Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals will go for a sweep of the Brewers on Wednesday afternoon when the NL Central rivals try to get their game in at 1:15 p.m. ET with rain threatening in the area. Following a low-scoring game last night, is the over a good bet today?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Wednesday, April 24, 2019
1:15 p.m. ET, Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 58% of the betting tickets are on the Cardinals to beat the Brewers on the moneyline.
Milwaukee Brewers Fantasy Spin
Travis Shaw launched a pair of solo home runs in the Brewers' loss to the Cardinals on Tuesday. Shaw struck out in his first two plate appearances but then hit a solo shot off of John Gant in the sixth inning to tie the game and another blast off of Jordan Hicks in the ninth to pull the Brewers to within one. That's as close as they got, however. Shaw has gone deep three times over the last two games after managing just one dinger in his first 21 contests. His strikeouts remain way up from last season, which is obviously concerning. Shaw should ultimately be fine from a power perspective, though.
St. Louis Cardinals Fantasy Spin
Paul DeJong smashed a solo home run and added a double as the Cardinals beat the Brewers on Tuesday. The long ball was a big one, too, as DeJong broke a 2-2 tie in the bottom of the eighth inning with an opposite-field shot off of reliever Alex Wilson. DeJong now has 17 extra-base hits already this season after picking up two more Tuesday and is now sporting a 1.026 OPS. He's also scored 21 runs already, which ranks fifth in baseball. We have doubts as to whether DeJong can keep his strikeout rate down this low, but if he does he has breakout potential.
MLB Betting Trends
The Brewers are 8-3 in Jhoulys Chacin’s last 11 road starts.
The Cardinals are 41-17 in Adam Wainwright’s last 58 home starts.
Opponents with a lefty-heavy lineup can have success versus Wainwright, who has allowed a .340 xwOBA and a 1.32 HR/9 to batters from that side of the plate since the start of last season. Fortunately for the Brewers, they employ left-handers Christian Yelich, Yasmani Grandal and Travis Shaw, so Milwaukee shouldn’t struggle for runs today. Meanwhile, Chacin has struggled with walks and allowing hard contact this year, which is was his ERA (5.92) nearly matches his SIERA (5.24). The Cardinals only scored four runs last night but have been red hot offensively over the last week.
The Pick: Brewers/Cardinals OVER 9