Mighty Quinn
Lakers +2
Cappers Access
Temple
S.Flor
Mavs
LT'S LOCK
The LOCK: The Hawks -2'
POINTWISE
NC-CHARLOTTE over Clemson RATING: 1
JAMES MADISON over Wm & Mary RATING: 3
THE GOLD SHEET
DUQUESNE by 16 over Fordham
CTO
11* George Mason
10* New Orleans (CBB)
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Indiana Pacers at Phoenix Suns
Indiana scores 103.5 on the road and allows 105.3 which is a lot for an Eastern Conference team. It has alternated unders and overs its last seven contests with this being an "over" contest. It has also played seven overs its last 10 trips to Phoenix and is 32-18 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Phoenix meanwhile has gone over in five of its last eight, scoring 137 in its last against Denver.
Play on: Over
WINNING POINTS
**PREFERRED
*Milwaukee over Miami by 10
We’ll continue to look to fade the Heat, playing their third road game in four days and
fourth in six days. The Heat are banged-up. Shaquille O’Neal has started to miss time
because of a thigh injury. Point guard Jason Williams has a bad knee, which makes him day-to-day. Second-string point guard Chris Quinn has been out leaving the Heat thin at this crucial spot and vulnerable to underrated Mo Williams. O’Neal and William
are two of the worst defenders at their respective positions. They’re even more immobile when saddled by injuries. MILWAUKEE 108-98.
**PREFERRED
Detroit over *Dallas by 6
The Pistons are one Eastern club that traditionally has been able to hold their own
against the elite Western clubs. The Pistons came into the final days of December playing the best defense in the NBA holding seven of their last eight foes to fewer than 81 points. Not one of these opponents could manage even 90 points on Detroit. The Pistons’ bench is playing better this season, which has been a help. The Mavericks have yet to reach last season’s consistency. DETROIT 96-90
Black Magic Sports
NBA:
5 Unit Black Magic NBA Blowout of the Week on Phoenix Suns -11
Phoenix will take advantage of Indiana?s inability to defend. We cashed in Utah last night over the Pacers and as the Jazz won by 22 points. Now we will continue to bet against Indiana tonight as we crush the books courtesy of the Phoenix Suns. Indiana has lost 7 out of their last 8 games now. They have failed to cover the spread in each loss as well. This may be the ugliest defeat the Pacers suffer all season tonight. Indiana is 3-19 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging more than 23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. They don?t defend the pick and roll well at all. Steve Nash and company will put on a show tonight. Cash in with Phoenix as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Dallas Mavericks -2.5
The Mavericks will kick the Pistons while they are down on TNT tonight. Detroit finally lost a game to the Boston Celtics in their last game out. It will suffer rare back-to-back losses when the Mavs get done with Detroit Wednesday. We will play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3, a hot team with at least 20 wins in their last 25 games. This System is 36-14 over the last 5 seasons with a 72% winning ratio. Oddsmakers tend to give these hot teams too much respect. Detroit should be a much bigger underdog tonight. Cash in with Dallas as the favorite.
NCAA Basketball:
3 Unit Sharp Play on Troy State -1
Troy at 8-6 on the season will roll right over Florida International at 4-9 on the year. Troy has won 7 out of their last 9 games overall and they are not about to let Florida International spoil their party tonight. Florida International is 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. Troy beat Florida International on the road 56-51 last season. A repeat performance will come true Wednesday. Troy State is 10-2 ATS after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game. Florida International is 4-13 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Troy State as the favorite.
3 Unit Sharp Play on George Mason -5
George Mason is 10-4 on the year. 5 Starters have returned for their ?07-08 campaign and their experience is paying off in the early season. George Mason is 10-1 ATS in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. George Mason has played a tough schedule to this point with games against Villanova, South Carolina, Kansas State and Kent State. This experience against better teams will have George Mason winning by double-digits against a lesser Delaware squad tonight. Cash in with George Mason as the favorite.
Arthur Ralph
Superpick
Georgia Bulldogs
Regular
Dayton
South Carolina
MTI / KILLER SPORTS
The Pacers’ Amazing Three-Point Dichotomy! The Indiana Pacers have the most amazing brace of trends we’ve seen in our 25-year history of handicapping the NBA. The pair of trends involve a team taking at least 20 three-point shots and making less than 25% of them. The first trend is that the Pacers are a “perfect” 0-22 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since November 23, 2000 as a favorite with at least one day of rest after a game in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. This team trend was 0-6 last season and in their only active date so far this season, the Pacers lost 90-72 as a six point home favorite to the Grizzlies.
PACERS
A Smart
Game: George Mason at Delaware
Prediction: George Mason
Reason: The George Mason Patriots were 2 minutes away from a CAA championship last season , and this year despite of not being loaded , are still talented in deep at every position. They have shown some inconsistencies , but that was in non conference play, and you have remember that HC Larranaga is a systems coach and is consistently fine tuning it during the early part of the campaign, and letting it hang out during the most important part of the programs schedule. Tonight the Patriots using their motion offense and their scramble defense, will be ready to perform in big way against a Delaware team that had little offense last year, and is still a work in progress under second year coach Monty Ross. Final notes & Key Trends:George Mason is 10-1 ATS in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds, winning SU by just under 10 PPG. Play on George Mason
Game: Mississippi at Tennessee
Prediction: Tennessee
Reason: The mighty Tennessee Volunteers come out her with revenge on their minds for a loss to same Ole Miss program last season on the road , in 83 -69 beat down. The Rebels are playing well, and have won and unlucky 13 straight games, but it all comes to an abrupt end tonight against a team that is looking forward to playing them. Final notes & Key Trends: Tennessee is 4-0 ATS L/4 at home in this series. Tennessee is 15-4 ATS L/19 at home against good shooting teams that convert on 45% of their FGs, winning those tilt SU by an average of 12.8 PPG. Play on Tennessee
Game: Denver at New Orleans
Prediction: New Orleans
Reason: The talented New Orleans Privateers and their Doogie Howser look alike 30 year old coach Joe Pasternack prepare to take down a Sunbelt rival ,Denver program this evening that is in a rebuilding season , and off a year where they lost 25 games including 17 by double digits. Im expecting the Pioneers to be on the wrong side of another double digit beat down in this spot tonight. Final notes & Key Trends: Denver has averaged just 48.9 PPG on offense in road games this season. Denver 9-21 ATS L/30 on the road. New Orleans has won straight at home in this series. Play on New Orleans
RED ZONE
Syracuse
BeatYourBookie
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Duquesne (-10) over Fordham.
Fordham is 1-7 ATS in all games this season
Fordham is 40-61 ATS as a road underdog
Fordham is 4-13 ATS coming off a non-conference game
50* Play Creighton (-13.5) over Evansville.
Creighton is 9-1 SU vs. Evansville at home
Creighton is 17-7 ATS vs. conference opponents the last 2 seasons
Creighton is 9-1 ATS after scoring 60 points or less
Michael Cannon
20 Dime
PITT
Take Pitt as the small road chalk tonight over South Florida.
Much has been made of the Panthers injuries this year, losing starting forward Mike Cook and starting point guard Levance Fields. Although those two played a big part in Pitt?s success, the Panthers have a deep bench that can compensate for those losses.
Take their last game against Villanova, where Pitt hadn?t won in years and found themselves as a 5 ?-point dog. Despite 22 turnovers, Pitt had the ball on the last possession with a chance to win.
They ended up losing by one, but the fact they had a chance to win it on their last possession, despite the sloppy play, showed me that this team can and still will play great defense which will allow them to stay in every game.
South Florida doesn?t have an answer for this athletic Pitt team, despite its injuries. Freshman Dajuan Blair has been one of the best newcomers to the conference and routinely puts up double-doubles. Coach Jamie Dixon?s decision to open up the Pitt offense has allowed the athletic Sam Young to blossom this year. Freshman Gilbert Brown took over Cook?s spot in the lineup and brings some mad hops to the floor.
There?s no way Pitt is going to open the season with consecutive conference losses. They are an athletic team that wants to run on offense, yet maintains the discipline to play great defense.
Lay the points with Pitt as they grab a six-point road win and cover.
10 Dime
DUKE
Lay the points with Duke tonight when they travel to take on Temple.
Duke is trying to regroup before their ACC season starts, but coach Mike Krzyzewski was not happy with his team?s latest effort. The Blue Devils beat Cornell 81-67 on Sunday, but Coach K was not happy with several miscues in the win.
He felt his team wasn?t aggressive enough on loose balls, and wasn?t discussing its mistakes.
When trying to correct its mistakes back at practice on Monday, starting center Brian Zoubek broke his left foot. His injury is a big blow, but Duke remains one of the deeper teams in the country. They have four players with double-digit scoring averages.
Temple, on the other hand, is pretty much a one man show with Dionte Christmas, who is tied for the Atlantic 10 scoring lead with 20.9 points per game.
Duke will be able to limit his shots, forcing his teammates to pick up the scoring slack.
When they?re not, Duke will turn their transition game into quality scoring chances and slowly pull away.
The Blue Devils have won seven straight against Temple, including last January?s 73-55 win.
Take Duke minus the points as they grab the road win and cover.
5 Dime
BUCKS
Take the Bucks as the home chalk tonight over the Heat.
Miami is playing its third road game in four days and fourth in six days. They are banged up and Shaquille O?Neal is doubtful for tonight?s game with a thigh injury. Jason Williams is also among the walking wounded with a bad knee.
O?Neal and Williams are two of the league?s worst defenders at their respective positions. The Heat are even more immobile when saddled by injuries.
Take the Bucks as the home chalk as they grab the home win and cover tonight.
Jeff Bonds
NBA Sides
triple-dime bet IND 11.0 vs PHO
Analysis:
The Indiana Pacers are coming off a blowout loss against the Utah Jazz last night and the public certainly has this in their mind, as the Suns are getting bet on at over a 70% clip.
Little do they know - the Pacers excel with no rest and find and travel to face a home favorite that has struggled in covering double-digit spreads at home.
The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games with zero days off - failing to cover in this situation against the Detroit Pistons by just half a point. They won the previous five games in this situation - covering by an AMAZING 10.4 points.
Indiana bounces back tonight and gets us the cash
Stan Sharp...
NBA Sides
double-dime bet HOU -5.0 vs NYK
Analysis: Both these teams played and Won last night and now battle in the Garden tonight. Vegas has set this line too low off of New York's Upset win in Chicago last night. Houston is on a roll winning 5 of 7 with only 2 losses to Golden St & Boston. This game is a mismatch. TAKE HOUSTON as STAN'S NBA BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Big AL
Colonial Athlethic Association Game of the Year
Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Drexel
Paul Leiner
20* NBA Over 186.5 Tor/Phi
10* CBB Umass -4
free play 5* CBB Syracuse -3.5
Bobby Bo
3* NBA Atlanta -2.5
3* LA Lakers +2
3* NCAAB Pittsburgh -3
1* Free Play Indiana/Phoenix over 225
JON STARZ NBA
CLEV +3 1 unit
ROBERT FERRINGO
5.5-Unit Play. Take #527 George Mason (-5.5) over Delaware
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
The Blue Hens have gotten off to a nice start in conference play, going 3-0, but they’ve done so by beating some of the weaker teams in the conference. I love Mason’s experience in a spot like this as well as the fact that they’ve won five straight in this series and seven of eight. The core players from last year’s teams are back, and the Patriots won both meetings by an average of 25 points. Five of Mason’s last seven wins over Delaware have been by double digits with the average at 14.9 points. Delaware is 301st in the nation in shooting and I just don’t think they can score enough to keep this one close. I know the Hens are an improved team and we've cashed several times with them recently. But the Patriots are primed for a big game and will be focused and ready to take this one.
3-Unit Play. Take #583 Davidson (-12) over Elon
You know I’m always hesitant to lay the big number but I’m working on it! Davidson beat Elon by 30 on the road and by 25 at home last year. In fact, the Wildcats have won nine straight against the Phoenix by an average of 14.3 points and, discounting the last two maimings, the previous seven by an average of 11 points. Elon has played five games against teams in the Top 160 and are 0-6 with their losses coming by an average of 15 points and only one of those games was decided by less than 11 points. Elon lost by 14 at home to Tusculum this year. I think the Wildcats can take them.
3-Unit Play. Take #557 Syracuse (-3) over Cincinnati
2-Unit Play. Take #557 Syracuse (-155) over Cincinnati
You know who Syracuse is this year: they are Texas from last year. The Orange score, score and score some more. They won at Virginia this year so I don’t think they’re going to be intimidated by a half-empty arena in Cincy. The Bearcats are 3-8-1 ATS at home and 8-22-4 ATS in Big East play recently. Syracuse is 11-4-1 ATS as a road favorite and 14-2 ATS after three or more consecutive home games.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #563 Mississippi State (-2.5) over LSU
First off, LSU stinks. I mean, they are really bad. Second, they are down to just seven scholarship players tonight against one of the better teams in the SEC. The Bulldogs tested themselves in the nonconference and are going to be ready to open conference play with a big win. MSU’s center Charles Rhodes is likely out for MSU, but they still have more talent and experience on the perimeter. The Bulldogs won both matchups last year against better LSU teams, and the Tigers are just 18-38-1 ATS over the past three years.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #545 Charlotte (+15) over Clemson
You have to wonder if there will be any hangover from the Tigers’ home loss to North Carolina on Sunday night. I think it’s difficult to ask them to get back up and blow out the 49ers by 18 or 20 points. Clemson’s six wins over teams ranked No. 200 or better have come by an average of 10 points and Charlotte’s five losses have all come on the road but have come by an average of just five points. The 49ers have been an awful, awful shooting team over their last five games but I think they’re do for a 40-plus percent showing and that should help them work within this large cushion.
2-Unit Play. Take #567 Marshall (-4) over Rice
Rice still stinks. They don't have a home court advantage because they are playing off site and they are facing a sneaky-good Thundering Herd team that is off two solid victories. No letdown here.
Locksmith Sports COMP
1 Unit on Duke -12.5
The three point line will kill Temple tonight. The Owls are 0-12 versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons and 5-13 ATS versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Duke is an impressive 52-29 ATS in January games since 1997 and 6-0 ATS off a no-cover where they won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Duke has won 7 straight over Temple dating back to 1997. It returns 4 starters from a team that thumped Temple by 18 last season and the Blue Devils are considerably better this year. Take Duke!
Jeff Alexander COMP
1 Unit on Syracuse -3.5
12-3 Syracuse handles 6-8 Cincy in this one. Syracuse has won 6 in a row and 8 of its last 9. The Bearcats have lost 6 of 8. Cincy is just 10-31 ATS versus good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games since 1997 and just 10-24 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Bearcats are also 5-14 ATS in January games over the last 3 seasons. Syracuse has won 3 of the last 4 meetings in this series and it has the far more talented team this season. This is just a rebuilding year for Cincy while the Cuse have a team capable of doing some damage in the Tourney. Lay the points here.