Sunday 11/3/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
+EV: NFL 2u: 474 NE/BAL un45 -102 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 469 CLE/DEN ov38.5 -110 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 2u: 474 Baltimore Ravens +3.5 -110 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 471 GB/LAC ov47 -104 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 463 IND/PIT ov42.5 -105 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 2u: 455 TEN/CAR ov41 -117 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: NFL 3u: 458 CHI/PHI un43 -103 (Sunday, November 3rd)
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+EV: NFL 2u: 463 Indianapolis Colts +1 -105 (Sunday, November 3rd)
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Mike Tierney
CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:31 PM
While Denver might not miss under-performing QB Joe Flacco (neck), its contingency plan seems shaky. Stepping in is third-year backup Brandon Allen, who has yet to take a regular-season snap. The offense was horrid enough with the veteran Flacco, so Allen slides into a challenging situation. Cleveland’s offense has been blah, too, but it wields more star power. QB Baker Mayfield won’t see much of a pass rush, partly because DE Bradley Chubb (ACL) bowed out for the year in Week Four.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
10-8 IN LAST 18 CLE ATS PICKS | +106
MINNESOTA -1
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:29 PM
This spread could creep up to three points or higher if Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes (knee) sits. He has not been ruled out but just a two-week rehab seems overly optimistic for the ailment. Even if he plays, the hotter QB will be Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins, who has completed 75 percent-plus in four of his last five outings. The Vikings are refreshed from a bye, and they beat the Chiefs three years ago after an off week. All three of Kansas City's straight-up losses have transpired at home.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
8-1 IN LAST 9 KC ATS PICKS | +685
5-2 IN LAST 7 MIN ATS PICKS | +284
11 NE ATS PICKS | +254
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R.J. White
CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:27 PM
The worst part of the Browns' schedule is over after consecutive games against the Rams, Ravens, 49ers, Seahawks and Patriots, five teams with a combined 31-7 record. That means this is the low point of Cleveland's stock, and as such we're getting them at a favorable line against a Broncos team that has no reason to fight with Brandon Allen at quarterback. Even if their defense (fifth in points per drive allowed) has another good game here, the Browns offense only needs to get to 17 to expect a cover, something they should accomplish with a run-based approach.
28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
10-5-1 IN LAST 16 CLE ATS PICKS | +460
5-1 IN LAST 6 DEN ATS PICKS | +390
OVER 50.5
DETROIT @ OAKLAND | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:21 PM
Neither of these defenses has played well at all this year, with both ranking in the bottom five of points allowed per drive. Detroit's one good defensive game on the scoreboard (a 13-10 win over the Chargers) still involved them allowing 424 yards. The one thing the Lions do well is pass the ball (top five in net yards per attempt on offense), and that's the Raiders' biggest weakness, as they rank 28th in net yards allowed per pass attempt and have given up a league-worst 19 passing touchdowns. That tells me we should expect to see a higher-scoring game in this one.
16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
9-7 IN LAST 16 DET O/U PICKS | +127
N.Y. JETS -3
N.Y. JETS @ MIAMI | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:12 PM
Despite the chaos in the locker room following a trade deadline where it sounds like multiple stars were available but only one dealt, the Jets should have an easy time wit the Dolphins here. While they've been bad, they haven't sunk to the level of the Dolphins, a team that has lost all but one game by double digits (and was behind 17-3 entering the fourth quarter of that outlier). Now Miami has a short turnaround after losing 27-14 despite taking a 14-0 lead to start the game. I can't see them winning this game, so I'm laying the relatively small number with the road team.
28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
14-11-2 IN LAST 27 NYJ ATS PICKS | +202
OVER 46.5
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
YESTERDAY 5:56 PM
These two teams played a 13-12 grind of a game early in the season, but here's why this week will be different. That was Gardner Minshew's first start, and the Jacksonville offense has been much better since, scoring 26+ in four of their last five games (with big yardage numbers to back it up). The Texans have seen their last four games go over 50 points as their offense keeps rolling while their defense falls apart. The injury to J.J. Watt surely won't help Houston's defense play any better, so I'm expecting a lot of points for the London crowd in this one.
16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
3-0 IN LAST 3 JAC O/U PICKS | +300
GREEN BAY -3
GREEN BAY @ L.A. CHARGERS | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 5:40 PM
I think the Packers' overall market value is a little inflated thanks to their favorable first-half schedule stacked with home games, but they aren't exactly headed into the mouth of the lion in this one. In fact, Packers fans could take over the Chargers' soccer stadium in this one, making it even harder for a home team still beset by injuries. They've scored more than 20 just once since Week 1, while Green Bay has scored 27 or more in five of their last six (and 23 in their 'bad' performance). Green Bay should be able to throw all over a poor Chargers pass D (27th in net yards per attempt) and cruise to a win.
28-22 IN LAST 50 NFL PICKS | +351
29-5 IN LAST 34 GB ATS PICKS | +2345
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Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
1:02 AM
SEATTLE -6
TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
Jameis Winston is a turnover machine and I expect the Seahawks to capitalize at home. In my simulations, Seattle is winning by double digits. Lay the points.
7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +369
5-0-1 IN LAST 6 SEA ATS PICKS | +500
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 TB ATS PICKS | +284
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 9:22 PM
ARIZONA +10
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT
Extensive travel caught up with the Cardinals last Sunday when their three-game win streak ended against the Saints, who were inspired by the return of beloved QB Drew Brees. Arizona is back home after playing three away games in four weeks — all back east. San Francisco might be unbeaten, but the double-digit line is a case of overexuberance, especially for a Thursday nighter on the road.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
Zack Cimini
CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
YESTERDAY 12:23 PM
ARIZONA +9.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT
The San Francisco 49ers continue to show new levels of excellence. Last week’s statement win over the Carolina Panthers was all the more impressive as they handled an above-average team coming off a bye week. With Thursday's quick turnaround, I expect San Fran to try to run the ball and wear down the Cardinals. Yet, look for Arizona to match the 49ers offensively and keep this within the number. Grab Arizona.
4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS | +66
6-0-1 IN LAST 7 ARI ATS PICKS | +605
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 5:56 PM
OVER 46.5
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
These two teams played a 13-12 grind of a game early in the season, but here's why this week will be different. That was Gardner Minshew's first start, and the Jacksonville offense has been much better since, scoring 26+ in four of their last five games (with big yardage numbers to back it up). The Texans have seen their last four games go over 50 points as their offense keeps rolling while their defense falls apart. The injury to J.J. Watt surely won't help Houston's defense play any better, so I'm expecting a lot of points for the London crowd in this one.
16-11 IN LAST 27 NFL O/U PICKS | +389
3-0 IN LAST 3 JAC O/U PICKS | +300
Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
MON 10/28
HOUSTON -2
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
This spread looks light by about three points, which is why I played the Texans. Perhaps the lower number is because J.J. Watt is out for the season, and WR Will Fuller is questionable, or maybe it’s because the Jaguars play at London often and are kind of the home team, but those reasons might equate to a one-point edge for the Jaguars. The Texans should still be favored by at least three points. Back the Texans to get the cover.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +161
8-2-1 IN LAST 11 HOU ATS PICKS | +580
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Jeff Ma
Hou
Pitt
Det
LAC
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 3 2019 8:20PM
474 BAL 3.5(-117) Pinnacle vs 473 NEP double-dime bet
Analysis: THURSDAY Football Update: LEAN AZ
NOTE STRONG LEAN at +10.5
STrong lean PROP: Kittle OVER 71 reception yards
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Platinum Sports Investing
Bet to WIN 1%
NFL - Baltimore +4 -115 (Bovada)
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Norm Hitzges’ Picks of the Pole
DOUBLE PLAY:
Baltimore +3
SINGLE PLAYS:
Minnesota +2
Washington +9.5
Tennessee +3.5
Philadelphia -4.5
Tampa Bay +5
Cleveland-Denver under 38.5
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Cowherd Blazin' 5
Colts
raiders
browns
packers
pats
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NFAC
$800 Bears +5
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Pointwise Phones
4- Tampa Bay
3- Washington, Green Bay, Cleveland
2- Detroit, Tennessee, New England
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Warren Sharp:
pittsburgh 1H u21 0.5U
oakland Over 51 1U
2 team teaser 1U
jax +7.5/indy +7.5
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+EV: NBA 3u: 526 Cleveland Cavaliers +5 -110 (Sunday, November 3
+EV: NBA 6u: 518 Indiana Pacers -3.5 +101 (Sunday, November 3rd)
+EV: Correction: Utah Jazz +5 -115 iSunday
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Redskins+10.5
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
5* Raiders-3
3* Browns-4
3* Pats-3
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Packers-3.5
3* Eagles-4
3* Dolphins+3
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Pro Info Sports
5.5* Jaguars +1
5* Bills -10.5
Sunday Night
4.5* OVER 45 NE v. Balt
Monday Night
4.5* UNDER 48 Dallas v. NYG
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Virgobbi Sports
Jax +1 (-110)
chi +4 (-101)
ind +1 (-101)
tb +5 (-107)
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King Creole
4* Over New England, Over Seattle/Tampa Bay 52
3* Over Carolina / Tennessee 42
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Warren Sharp:
props so far
Josh Jacobs over 79.5 rush yards to win 0.5 units
D.J. Chark over 69.5 receiving yards to win 1.0 units
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MARCO D'ANGELO
5% NFL MAJOR WAGER
Game: (457) Chicago Bears at (458) Philadelphia Eagles
Date/Time: Nov 3 2019 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Chicago Bears 4.5 (-108)
View Analysis
5% Chicago +4.5
analysis to follow
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (467) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (468) Seattle Seahawks
Date/Time: Nov 3 2019 4:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.0 (-110)
View Analysis
4% TAMPA BAY +5
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Primetime Sports Picks For 11/03/19
4 Unit --> Cleveland -4 over Denver (NFL)
3 Unit --> Houston/Jacksonville UNDER 47 (NFL)
3 Unit --> Tampa Bay +5 over Seattle (NFL)
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BEZOBETS
3u Jacksonville +1
3u Carolina -3
2u Green Bay -3.5
2u Pittsburgh ML
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 3 2019 9:30AM
452 JAC 1.0(-110) Pinnacle vs 451 HOU single-dime bet
Analysis: Was hoping this line inflated.........not happening.
2 stars, 2 team 6.5 point teaser -130 to win 2 units
Jax +7.5 with Indy +7.5
Jax a HUGE venue edge
Hou has not played in London
Jax has played here 7 straight years.....
Jax is 3-1 SU, ATS the last 4 years (they have the travel/shedule down pat)
ATS Margin of 11.5 per game on AVERAGE!!
Further, Jax has a strong pass rush, and Hou's weakness is when they cannot protect Watson
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Hammerin' Hank Goldberg
Ravens +3.5
GB -3.5
TB +6
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Emory Hunt
Emory's
Picks
FEATURED PICK
DALLAS -7
DALLAS @ N.Y. GIANTS | 11/04 | 8:15 PM EST
WED 10/30
Coming off a bye week into a game against a division opponent is always a good thing. Dallas feels the urgency to keep winning because the Eagles are just one game back. Look for the Cowboys defense to force a few turnovers by rookie QB Daniel Jones on Monday night. Lay the points.
22-9 IN LAST 31 NFL ATS PICKS | +1206
22-12-1 IN LAST 35 DAL ATS PICKS | +872
3-0 IN LAST 3 NYG ATS PICKS | +300
BALTIMORE +3.5
NEW ENGLAND @ BALTIMORE | 11/03 | 8:20 PM EST
WED 10/30
Not many players give Patriots coach Bill Belichick problems on game day. The one type of player that does is the mobile quarterback. To say Lamar Jackson is a mobile QB is like saying old-school hip-hop is the best. Jackson's ability to make it an 11-on-11 game will give the Ravens a chance to pull off the shocker in Charm City.
22-9 IN LAST 31 NFL ATS PICKS | +1206
2-1 IN LAST 3 NE ATS PICKS | +85
CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 10/30
Cleveland is about to enter the "softer" part of its schedule, starting with the Broncos. This is a Denver team that plays tough defense, but its offense hasn't been able to find its rhythm at all this season. To make matters worse, starting QB Joe Flacco is out with a neck injury. Look for the Browns defense to feast on reserve QB Brandon Allen.
22-9 IN LAST 31 NFL ATS PICKS | +1206
2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +89
3-2 IN LAST 5 CLE ATS PICKS | +82
INDIANAPOLIS -1
INDIANAPOLIS @ PITTSBURGH | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 10/30
This game will come down to which QB can you rely on, and if last week was of any indication, that heavily favors Indianapolis in this game. Jacoby Brissett has played some really good football, both statistically and situationally. It's the latter that'll have him go into Pittsburgh and come out unscathed.
22-9 IN LAST 31 NFL ATS PICKS | +1206
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +95
MIAMI +3
N.Y. JETS @ MIAMI | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 10/30
Both teams are among the worst offensively in the league, averaging just 11 points per game. Where they differ is in the effort. The Dolphins seem like they can move the ball on offense, more so than the Jets. Defensively, Miami has a much more cohesive group, despite all of the changes. Look for the Phins to get their first win of the season.
22-9 IN LAST 31 NFL ATS PICKS | +1206
3-1 IN LAST 4 MIA ATS PICKS | +193
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Larrry Hartstein
DALLAS -6.5
DALLAS @ N.Y. GIANTS | 11/04 | 8:15 PM EST
12:01 AM
Amari Cooper was a full-go in practice late this week, and I'm expecting a huge game from the Dallas offense. The Cowboys are rested, plus they've covered five straight versus the Giants and 13 of their last 16 versus the NFC East. Lay it.
30-18 IN LAST 48 NFL ATS PICKS | +1000
5-3 IN LAST 8 NYG ATS PICKS | +189
PITTSBURGH -1
INDIANAPOLIS @ PITTSBURGH | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/1
The Steelers likely won't have James Conner, but the Colts will definitely be missing T.Y. Hilton -- who's key to their entire offense. Back Pittsburgh to build off its strong finish Monday night and win its third straight.
30-18 IN LAST 48 NFL ATS PICKS | +1000
4-1 IN LAST 5 PIT ATS PICKS | +289
7-5-1 IN LAST 13 IND ATS PICKS | +142
JACKSONVILLE +1.5
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
FRI 11/1
The Jaguars have been better than expected offensively, and they should have a big day against Houston's depleted defense. Back the Jags to stay hot and win for the fourth time in their last five London games.
30-18 IN LAST 48 NFL ATS PICKS | +1000
18-10-1 IN LAST 29 HOU ATS PICKS | +709
10-4-1 IN LAST 15 JAC ATS PICKS | +569
PHILADELPHIA -4.5
CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 10/31
This line is more likely to hit 5 than it is to fall to 4. With DeSean Jackson tentatively expected to return, look for the Eagles to build off last week's breakout in Buffalo and cover versus the offensively-challenged Bears. Philly's ground game, led by Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders, should have success against a Chicago front missing run-stuffer Akiem Hicks. Lay it.
30-18 IN LAST 48 NFL ATS PICKS | +1000
9-6 IN LAST 15 PHI ATS PICKS | +226
TAMPA BAY +6
TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
WED 10/30
Bruce Arians has a strong track record in Seattle, winning four of five visits when he coached the Cardinals. The Seahawks continue to be money on the road, but ATS losers at home. Grab the points with a Tampa team that's much better than its 2-5 record.
30-18 IN LAST 48 NFL ATS PICKS | +1000
6-1-1 IN LAST 8 SEA ATS PICKS | +490
5-4-1 IN LAST 10 TB ATS PICKS | +50
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Hank Goldberg
BALTIMORE +3.5
NEW ENGLAND @ BALTIMORE | 11/03 | 8:20 PM EST
THU 10/31
The Ravens are excellent off a bye. New England's run defense isn't very good -- Nick Chubb had 131 yards last week and even the Jets ran well against the Pats. Baltimore leads the league in time of possession. With Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards, the Ravens will control the clock. Tom Brady ranks 27th in yards per attempt; he really misses Gronk.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ATS PICKS | +541
6-2 IN LAST 8 NE ATS PICKS | +381
GREEN BAY -3.5
GREEN BAY @ L.A. CHARGERS | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
WED 10/30
The Packers' offense is much more balanced than the Chargers, who have scored more than 20 points only once since Week 1. And that was against Miami. They were lucky to win last week in Chicago. The Chargers have a statue at quarterback who should retire. They just fired their offensive coordinator. Meanwhile, in Green Bay, there's peace with the coaching staff. The Packers will be too much for the Chargers.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ATS PICKS | +541
5-2 IN LAST 7 GB ATS PICKS | +283
TAMPA BAY +6
TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
WED 10/30
Seattle's defense is horrible and this is a team Jameis Winston can actually have a decent game against. The Seahawks only have 13 sacks. They're 0-4 against the spread at home with two outright losses. Plus, Seattle just lost its center, Justin Britt, to a season-ending injury. Take the points.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ATS PICKS | +541
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 SEA ATS PICKS | +278
4-2-1 IN LAST 7 TB ATS PICKS | +172
DETROIT +2.5
DETROIT @ OAKLAND | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
WED 10/30
Oakland has the 31st-ranked pass defense, and the Raiders are dealing with offensive line injuries, too. Matthew Stafford is playing great, he's got two really good receivers. Oakland has to be travel-weary after not playing at home since mid-September.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ATS PICKS | +541
3-0 IN LAST 3 DET ATS PICKS | +300
5-3 IN LAST 8 OAK ATS PICKS | +168
JACKSONVILLE +1.5
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
WED 10/30
J.J. Watt is out, and Houston's secondary is banged up. The Jaguars make this trip every year and they've won three of their last four in London. Bill O'Brien will find a way to lose this. Look for big games from Leonard Fournette and Gardner Minshew.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL ATS PICKS | +541
7-2 IN LAST 9 JAC ATS PICKS | +486
3-0 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +300
__________________
Mike Tierney
Mike's
Picks
FEATURED PICK
BALTIMORE +3.5
NEW ENGLAND @ BALTIMORE | 11/03 | 8:20 PM EST
MON 10/28
Baltimore coach John Harbaugh is 9-2 straight-up coming off a bye. Of course, none of those wins were against New England. Then again, no QB is akin to the Ravens’ Lamar Jackson, who will test Patriots coach Bill Belichick’s defensive smarts. The Pats’ offense remains efficient with smoke and mirrors; few teams have a less intimidating set of skill-position players outside of QB Tom Brady's unit. The defense has been sublime. This seems like the right time for the offensive shortcomings to catch up to New England.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS | +454
10-2 IN LAST 12 BAL ATS PICKS | +770
7-4 IN LAST 11 NE ATS PICKS | +254
UNDER 48.5
GREEN BAY @ L.A. CHARGERS | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
FRI 11/1
Green Bay welcomes back Davante Adams from an injury layoff, but it doesn’t seem to matter who QB Aaron Rodgers throws to -- or doesn’t. L.A. dumped offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt, but the impact of the change will not be felt immediately. Six of the last seven Chargers’ games, along with four of the past five at home, have hovered below the total.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS | +454
5-4 IN LAST 9 LAC O/U PICKS | +60
PHILADELPHIA -4.5
CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/1
With prolific Philly receiver DeSean Jackson (abdomen) expected to return, the difference between these offenses is yawning. Chicago has resisted clamor over QB Mitchell Trubisky and will stick with him -- for now. A newly healthy Eagles secondary could give him fits. The Bears have scored in single-digits and the teens in six games, which largely explains their 2-6 against-the-spread record. Fly with Philly.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS | +454
4-3 IN LAST 7 PHI ATS PICKS | +72
INDIANAPOLIS -1
INDIANAPOLIS @ PITTSBURGH | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/1
Not only is Pittsburgh running back James Conner (shoulder) unlikely to play, but backup Benny Snell (knee) is out. That leaves Jaylen Samuels, who has rushed for just half a football field this season, to carry the load. The Steelers also are hustling to prepare after a Monday nighter. Though, given that the opponent was Miami, they might have given some thought last week to the Colts. Indy has lost just once against the spread going back seven games. Take the Colts.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS | +454
9-4 IN LAST 13 IND ATS PICKS | +464
CLEVELAND -3
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
TUE 10/29
While Denver might not miss under-performing QB Joe Flacco (neck), its contingency plan seems shaky. Stepping in is third-year backup Brandon Allen, who has yet to take a regular-season snap. The offense was horrid enough with the veteran Flacco, so Allen slides into a challenging situation. Cleveland’s offense has been blah, too, but it wields more star power. QB Baker Mayfield won’t see much of a pass rush, partly because DE Bradley Chubb (ACL) bowed out for the year in Week Four.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL PICKS | +454
10-8 IN LAST 18 CLE ATS PICKS | +106
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Micah Roberts
CHICAGO +4.5
CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA | 11/03 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 4:50 PM
The Bears have lost their last three games and Mitch Trubisky seems to struggle every week other than one game against the Redskins defense. But the Eagles are no bargain, either, despite Carson Wentz having good numbers (14 TD, 4 INT). One week you think they’re super at Green Bay and then they lay eggs at home against Detroit, and at Atlanta, Dallas and Minnesota. They're just 4-4. Inconsistent. The Bears' defense gives them a chance to win. I took the points to be safe.
3-0 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +300
13-9 IN LAST 22 PHI ATS PICKS | +307
4-2 IN LAST 6 CHI ATS PICKS | +173
UNDER 39
CLEVELAND @ DENVER | 11/03 | 4:25 PM EST
FRI 11/1
The Browns won at Mile High 17-16 last December as part of a 10-1 Under run the Broncos are still on at home. The Browns had a brutal schedule the last five weeks, but the Broncos No. 4-ranked defense, allowing just 304 ypg, isn’t going to make anything easier. Under is the play.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL O/U PICKS | +450
3-0 IN LAST 3 CLE O/U PICKS | +300
OVER 51.5
TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE | 11/03 | 4:05 PM EST
THU 10/31
You never know what you’re going to get when betting on the Buccaneers with Jameis Winston starting, but there’s a good chance he throws for over 300 yards, hits a few long TDs, and then throws some interceptions, allowing the other team to get short-field opportunities. That's helped Tampa's last five games go Over. It’s an ongoing trend, especially on the road where the Bucs have gone over the total in 16 of their last 21. The Seahawks will help as well. Over is the play.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL O/U PICKS | +450
2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA O/U PICKS | +90
OVER 45.5
NEW ENGLAND @ BALTIMORE | 11/03 | 8:20 PM EST
THU 10/31
The Patriots allow only 7.6 points per game which have helped six of their eight games stay Under the total and win all eight. Part of the reason is great coaching, executing each game plan defensively perfect by the players and the other part is not playing great competition. I saw the Browns running game open up big holes last week against the Patriots and I’m betting the NFL’s top running game (208 ypg) will have success and put enough points on the board to get this total Over.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL O/U PICKS | +450
2-1 IN LAST 3 BAL O/U PICKS | +90
HOUSTON -2
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE | 11/03 | 9:30 AM EST
MON 10/28
This spread looks light by about three points, which is why I played the Texans. Perhaps the lower number is because J.J. Watt is out for the season, and WR Will Fuller is questionable, or maybe it’s because the Jaguars play at London often and are kind of the home team, but those reasons might equate to a one-point edge for the Jaguars. The Texans should still be favored by at least three points. Back the Texans to get the cover.
3-0 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +300
8-2-1 IN LAST 11 HOU ATS PICKS | +580
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Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 10:43 PM
OVER 212.5
UTAH @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 11/03 | 9:00 PM EST
I'm projecting 222 points for Jazz-Clippers on Sunday night, giving us a solid play on the Over. The Over is cashing in well over 60 percent of my simulations.
10-4-1 IN LAST 15 UTA O/U PICKS | +567
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Tony Bruno - 44-19 record
jaguars
Chiefs
bucs
packers
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Bow Knows Spreads
Houston Texans
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NFAC
472) LA CHARGERS +4…($750)
456) CAROLINA -3 (-125) – Buy 1/2 PT…($600)
474) UNDER 45 NE-BAL…($600)
452) JACKSONVILLE +1.5…($600)
465) OVER 51 DET-OAK…($600)
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Gavazzi
5% GOY on Jacksonville
4 Vikes
4 GB
3 Panthers
3 Philly
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Wayne Root
Mill- Chicago
No limit- Oak
Perfect Play- BALTIMORE
Inner circle- PITT
Pinnacle/ LA chargers
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Mike Missanelli
ravens
eagles
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Sterling
25 LAC
20 KC, Indy
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Platinum Sports Investing
We are adding 2 more games for Sunday
Bet to WIN 1%
Baltimore +4 -115 (Bovada)
Tennessee +3.5
LA Chargers +4
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Paul Leiner
3000* over panthers. 42
100*seahawks -41/2
100* packers-4
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Maddux
20* NY Jets -3
10* Tampa Bay +6
10* Tampa Bay/Seattle over 51
10* Green Bay/LA Chargers over 48
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Bob Balfe
NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #459-460
Vikings -4.5 over Chiefs
NFL
4:05 PM EST
Rotation #465-466
Raiders -3 over Lions
NFL
4:05 PM EST
Rotation #467-468
Bucs/Seahawks Over 51.5
NFL
4:25 PM EST
Rotation #471-472
Packers -4 over Chargers
Packers/Chargers Over 49
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Jack Winningham
NFL
Seattle -4.5
NHL
Anaheim -150
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lv wolf
over 50.5
det/ oak
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Bondi
4* Buffalo
3* Tampa Bay
3* Cleveland
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The Action Network
Sharp plays
Pitt/IND un 40.5
CHIC/PHIL un 41
Tampa Bay +5
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GIANNI THE GREEK
Game: (457) Chicago Bears at (458) Philadelphia Eagles
Date/Time: Nov 3 2019 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago Bears 5.0 (-110)
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (465) Detroit Lions at (466) Oakland Raiders
Date/Time: Nov 3 2019 4:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 50.5 (-108)
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Stephen Nover
AFC Game of the Month
NY Jets
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Sports Formula Plus 10* Carolina under
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NHL Situational Violator
Anaheim
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
------------------------------------
Hot Shot Sports
NBA
3* #524 San Antonio +1
------------------------------------
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Winning Points
6* Carolina -3.5
5* Philli -4
4* Detroit +3
4* Patriots -3
4* Cleveland -3
4* Seattle/Tampa Bay Over 51
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Primetime Sports Picks For 11/03/19
4 Unit --> Cleveland -4 over Denver (NFL)
3 Unit --> Houston/Jacksonville UNDER 47 (NFL)
3 Unit --> Tampa Bay +5 over Seattle (NFL)
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Gridirontotals
buf/skins under 37
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Chris Jordan
16th Ever
Double Your Wager
2000♦
NFL Release in 37 Years
MISMATCH OF THE YEAR
2-TOUCHDOWN ROUT
Packers
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Jack Brayman
50 Dime
Winner # 5 in a Row
Sunday Night Total of the Year
Over Patriots
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Dave Essler
NFL (3*) Triple Dime Max Bet - Eagles
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Tom Stryker
14-0 ATS NFL DIVISION BEST BET OF THE WEEK
Jets
13-0 ATS NFL NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH
Lions
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Executive Sportsline football
1:00
NFL
400%
Pittsburgh -1
over Ind.Colts
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Steve Budin
CALI-CARTEL
50 DIME
WINNER # 34 OF 52
Green Bay
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Miller locks
1:00 pm est nfl
washington redskins vs. Buffalo bills
pick: Under 37 (-108)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
indianapolis colts vs. Pittsburgh steelers
pick: Pittsburgh steelers -1 (-107)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
washington redskins vs. Buffalo bills
pick: Washington redskins +11 (-109)
risk: 11 units
4:05 pm est nfl
detroit lions vs. Oakland raiders
pick: Oakland raiders (-145)
risk: 11 units
4:25 pm est nfl
cleveland browns vs. Denver broncos
pick: Denver broncos +4 (-111)
risk: 11 units
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Scott Delaney
My First
75 Dime
Football Release
of the Entire Season
Eagles
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Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Release
Eagles
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Tony Weston
25 Dime
NFL Winne
Oakland
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Dwayne Connors
Top-End
1000 UNIT
Sunday Night Dead Mortal Lock
Patriots
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PGF's Moves
November 3, 2019 - 55670931
03-Nov-2019: 464 Pittsburgh Steelers -ML
03-Nov-2019: NFL PROP BET Christian McCaffrey (CAR) Total Receptions - Must Play [94437] TOTAL o5½+110 (C MCCAFFREY (CAR) RECEPTIONS vrs C MCCAFFREY (CAR) RECEPTIONS)
03-Nov-2019: 464 Pittsburgh Steelers Under 40.5
03-Nov-2019: NFL PROP BET TEAM TOTAL TAMPA BAY OVER 23 POINTS
03-Nov-2019: NBA 524] TOTAL u218-105 (LA LAKERS vrs SA SPURS)
03-Nov-2019: NBA [1524] TOTAL u112-105 (1H LA LAKERS vrs 1H SA SPURS)
03-Nov-2019: NFL 454 Buffalo Bills -10 -120
03-Nov-2019: NFL 459 Minnesota Vikings -4
03-Nov-2019: NFL 452 Jacksonville Jaguars +1
01-Nov-2019: NFL 451 Houston Texans Over 46
01-Nov-2019: NFL 457 Chicago Bears +5
01-Nov-2019: NFL Baltimore Ravens 11/3/2019 9:20 PM - (EST) Spread +3.5 3% ($300) Buying off the Patriots with the Ravens +145 ML as well
31-Oct-2019: NFL 302 Arizona Cardinals +10.5
31-Oct-2019: NFL 467 TAMPA BAY +6 -115
31-Oct-2019: NFL New England Patriots 11/3/2019 9:20 PM - (EST) Money Line -160 for Game R
28-Oct-2019: NFL 278 Pittsburgh Steelers Under 44 2% ($200) Buying off the over 43 from early in the week and ending up with one position on the under
17-Oct-2019: NBA FUTURE DEN Nuggets +1200 CONFERENCE WINNER - INCLUDING PLAYOFFS
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Chuck OBrien
5th Ever 100 Dime NFL Play of my Career
Browns
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Rooster's Moves
November 3, 2019 -
03-Nov-2019: 462 Miami+3.5-115 (1%)
03-Nov-2019: 464 Pitt-1.5 (1%)
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
TAMPA +6.5
CAR -3
MIAMI +3
PHIL -5
TENN +10.5/KC +10
MIAMI +9/SEA +.5
KC +10/INDY +7
CLEV +2/NE +3
WASH-BUFF OVER 33/
TENN-CAR OVER 37
OVER CAR/TENN 43
UNDER DEN FIRST HALF 20
Prop
Lamar Jackson UNDER 216 PASSING YARDS
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Sean Michaels
Top-Rated
100 DIME
Double-Digit
Blowout of the Year
Buffalo
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Bob Valentino
Top-Rated
100 DIME
Lead Pipe Lock
Interconference Game of the Year
Packers
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Ultra Sports 11/3
Ravens
Panthers
Colts
__________________
Bow Knows Spreads
Bears +4.5
__________________
Las Vegas Pipeline
100 Patriots
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Rocksolidsportspicks
steelers -1
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SkyBluePicks
Chicago Bears +5
Tampa Bay Bucs +4.5
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MTI
4.5-Star Titans +3.5 over PANTHERS The Titans have a good defense, as their opponent has scored on only 26.8% of their drives, which is fourth-best in the league. They also have a decent running attack. The Panthers are off a humiliating performance in San Francisco. This activates a play-AGAINST system for the Panthers.
Home teams off a loss in which they were not getting a TD or more and allowed more than four yards per play are 0-27 ATS vs a team that has a third down conversion rate of less than 41.4%, has allowed an average of fewer than 24 ppg and has rushed the ball more than 15 times per game. The SDQL text is:
H and p:L and oS(100*3DM) / oS(3DA)<41.4 and oA(ooints)<24 and p:line4 and oA(rushes)>15 and date>=20181025
The Panthers themselves are 0-8 ATS (-8.19 ppg) as a favorite off a loss when they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40. Despite being the favorite in each game, Carolina has lost each of the last six straight up.
The Panthers are now 4-3 on the season and this activates a neat record-based system that indicates to play against 4-3 teams that are a significant home favorite off a significant ATS loss and are facing a team with a decent rushing game. Specifically, home FG-plus favorites that are 4-3 on the season, did not win 13-plus games the previous regular season, and are off a 3-plus point ATS loss are 0-22 ATS against a team that has averaged at least 75 rushing yards per game. The SDQL text is:
H and line<=-3 and wins = 4 and losses = 3 and PRSW<13 and p:ats margin75 and season >= 1996
This one cashed for us last week, as the Texans qualified against the Raiders.
Lastly for Carolina, we see that they are 0-12 ATS as a favorite on grass when they are off a road game and they are facing a team that has average fewer than 32 passes per game and fewer than five yards per rush. The SDQL is:
team=Panthers and F and surface=grass and p:A and oA(passes)<32 and oA(YPRA)=20051200
The Titans have won and covered two straight. In their last game, a 27-23 victory over the Buccaneers, they had 73 rushing yards, 77 penalty yards and benefitted from a 4-1 takeaway margin. The Titans 9-0 ATS on the road off a home game after a game in which they had a takeaway margin of at least plus two, are 5-0 ATS recently as a dog on grass after a SU and ATS win, covering by an average of 13.0 ppg.
Finally, the Titans are a character-revealing 5-0 ATS (+11.80 ppg) as a dog on grass when they are playing a team with a better record. Their last qualifying game was week ten from last season when they beat the Patriots 34-10 getting 6.5 points.
We are grabbing the significant points.
MTis FORECAST: Titans 17 PANTHERS 16
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MTI
4.5-Star Redskins +9.5 over BILLS In their first five games of the season, when Jay Gruden was their head coach, the Redskins allowed: 32, 31, 31, 24, and 33 points. In their three games under Bill Callahan, Washington has allowed 16, 9 and 19 points respectively. We are grabbing the big number.
Buffalo is off a 31-13 home loss to the Eagles to drop them to 5-2 on the season. The Bills other loss was also at home, as they are 2-2 at home this season and 3-0 on the road. This activates an interesting system that has been perfect since 2008. Home favorites over a non-divisional opponent that won their last two road games are 0-23 ATS with more than three days rest when they are off a loss in which they had fewer than 475 yards of offense and allowed fewer than six passing TDs. The SDQL text is:
HF and NDIV and p:L and po:PTD<6 and p:TY3 and date>=20080000
In short, home favorite that have won on the road have been overrated by the linesmakers. This one has been active three times this season and we cashed every one of them. Fitting in perfectly here is the fact that the Bills are 0-7 ATS (-10.57 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a game as a favorite and they won their last two road games.
The Bills have not recovered well after a loss like they had last week, going 0-12 ATS (-11.96 ppg) off a loss as a home favorite in which they allowed at least five third-down conversions.
In addition, Buffalo is 0-7 ATS (-8.29 ppg) as a favorite over a non-divisional opponent when they are off a double-digit loss in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average and 0-7 ATS (-15.00 ppg) when the total is at least five points lower than it was in their last game and they were a home favorite in their last game.
The Redskins have been able to hang within the number vs good defensive teams. Washington is a perfect 12-0 ATS (+8.83 ppg) as a dog vs a team that is forcing more than 5.9 punts per game.
Washington has not gone over their team total for three straight games, but this is actually a play-ON spot for them, as they are 7-0 ATS as a dog when they are off three consecutive games with a negative DPS.
The Bills are not worried at all about the Redskins scoring a lot of points here. They will orchestrate a battle of field position and wait for the Redskins to make a mistake on offense. In a game like this, 9.5 points is huge.
Since 2015, there has been only one other game in the NFL with an OU line of less than 37. The Jaguars were a 6.5 point favorite over the Redskins and the Jaguars won 16-13. We expect a similar score here.
MTis FORECAST: BILLS 16 Redskins 13
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MTI
4.5-Star Packers at Chargers UNDER 48.5 We have a THREE career-perfect, key-player indicators that point to the UNDER here. First of all, the Packers are 0-11 OU (-9.86 ppg) since Jamaal Williams was drafted in 2017 after a road game in which he didn't have a 20+ yard reception. The SDQL text is:
team=Packers and Jamaal Williams:longest reception<20 and p:COMP=2017
Second, the Packers signed Geronimo Allison in 2016 and since then Green Bay is 0-7 OU (-9.86 ppg) after a road win by more than a field goal in which he had fewer than two receptions. The SDQL text is:
team=Packers and Geronimo Allison:receptions3 and season >=2016
Lastly, the Chargers signed Austin Ekeler as an undrafted free agent in 2017. Since then, the Chargers are 0-12 OU off a road game in which he rushed for fewer than 25 yards. The SDQL text is:
team=Chargers and Austin Ekeler:rushing yards= 2017
Green Bay also qualifies for a league-wide, multi-season system. It reads, Teams are 0-20 OU (-9.20 ppg) as a road favorite after a game as a road favorite in which a game in which they failed on at least one goal-to-go attempt. The SDQL is a straightforward:
AF and p:AF and p:GTGF>0 and date >= 20151200
Finally, the Chargers are 0-14 OU (-12.38 ppg) as a home dog off a game as a dog in which their passing yards to rushing yards ratio was at least 2.25 and they had a completion percentage of better than 58.5. The SDQL for this one is:
team=Chargers and HD and p and p:PY/p:RY>2.25 and p:CP>58.5
We make the UNDER the play.
MTis FORECAST: Packers 23 CHARGERS 16
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MTI
4.5 Star Vikings at Chiefs UNDER 48.5 The Chiefs are off a loss as a home dog to the Packers and they host another NFC North team here. The Chiefs have converted 6 of 11 third down attempts vs the Packers, for a healthy 55% conversion rate. However, they allowed the Packers to convert 8 of 13, for an even better 62%. If the Chiefs are going to win here, they cant allow the Vikings to sustain drives with a new set of downs. We have a system that indicates the Chiefs will emphasize their defense; teams that are off a loss as a home dog and converted at least five third downs in each of their last two games are 0-19 OU on grass when they are facing a team that has averaged fewer than 5.5 yards per rushing attempt. This system was 0-11 OU in 2017, 0-5 OU last season a is 0-2 OU so far this season.
As a team, the Chiefs are 0-9 OU (-13.89 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass off a loss facing an opponent that is averaging at least 28 rushes per game, 0-8 OU (-7.38 ppg) as a favorite on grass after a game in which they had at least three fewer penalties than their season-to-date average and 0-8 OU (-8.69 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass off a loss in which their opponent converted at least five third downs.
The Vikings recorded four sacks against the Redskins in their last game and this qualifies them for an emerging system that indicates the UNDER. When the line is within three points of pick on grass NFL Teams that are off a game as a favorite in which they recorded four-plus sacks are 0-15 OU, staying UNDER by an average of 15.96 ppg.
Kansas City has forced an average of 3.4 punts per game this season, and this is ranked 27th in the league. The Vikings have tended to stay UNDER vs similar teams, as they are 0-10 OU (-11.85 ppg) off a game as a favorite off a win facing an opponent that is forcing an average of fewer than four punts per game. The SDQL text is:
team=Vikings and p:F and p:W and oA(ounts)=20141116
In their last two games in this spot, the Vikings beat the Lions 27-9 and the Redskins 19-9.
Finally, Minnesota is 0-11 OU (-8.18 ppg) on grass after a double-digit win as a home favorite in which they converted at least five third downs, including two UNDERs this season. The SDQL is:
team=Vikings and surface=grass and p:H and p:F and p:margin>=10 and p:3DM>=5 and date>=20031214
Make the play the UNDER.
MTis FORECAST: Vikings 20 CHIEFS 17
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Kelso 100 Buffalo
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Sports Betting Champ NBA System play 6-0 so far???
Dallas ML [A]
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Seabass : 400 sac Kings , 200 redskins , 400 ravens , 400 chargers , 600 bears , 600 Tampa bay bucs , 400 Steelers , no limit Carolina game over (nfl) , 300 3 team teaser bills game under , bears game under , packers game over
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Lang 100 dimes on Tenn
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cal sports
5* clev
4*. Jx
3*buff
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 3 2019 4:05PM
465 DET 3.0(-110) Southpoint vs 466 OAK double-dime bet
Analysis: Now that this line is +3, I will take my chance with Detroit.
Two pretty equal teams, but if Oak has ANY lingering impact from the 21,000 mile roatrip the last 5 games, we have an edge now..
Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 3 2019 1:00PM
462 MIA 3.5(-110) Southpoint vs 461 NYJ double-dime bet
Analysis: Fitz has been a top 10 QB the last 3 games, playing solid football.
The Jets are in disarray with cluster injuries at many positions.
Mia has a great chance to get their 1st win today.
Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 3 2019 1:00PM
460 KAN 5.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 459 MIN double-dime bet
Analysis: You may get +6 if you wait.........
I actually made this game only 3, and I almost 3*'d KC here!
KC actually played well vs. GB, and I think Cousins will NOT be able to win this game like Rodgers did.
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Dwayne Bryant
#452 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +105 Money Line BET SIZE = 3%
#467 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +5 (-110) BET SIZE = 5%
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The Biz (split last week which was his worst NFL day of the season. Otherwise over 65%). Released last night late.
(W) Houston/Jacksonville 1H UNDER 23
New York Jets -3
Philadelphia/Chicago UNDER 41
Pittsburgh 1H -.5
Tennessee/Carolina UNDER 42.5
Tampa Bay +5
Tampa Bay/Seattle UNDER 53
Cleveland -4
Green Bay/LA Chargers UNDER 49
Baltimore +3.5
Dallas/NY Giants UNDER 48
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