WNBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WNBA Finals Prediction: Los Angeles at Minnesota
By Nick Lagouretos
Bangthebook.com
In Game 2 of the 2017 WNBA Finals the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx (27-7) are hosting once again the second-seeded and defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (26-8 ) in a rematch of a thrilling game that lived up to the hype that both squads built up all season long.
In Game 1 on Sunday, the defending champions blew a huge first quarter lead but eventually managed to win a thrilling game on the road with an 85-84 score, getting the 1-0 lead in the finals. Sparks shocked the team with the best record in the league by opening the game with 12 unanswered points and skyrocketing the lead to 26 later in the first quarter (28-2). Lynx did not look like a team that have been to six finals in the last seven seasons but that changed quickly in the second quarter when they held Sparks into just 11 points, cutting the lead down to 10 by halftime (43-33). Both teams went hand in hand in the third until Lynx pushed back in the fourth and almost stole the game if it wasn’t for Gray’s buzzer beater that gave Sparks the win. Gray had a team high 27 points for Sparks who saw all five starters in double digit scoring. For Lynx, Moore had 27 and Fowles double doubled with 22 and 13 boards.
This will be the 5th meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles leading 3-1 wins, including two wins on the road. Minnesota are 17-3 at home, while Los Angeles are 12-7 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a league third-best 85.4 ppg to Los Angeles’ 83.5, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Los Angeles’ second-best of 75.2. Los Angeles have a slightly better field goal percentage, shooting with a league-best 48% to Minnesota’s 47.8% (second-best), while Minnesota have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with a second-best 37% to Los Angeles’ 34.2%. Lynx lead the league in assists made, with 20.4 ppg to Sparks’ 18.6, and are better in rebounding, grabbing 35.4 to Sparks’ third-worse of 31.1. Sparks commit less turnovers (13.3 to 14.3). Expect another extremely close game tonight, so pick Los Angeles in this one.
Prediction: Los Angeles +6
LOS ANGELES (30 - 8 ) at MINNESOTA (30 - 8 ) - 9/26/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 11-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-9 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
StatFox Super Situations
LOS ANGELES at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Underdogs (LOS ANGELES) good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less 41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -1.3 units )
LOS ANGELES at MINNESOTA
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games 43-21 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
LOS ANGELES at MINNESOTA
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (MINNESOTA) poor defensive team - allowing 73+ points/game on the season against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less 52-22 since 1997. ( 70.3% | 27.8 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )