Only formats.
MLB Betting Trends
The Cardinals have won eight of their last 11 meetings with the Nationals.
The over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these two teams in Washington.
The Cardinals can flat rake but I’m siding with the Nationals tonight. Corbin currently owns an elite strikeout rate (30.7%) and isn’t walking anyone (5.8%). While he’s allowing a lot of hard contact (40.9%), he’s also keeping the ball on the ground at a good rate (47.6%), so he’s limiting the damage. Meanwhile, Michael Wacha will start for the Cardinals after a brief stint to the IL due tendinitis in his left knee. Wacha is due for some regression, with a 3.49 ERA but a 5.47 SIERA. His walk rate is up to 11.1% while his strikeout rate is a mediocre 21.1%. He’s also allowing plenty of hard contact (41.5%) and his groundball rate is middling (43.5%) as well.
The Pick: Washington Nationals -145