Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 1/12/20
Houston at Kansas City
Sunday, Jan. 12 (CBS, 3:05 p.m. ET)
Texans Road Record: 5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS, 3-5 O/U
Chiefs Home Record: 5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS, 5-3 O/U
2019 Record versus Playoff Teams
Includes Wild Card Results
Houston: 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U
Kansas City: 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 5-1 O/U
Opening Odds
The SuperBook sent out Kansas City as a 7 ½-point home favorite and that number was quickly pushed up to Chiefs -9. The total opened 50 and has been moved to 49 at the Las Vegas outfit.
Off the Bye
Chiefs head coach Andy Reid owns an eye-opening 18-3 overall record in his career when his teams are playing with rest in the regular season. While most of the success came during his tenure with Philadelphia (13-1), he does own a 5-2 record with the Chiefs. This season, Kansas City diced up Oakland 40-9 in Week 13 after its ‘bye’ week. When playing with rest in the playoffs, Reid has gone 4-1 in the Divisional Playoff round.
Head-to-Head
The two teams have met twice in the last three regular seasons and the road team has won both matchups. Kansas City captured a 42-34 win at NRG stadium in 2017 while Houston earned a 31-24 at Arrowhead this year in Week 6.
Houston has gone 5-2 in its last seven games against the AFC West and it’s been perfect on the road versus this division, going 3-0 both SU and ATS as underdogs.
Kansas City defeated Jacksonville 40-26 in Week 1 but it closed the season with three consecutive losses to AFC South clubs, two of the setbacks coming at home.
Playoff Notes
Reid owns a 12-14 career record in the playoffs and he hasn’t had much success with Kansas City, going 2-5. At Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs have gone 1-3 under Reid in the playoffs and the lone win came in last year’s Divisional Playoff round against Indianapolis (31-13). Prior to the win over the Colts last season, Kansas City had dropped six straight at home in the playoffs with the last win coming in 1994.
Houston’s 22-19 overtime victory against Buffalo in last week’s Wild Card matchup pushed the club to 4-5 all-time in the postseason. Texans head coach Bill O’Brien is 2-3 and that includes a 0-1 mark on the road. Houston is 0-3 in the Divisional Playoff round, losing by an average of 12.6 PPG.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and Texans signal caller Deshaun Watson both own 1-1 records in the playoffs. The difference is that Kansas City has scored exactly 31 points in their games with him at QB while Watson has managed 7 and 22 points, the latter coming last Saturday at home. The Texans failed to score in the first-half of both those games and this will be the first road playoff start for the former Clemson standout.
Total Notes
The Texans own a 10-7 ‘under’ record this season and the low side went 5-3 away from home but the defense surrendered 31.6 PPG in three road games versus playoff teams. Kansas City saw the ‘over/under’ go 8-8 overall in the regular season, but it closed the season on a 5-1 ‘under’ run. The defense only allowed 11.5 PPG during this final stretch but that number could be misleading with five games against non-playoff squads. The ‘over’ went 5-3 at Arrowhead this stadium and that includes a 4-0 mark to the high side against postseason teams. The defense gave up 28.3 PPG in those games.
Houston has watched the ‘under’ go 5-4 in its only nine playoff games. Kansas City has watched the ‘under’ go 4-3 with Reid on the sidelines in the postseason. In his two coaching playoff wins with the Chiefs, they allowed a combined 13 points scored and the ‘under’ connected easily in both games.
Seattle at Green Bay
Sunday, Jan. 12 (FOX, 6:40 p.m. ET)
Seahawks Road Record:
7-1 SU, 6-2-1 ATS, 4-4-1 O/U
Packers Home Record: 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS, 3-5 O/U
2019 Record versus Playoff Teams
Includes Wild Card Results
Seattle: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U
Green Bay: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U
Opening Odds
The Superbook opened Green as a 3 ½-point favorite and the Packers were pushed up quickly to -4. The total dropped from 47 to 46.
Off the Bye
The Packers have lost their last three regular season games after their ‘bye’ week. Two of those defeats came on the road, which includes a humbling 37-8 loss at San Francisco this season in Week 12 on Sunday Night Football.
Head-to-Head
This series has been one-sided to the home team with the host winning the last eight encounters between the pair. The most recent meeting took place in the 2018 regular season when Seattle defeated Green Bay 27-24 as a three-point home favorite. Prior to that game, the Packers had won three straight games against the Seahawks. The pair met in the 2014-15 playoffs and Seattle pulled off an improbable 28-22 comeback victory at home over Green Bay.
Including that outcome, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is 5-4 all-time against Seattle and all four of the losses came at CenturyLink Field. Seattle QB Russell Wilson is 4-3 in his career against Green Bay but he’s 0-3 in his career at Lambeau Field and those teams were held to 17, 10 and 9 points.
Seattle has won four straight against the NFC North while Green Bay is on a 0-4 skid versus teams from the NFC West.
Playoff Notes
Green Bay hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2016 when they won its first two games before falling to Atlanta 44-21 in the NFC Championship. This will be the playoff coaching debut for Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. Rodgers owns a 9-7 career record in the playoffs as a starter and that includes a 3-2 mark at home.
Wilson improved to 9-5 in the playoffs in Sunday’s 17-9 Wild Card win at Philadelphia. That victory snapped a three-game road losing streak in the playoffs for the Seahawks. Since he took over as a starter in 2012, Wilson is 2-4 away from home in the postseason and that doesn’t include his 1-1 record in the Super Bowl.
Total Notes
Seattle has tallied the most road wins (8-1) in the NFL this season and the defense has traveled well (19.7 PPG). That effort has helped the ‘under’ go 5-4.
Green Bay’s total results had a tail of two seasons as the ‘over’ started 5-3 through the first eight games but the ‘under’ produced a 7-1 mark down the stretch. The offense only averaged 20.1 PPG during this span while the defense held opponents to 18.8 PPG. The ‘under’ went 5-3 at Lambeau Field and that includes a 3-0 run entering the playoffs.
The Packers have watched the ‘over’ go 5-1 in their last six playoff games, five of those contests taking place on the road. In the lone home game, the Packers put up 38 points during the 2016 postseason.
Seattle has seen the ‘over’ go 4-3 in its last seven road playoff games with Wilson at QB. The defense has looked sharp in three wins over this span, allowing 10.6 PPG. However, the unit has surrendered 30.3 PPG in four losses.
The Texans have seen the ‘under’ go 2-1 in their last three road games versus the AFC West and the defense has only allowed 20.3 PPG. The Chiefs saw the ‘over’ go 3-1 against AFC South teams this season.
Sticking with the ‘bye’ factor above, Kansas City has outscored opponents 74-12 in its last two games at home when playing with rest.
305HOUSTON -306 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 18-8 ATS (9.2 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
307SEATTLE -308 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 39-14 ATS (23.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NFL
Long Sheet
Sunday, January 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOUSTON (11 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (12 - 4) - 1/12/2020, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in playoff games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEATTLE (12 - 5) at GREEN BAY (13 - 3) - 1/12/2020, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 116-84 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 199-144 ATS (+40.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 103-76 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Trend Report
Sunday, January 12
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Seattle is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
DUNKEL
Sunday, January 12
Houston @ Kansas City
Game 305-306
January 12, 2020 @ 3:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston
130.014
Kansas City
144.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 14 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 9 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-9 1/2); Under
Seattle @ Green Bay
Game 305-306
January 12, 2020 @ 6:40 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
130.801
Green Bay
138.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 7 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 4
46
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-4); Under
Total Talk - DP Sunday
Chris David
As stated in Saturday’s piece, the Divisional Playoff history has favored the home team and both hosts are expected to advance in these games too. The Chiefs are the only team that played in this round last season while the Texans, Seahawks and Packers made their last appearances in 2016.
Best Bet Selections
We went 3-3 in last week’s Wild Card round and I’m coming back firing for the Divisional Playoffs. Saturday’s plays are listed right below and my Sunday picks can be viewed in the Fearless Predictions.
Minnesota Team Total Over (19 ½)
Minnesota-San Francisco Over (44 ½)
Tennessee Team Total Under (19 ½)
You can check all my total analysis thoughts for the Divisional Round on the Bet and Collect Podcast this weekend. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!
Houston at Kansas City (CBS, 3:05 p.m. ET)
Of the four playoff totals listed this weekend, this number was the only one to get pushed up. The Westgate Las Vegas Superbook sent out 50 and it sits at 51 as of Thursday evening. Unibet, a major sportsbook in NJ and PA, is also holding 51.
Based on the point-spread (Chiefs -9 ½), the oddsmakers are expecting a 30-20 outcome in this matchup and that number could seem high when we know the Texans defeated the Chiefs 31-24 at Arrowhead this season in Week 6. The ‘over’ cashed in that game and while the final outcome came close to the closing number (54 ½), the high side had a nice pace as the Texans led 23-17 at halftime. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson completed 30-of-42 passes for 280 yards but was picked off twice. However, he ran for two touchdowns and rushed for 42 yards. In the 2017 regular season, Watson passed for five touchdowns against the Chiefs but Houston lost a 42-34 decision at home in a wild game that saw 40 points scored in the fourth quarter.
Despite the success against the Chiefs, Watson is 1-1 in two playoff starts and that includes last week’s 22-19 Wild Card win at Buffalo at home. Watson put up solid numbers (20-of-25, 247 yards passing, 55 rushing yards) in the win, but I keep reminding myself that he’s been held scoreless in the first-half of two postseason games at home. Now he's playing his road playoff game at Arrowhead Stadium. Good Luck!
For our purposes, the Texans saw the ‘under’ go 10-7 this season and the low side went 5-3 away from home. However, the defense surrendered 31.6 PPG in three road games versus playoff teams and the 41-7 blowout loss at Baltimore certainly pushed that number up. The unit stood firm in wins over Tennessee (24-21) and the win mentioned above over KC.
In Saturday’s “Total Talk” piece, I touched on Ravens head coach John Harbaugh off the ‘bye’ and while he’s been great, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is the master of NFL rest. He’s 18-3 in his career, most during his tenure with Philadelphia. At Kansas City, he's gone 5-2 and he's a combined 4-1 record with both teams in the Divisional Round. That includes a 31-13 home win by KC in the postseason over Indianapolis last year in this spot. The ‘under’ cashed in that game and the low side stands at 4-3 in seven playoff games under Reid in KC.
The boss of the Chiefs has only gone 2-5 in the playoffs since coming over from Philadelphia, where he went 10-9 with the Eagles. The one thing that stood out with the Chiefs is that they’ve only allowed 13 points in their two postseason wins under Reid and the ‘under’ connected in both games. Another reason to back the ‘under’ here is based on Kansas City’s defensive form. The unit allowed 11.5 points per game in its last six contests and that led to a 5-1 ‘under’ mark but five of those affairs came against non-playoff teams.
Fearless Prediction - Over/Under Picks
Even though the Chiefs have been made healthy favorites, I believe this is the toughest side to handicap this weekend. I’m very hesitant to back Watson but I’m not sold on Reid in the playoffs either. I do like my total play though – Kansas City Team Total Over. While Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes can be erratic, he moves the chains better than anybody in the NFL and the offense ranked first in third down conversions. He’s shown good form in two playoff games, posting 31 in each contest. Also in two games when playing with rest, Mahomes and the Chiefs have posted 40 and 31 points. I believe KC will get at least five scores, possibly six in the revenge game. I’ll call it Kansas City 34 Houston 24 in what should be an entertaining game.
Seattle at Green Bay (FOX, 6:40 p.m. ET)
Oddsmakers sent out a strong total at 47 and Unibet (NJ & PA only) hasn’t nudged in either direction as of Thursday evening. Temperatures could get into the low 20s by kickoff at Lambeau Field on Sunday night but no strong winds or precipitation is expected.
Pun intended, Seattle has weathered everything and anything thrown at it on the road this season and it’s posted a league-best 8-1 record away from home. Last week’s 17-9 win at Philadelphia was an easy ‘under’ ticket and even though Eagles QB Carson Wentz was knocked out early, the defense did its part and that’s been a common theme. The unit has been lights out on the road, allowing 19.8 PPG and that effort led to a 5-4 ‘under’ record and it could’ve been more skewed to the low side but QB Russell Wilson and the offense scored 27 or more points in six of those games.
Wilson has been a real gamer on the road in his career, going 38-25-1. In the playoffs, he’s 4-5 away from Century Link Field and that includes a 1-1 record in the Super Bowl. While all those numbers are impressive, the future Hall of Famer hasn’t been able to win at Lambeau Field. In three trips, Seattle has gone 0-3 and the ‘Hawks were held to 17, 10 and 9 points.
To be fair to Wilson, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is just 1-3 in four career starts at Seattle and the one setback that sticks out was the 28-22 overtime loss to the Seahawks in the 2015 NFC Championship.
Circling back to this game, the Packers saw the ‘under’ go 7-1 in the second-half of the season and the defense only gave up 18.8 PPG but six of those games were against non-playoff teams. What’s more alarming for Green Bay is that the offense averaged 20.1 PPG during this span and the unit was held to 15.5 PPG in the two contests against postseason clubs.
Will the week off help Green Bay get back on track? Historically, the Packers are on a 5-1 ‘over’ run in the playoffs but they haven’t been in the postseason since 2016-17. Including last week’s outcome at the Eagles, Seattle has watched the ‘over’ go 4-3 in its last seven road playoff games with Wilson at QB. The defense has looked sharp in three wins over this span, allowing 10.6 PPG. However, the unit has surrendered 30.3 PPG in their four losses.
Fearless Prediction - Over/Under Picks
I said in last week’s piece that the winner of the Seahawks-Eagles will get lit up the following week and I’m sticking to that prediction. While Seattle’s scoring defense has been great on the road, we have to dissect the guys at QB that it’s faced – Rudolph, Murray, Mayfield, Schaub, Garropolo, Wentz, Goff, Allen. I believe Wentz is legit, when healthy and with weapons, two things he was without this season. I also like Jimmy G and Goff and they both lit up Seattle not once but twice this season. Rodgers, hasn’t looked sharp at times this season, but his teams have averaged 27.8 PPG in 10 career postseason wins and 35.6 PPG in the last three playoff victories. Green Bay Team Total (24 ½) is my strongest lean of the weekend and the Over (47) in the game will be locked up too. My projection calls for Green Bay 33 Seattle 22.
__________________
Sunday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
Total Talk | Line Movements - HOU/KC | Line Movements - SEA/GB | Best Bets
Texans at Chiefs – 3:05 PM EST – CBS
Betting Odds: Kansas City -9 ½, Total 51
Provided by DraftKings (IN, NJ & PA only)
The only rematch from the regular season in this weekend’s divisional playoff round takes place at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Houston (11-6 SU, 8-8-1 ATS) was on its way to an early postseason exit as the AFC South champions dug themselves a 16-0 hole in last Saturday’s Wild Card matchup with Buffalo. However, the Texans did not repeat last season’s Wild Card performance in a 21-7 setback to the Colts as Houston rallied past Buffalo in overtime, 22-19 to cash as 2 ½-point favorites.
Quarterback Deshaun Watson led the comeback with a touchdown run late in the third quarter, followed by a two-point conversion to cut the deficit to 16-8. Following a field goal early in the fourth quarter, the Texans grabbed their first lead of the afternoon on a Watson touchdown pass to Carlos Hyde for a 19-16 advantage. The Bills tied the game in the final seconds with a 47-yard field goal, but the Texans escaped on a short field goal by Ka’imi Fairbairn in overtime to grab the narrow cover.
The Chiefs (12-4 SU, 10-5-1 ATS) wrapped up their fourth consecutive AFC West title, but have only one AFC Championship to show for it. Kansas City dropped a heartbreaker to New England in overtime last January, 37-31, preventing the Chiefs from making their first Super Bowl since the 1969 season, when they won the franchise’s only championship.
Kansas City posted a perfect September by winning all four games, including three victories away from Arrowhead Stadium. The most notable triumph came in Week 3 against Baltimore, 33-28, handing the Ravens one of their two defeats on the season. However, the Chiefs lost three of their next four games, including home setbacks to the Colts, Texans, and Packers in October. The biggest loss suffered was 2018 MVP Patrick Mahomes, who sustained a dislocated kneecap in a Week 7 rout of Denver.
Mahomes miraculously missed only two games, as Kansas City split a pair of home contests against Green Bay and Minnesota. In Mahomes’ return at Tennessee in Week 10, the All-Pro quarterback threw for 446 yards and three touchdowns, but the Chiefs squandered a nine-point fourth quarter lead in a 35-32 defeat. That would be the last loss suffered in the regular season by Kansas City as Andy Reid’s club finished the campaign with six consecutive victories to lock up the second seed in the AFC playoffs.
Circling back to the Week 6 matchup at Arrowhead, the Texans fell into a 17-3 hole against the Chiefs, but Houston stormed back by outscoring Kansas City, 20-0 in the second quarter to grab a 23-17 halftime edge. Only 15 more points were scored in the final two quarters to barely eclipse the total of 54 ½, but Houston picked up the 31-24 victory thanks to a one-yard touchdown scramble by Watson with 6:17 remaining in regulation. The Texans cashed as short 3 ½-point underdogs, while outrushing the Chiefs, 192-53 and owning nearly a 2-to-1 time of possession advantage.
Playing at home in the playoffs hasn’t been kind to the Chiefs since 1995 as Kansas City is 1-7 in its last eight postseason contests at Arrowhead. Granted, the lone victory came against Indianapolis in the divisional playoffs last season to end that long hex, but it is still a sore spot for Chiefs’ fans as the franchise is 2-5 in the postseason since Reid took over as head coach in 2012.
Since this is the lone rematch out of the four divisional affairs, teams seeking revenge have not fared well the second time around. Dating back to 2015, teams that lost the regular season meeting and hooked up in the second round of the playoffs posted a 3-7 SU and 5-4-1 ATS record. Favorites own a 1-2-1 ATS mark in this stretch with the lone chalk team to win and cover being the Falcons in 2016, who avenged a three-point loss at Seattle to cruise past the Seahawks at home in the playoffs, 36-20 as 6 ½-point favorites.
Seahawks at Packers – 6:40 PM EST – FOX
Betting Odds: Green Bay -4 ½, Total 47
Provided by DraftKings (IN, NJ & PA only)
The final team to take the field for the first time in the postseason is Green Bay (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS), who are back in the playoffs following a two-year absence. The last time the Packers grabbed the NFC North crown came back in 2016, as Green Bay reached the conference championship before getting rolled by Atlanta. Now, the Packers are back atop the division as Matt LaFleur was the only first-year head coach out of seven to finish with a winning record in 2019.
Green Bay lost only once at Lambeau Field this season by posting a 7-1 mark with the lone blemish coming against Philadelphia in a Thursday night defeat, 34-27 in Week 4. The Packers were blown out in a pair of road routs against the Chargers and 49ers, but Green Bay swept the six games from the NFC North, including a pair of wins over Minnesota. The defense limited eight opponents to 16 points or less, while compiling a solid 7-3 ATS mark as a single-digit favorite.
The Seahawks (12-5 SU, 8-8-1 ATS) continued their domination of the highway by improving to 8-1 away from CenturyLink Field in a 17-9 triumph at Philadelphia in the Wild Card round. Seattle moved to 10-1 since 2005 in its first game of the postseason, while picking up its first road playoff victory since 2015 at Minnesota.
The Eagles lost quarterback Carson Wentz in the first quarter to a head injury, as Philadelphia’s offense didn’t reach the end zone with backup Josh McCown by getting held to three field goals. Seahawks’ running back Marshawn Lynch scored a touchdown for the second straight game after returning to Seattle prior to Week 17 to give them a 10-3 halftime lead. Quarterback Russell Wilson hooked up with rookie wide receiver D.K. Metcalf on a 53-yard touchdown connection to put the Seahawks in control, 17-6 as Seattle owns a perfect 6-0 record in the Eastern Time Zone.
Seattle and Green Bay didn’t meet this season, but this has been a series dominated by the home team. In the last eight matchups since 2009, the home squad is a perfect 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS, which includes a 27-24 victory by Seattle at CenturyLink Field in 2018.
However, Wilson and head coach Pete Carroll have never won at Lambeau Field in three tries by losing in three straight seasons from 2015 through 2017. The offense didn’t produce much by scoring 17, 10, and 9 points in those defeats. The most recent playoff hookup came in January 2015 in Seattle when the Seahawks rallied from a 16-0 deficit to shock the Packers in overtime, 28-22 on a Wilson 35-yard touchdown strike to Jermaine Kearse.
Under Carroll, the Seahawks have never won a divisional round game after grabbing a victory in the Wild Card round. In 2010, 2012, 2015, and 2016, Seattle fell in the second round on the road, with three losses coming by a touchdown or more. In the two seasons that the Seahawks reached the Super Bowl in 2013 and 2014, they played both games at home each time and have never made a Super Bowl while winning at least one road game.