Tony Mathew's Free College Basketball Selection for January 9, 2008.
Matchup: Northwestern vs. Minnesota
Selection: Minnesota -12.5 (-110)
Explanation: We will side with Minnesota as they face-off against Northwestern in Wednesday's College Basketball contest.
The Minnesota offense should have no problem destroying Northwestern tonight. Northwestern (on the road) is scoring an average of 55.2 points per game, while Minnesota (at home) is scoring an average of 80.1 points per game. That means the Minnesota offense is scoring an average of 24.9 points per game more then the Northwestern offense.
Minnesota is a perfect 7-0 at home this season, while Northwestern is 1-3 on the road this season.
Minnesota won SU & ATS the last meeting they had with Northwestern, and should be able to do the same once again tonight.
Take Minnesota -12.5!
Greg Shaker..
CBB Sides
double-dime bet Dayton -3.0 vs Rhode Island
Analysis:
Note: Winning on the road is very tough in any conference and certainly the Atlantic 10 is one of them. That is very true when the Dayton Flyers are the home team. They love it here and always have superb support from the home following. That was the case when Pittsburgh came to town just the other day and go their ass handed to them in a big way with a 25 point drubbing to the Flyers. While that was not a conference affair, it did show us just how good this team can be when they are motivtaed to perform. Losing last year at Rhode Island by just 1 point is reason enough to play Dayron tonight but there are additional reasons as well. While both teams have extreme offensive efficiency, and both have played overall great D, the Flyers are at a venue where they perform as well as any team that I know of. I have won a ton of money on this team here at home and I liken this court to that of the University of Detroit, with fans bearing down upon you and very close to courtside. That is a difficult thing for visitors and it will be for the Rams tonight. This will be the 4th true road game for Rhode Island and so far hot shooting by this team has kept them in contests. In fact they are hitting over 44% from beyond the arc in those game and that has allowed them to win 2 of the 3 including a not-so-difficult win at Brown. But they have also not stopped the opposition, allowing almost 46% shooting, and tonight they face a team that can be lights out from anywhere on the court. Dayton can crash the boards as well and have a +10 rebound edge here,including a 39-32 edge over Pitt, considered one of the more physical teams in the country. It is not surprise to me that OVER is 13-1 here at this arena last 14 because the Flyers simply love to shoot at these baskets. Their inside-outside play is the best that I have seen watching them in 3 games this year. They box out very well and they do not force shots. Their #220 Pace is evident of what they are and how they play. We can expect Dayton to only take the best shots available and to be in a position for a re-up on a missed shot. I am laying this small number.
Burns
Blowout---------Xavier
Blue Chip--------Under 76ers/Raptors
Non-Conf TOW---Under Magic/Clipps
Marc Lawrence COMP
Marc Lawrence College Hoops Free Play!
Play On: Iowa
Note: Hawkeyes travel to Columbus to take on Ohio State knowing they are 10-5 ATS as visitors in this series. With Iowa off a double-digit loss and the Buckeyes off a double-digit win, we'll grab the points with the Hawkeyes this evening.
King Creole ...
CBB Sides
double-dime bet Duquesne -10.5 vs Fordham
Analysis: #544 / 2** DUQUESNE DUKES minus the points vs Fordham / 7:00pm ET
#580 / 2** ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS minus (OR plus) the points vs Arizona / 9:30pm ET
Not only do we have the EXTRA incentive of DOUBLE-Revenge tonight, but we also have a couple of HOT teams who can indeed cover the numbers based on their current outstanding seasons. The Dukes of Duquesne are already 10-3 SU on the year (and 6-1 at home).... and have won 4 games in a row. The Sun Devils of Arizona State are no longer doormats of the PAC 10 Conference as they are 12-2 SU on the year and 10-0 SU at home.
Now comes the PERFECT Situations
So far in the 2007/2008 season. College teams playing with DOUBLE-Revenge from last season are a very profitable 33-15 ATS (69%). If our "Revenger" is playing off a SU win (BOTH teams), the results improve to 18-3 ATS (86%) on the year. And if our "Revenger" is playing in the cozy and confident confines of their HOME arena (BOTH teams), the results are a PERFECT 9-0 ATS so far this season.
With the 'home cookin' confidence.... both teams off MULTIPLE wins in a row.... and the extra incentive of DOUBLE-Revenge, we'll gladly lay the points tonight with the DUKES and the SUN DEVILS
MTI Sports comp play
5*CAVS
Jack Majors comp
Blazers
BeatYourBookie
NBA Basketball
100* Play Boston (-14) over Charlotte
(7:30 P.M. EST)
Charlotte is 6-14 ATS as an underdog this season
Charlotte is 3-11 ATS coming off an OVER the total this season
Charlotte is 2-7 SU over the last 9 games
Rocketman Comp
Miami @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Miami +4 1/2
Milwaukee is allowing 100.2 points per game overall this year. Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bucks are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bucks are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bucks are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Southeast. Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Bucks are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Heat are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. We'll play Miami for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE Hoops Power Play of the Day is:
Take Northeastern (-5.5) over Drexel (NCAA Power Play)
7:00 PM EST
Drexel
• 15-25 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons
• 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season
Other VSE Premium Hoops Play:
Take Georgia Tech (+2.5) over Georgia (NCAA)
Take Phoenix (-11) over Indiana (NBA)
Red Dog Sports
3* Charlotte +15
3* Ga -2
3* Dayton -3
Docs Sports's
NBA Daily Picks
Pick Pack Plays
Matchup: Houston at New York
Time: 7:35 PM EDT (Wed)
Play: Houston (-4.5-110)
The Rockets are playing their best ball of the season right now ? even without Tracy McGrady and have won three straight for the first time this season. They have won five of their last seven and one of the losses was to the Celtics in Boston and they actually had a lead late in that game before the better team took control. But tonight they face a team that is nowhere near as good as the Celtics. The Knicks got a win last night over the putrid Bulls but that was their only taste of victory in eight games. They allow 102 points per game on defense, as opposed to the Rockets who are No. 5 in the NBA, allowing 94 points per game. That will be the major difference tonight. Both teams come in on a back-to-back so that factor does not hinder the Rockets in this situation. These two played Saturday and only very bad shooting from 3-point land made this game seem respectable. The Rockets won by 12 and we think this could be another double-digit affair as Houston has won eight of nine in this series and they have won four straight in NYC.
Member Plays
Matchup: LA Lakers at New Orleans
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Play: New Orleans (-2.0-110)
We absolutely love the Hornets in this situation. Everything seems in tune for the cover: The Hornets are one of the least respected probable playoff teams in the West against the biggest public team in the NBA coming in at their highest point of hyperbole of the season. The Lakers are coming on a back-to-back and will have played three games in four nights while the Hornets are well rested after having three nights off. The public is on the Lakers heavy but the line has moved the opposite way, meaning that there has been some big bets by the guys that make a living off betting on sports. New Orleans is blazing hot against the spread, having cashed eight tickets in their last nine games played. Also, New Orleans has a much better defense and therefore may be the better overall team. They allow 93 points per game this season, compared to 101 to the Lakers. And the beauty of this New Orleans team is that they can also explode on offense when needed.
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: LA Lakers at New Orleans
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Play: Under (206.0-110)
New Orleans is rock solid on defense, and we are getting a number that is too high here because their last two games were very high scoring. But they have had three nights of rest and this is a big game for them so we expect an ?A? effort on defense from the Hornets tonight. The Lakers will have played three games in four nights and fatigue really affects some of those jumpers from falling when your legs are tired. This series has a long history of overs but the number has been adjusted too high and we feel like this is the night where the trends reverse themselves.
Nite Owl Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: UNC at Charlotte 49ers @ Clemson Tigers
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: UNC at Charlotte 49ers +16 (-107)
Our pick on Charlotte here is more a pick against Clemson than a vote of confidence on Charlotte, but we have two very strong factors working in charlottes (and our) favor tonite. First and most important is the fact that Clemson is coming off of a heart-breaking, gut-wrenching OT loss to top ranked North Carolina, in which they lead for the entire second half before being caught by the Heels at the end of regulation, due primarily to poor FT shooting on Clemsons part (more about that later), were unable to score on their final possession in regulation, and then still looked to be headed for a win in OT until Carolina ripped the hearts out of the Clemson team, coaches and fans with a 3 point dagger at the buzzer. How can a team recover from that kind of devastating loss? Well, most teams do, eventually, but very few recover right away, and we have won a lot of bets riding this post-heartbreak system of going against a team which has just suffered a devastating loss until they play a good game in either winning outright or losing while covering the spread, with the biggest bet against them in their first game after the heartbreak (i.e., this one for Clemson). The other factor in our favor here is Clemsons ineptitude from the FT line, which is not only a weak 64.5% overall but more significantly is a putrid 58.5% at home. Their poor FT shooting did them in against Carolina, as they were a pathetic 14-27 (52%) from the charity stripe, as compared to Carolinas robust 24-30 for 80%. And in some other home games, its even been worse, like their 10-26 (38%) free throw brickfest (Hell, even Shaq shoots FTs better than that) as a ten point home fave in their 3 point non-covering win against Purdue, a game in which they should have covered (and would have, with just 8 more FTs made, which would have resulted from a normal 69% FT shooting %). Clemson has played two home games TY vs the B level of competition presented by Charlotte, and split them ATS, with the aforementioned non-covering win over Purdue and an 11 point win/cover over in-state rival South Carolina, in which Tigers shockingly shot 82.5% (19-23) from the FT line (definitely an aberration for them). So we have a pretty good case against Clemson covering this big number, but what about Charlotte? They have a veteran coach in Bobby Lutz and a good shooter and scorer in Goldwire, and a good new point guard in recently eligible Pepperdine transfer Gerrity, but they also have some newcomers and have been inconsistent so far TY. For example, they have had good home upset wins over Wake forest, So Illinois, and a Davidson team that gave both Carolina and Duke all they could handle in November, but then on the road lost by 12 to an average Tulsa team and were upset by Hofstra. However, there is a lot of room in this line, and this game against an ACC power is much more important to Charlotte than it is to heartbroken Clemson still licking their emotional wounds, so we say that Charlotte will at least cover this generous spread.
Frontline Sports Wire
NCAA,
Pit-2 (5units)
Syracuse -3 (5units)
Umass -3 (5units)
George Mason -6.5 (5units)
NBA,
Houston -5.5 (5units)
NHL,
Ducks -1.5 +150 (5units)
Cash And Profit Experts
CBB
Syracuse -3
NBA
Milwaukee -4.5
6-2-1 Last 4 days 😉
MTI
4.5* on Cav's +2.5pts vs ATL
4* on Sixers +9 vs Toronto
4* on Magic/Clippers UNDER 189.5 total pts
Brandon Lang
WEDNESDAY
5 DIME
Pistons
Magic
South Carolina
Tennessee