Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
The new-look Phillies open their season on Thursday against NL East rivals the Braves at 3:05 p.m. ET. Despite all the offensive firepower that Philadelphia added this offseason, will the score stay low for bettors today?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Thursday, March 28, 2019
3:05 p.m. ET, Citizens Bank Park
TV: FS South (Braves); NBC 10 (Phillies)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Phillies as a -200 favorite while the Braves are listed as +170 money line underdogs. As of this writing, 64% of betting tickets are on the Phillies to win outright. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Atlanta Braves Fantasy Spin
Julio Teheran struck out five over five innings of two-run baseball in Friday's Grapefruit League victory over the Tigers. The Braves' right-hander allowed seven hits and a walk on the evening. All of the damage against him came in the first inning, on an RBI double by Niko Goodrum and a wild pitch. Teheran has pitched well this spring, registering a 3.18 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 21/2 K/BB ratio across his 17 innings.
Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin
Aaron Nola surrendered two runs on four hits over 2 2/3 innings in Saturday's Grapefruit League start against the Astros. The right-hander struggled with his command in this one, issuing three free passes while striking out two. He hasn't been as sharp as we're used to seeing this spring, compiling a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP across 8 2/3 innings, though he has racked up 11 strikeouts.
MLB Betting Trends
The Braves finished last season winning five of Teheran’s last seven starts.
The Phillies are 21-8 in Nola’s last 29 starts and are 22-6 in his last 28 outings at Citizens Bank Park.
Even though Citizens Bank Park allows plenty of home runs, Nola is incredibly difficult to hit. He held both left and right-handed hitters under a 26% hard contact rate last season. He also owns a high strikeout rate, doesn’t walk many batters and suppresses power. The Braves have struggled versus Nola in the past and I don’t expect them to see him well today. On the other side, Teheran has struggled with lefties, which is problematic facing Bryce Harper but he has fared well versus right-handers and a lot of Philadelphia’s offensive production comes from the right side. I like the under.
The Pick: Braves/Phillies under 8