Thursday 6/24/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games
mlbtotal us
Texas Rangers – Oakland Athletics
Over 8.5
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Matt Blunt Vegasinsider Golf Handicapper
2021 Travelers Championship ⛳
Date: Thursday June 24 - Sunday June 27
Venue: TPC River Highlands
Location: Cromwell, Connecticut
Par 70 - Yardage 6,841
Defending Champ �� Dustin Johnson
TV: Golf Channel and CBS
Odds Subject to Change
Top Picks and Predictions
Contenders to Back
Dustin Johnson +1400
Brooks Koepka +1600
Paul Casey +1800
Joaquin Niemann +3500
Mid-Range Value
Matthew Wolff +4800
Doc Redman +8200
Stewart Cink +8200
Long Shot Picks
Russell Knox 12500
Doug Ghim 14000
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Western Conference Finals Game #3
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers
TV: ESPN - Time: 9:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Phoenix Suns -115 (Moneyline)
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: DeAndre Ayton (Suns) To Score 20+ Points [+230]
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Tim Wilkinson
Vegasinsider NBA Totals Club
Western Conference Finals Game #3
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers
TV: ESPN - Time: 9:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Suns/Clippers Under 221.5
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Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Western Conference Finals Game #3
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers
TV: ESPN - Time: 9:00 p.m.ET
Best Bet - Phoenix Suns -115 (Moneyline)
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Pickswise Sports
MLB - 3* Houston Astros -1.5 runs [-130]
NHL - 2* Vegas Golden Knights -140
NBA - 2* Suns/Clippers Under 221.5
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The Sports Geek
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers +1.5
NHL - Montreal Canadiens +139
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Action Network Sports
NBA
2* Los Angeles Clippers +1.5
NHL
1* Montreal Canadiens +135
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MLB-Martingale
1 units
Toronto Blue Jays - Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
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Matt Severance
PHOENIX @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 06/24 | 9:00 PM EDT
PHOENIX -1
ANALYSIS: Chris Paul apparently will be back for Phoenix and Kawhi Leonard for sure will not be for Los Angeles. I also wonder if the way Game 2 ended effectively took all the wind out of the Clippers' sails, so to speak. The Suns are on a nine-game winning streak (8-1 ATS -- people ask why sometimes I take the moneyline; the Suns winning Game 2 by just one point and not covering is why) and they aren't running the table through the Finals, but with Paul back I'll take them here. Perhaps the Clips get a token win in Game 4 to avoid a sweep.
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Larry Hartstein
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 06/24 | 8:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -160
ANALYSIS: I'm willing to lay this price behind Jose Berrios, as the Twins have won his last seven starts. Minnesota has won five of six overall and gets to face the Indians' J.C. Mejia. He was lit up in his last start, allowing six runs and seven hits over five innings at Pittsburgh. He sports a 9.31 road ERA. Look for Cleveland to drop its seventh straight at Minnesota.
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Stitches--NY Post. Won with the Nats yesterday. Season record now 40-43.
Thursday's play (10 units) is on the Royals.
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Ziti sports
Phoenix vs. LA Clippers OVER 221 -110 (9:05 PM)
MLB
Washington -110 Miami (7:10 PM)
Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis OVER 9 -115 (8:15 PM)
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Ben Burns
10* st.louis-150
9* twins-160-lol
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Larry Ness
10 over-221-clippers
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Andrew McInnis 5%
Miami Marlins -102 J Ross (RHP), C Poteet (RHP) Must Start
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both-to-score
FINLAND: Veikkausliiga
Honka - Haka
Both to score : YES @ 1.82
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Larry Ness
10 over-221-clippers
ADDED
10-vegas-140
10astros-1.5-135
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Jeff Hochman
VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
VEGAS -145
ANALYSIS: The Golden Knights have a +101 shot differential while the Montreal Canadiens have a -30 shot differential this postseason. Few NHL teams make the Stanley Cup Finals when allowing more goals (165) than goals scored (158) during the regular season. On the flip side, Vegas scored 190 and allowed 122. The Golden Knights have won the face-off battle in three straight and already won in Montreal. Las Vegas is 13-4 when playing with one day rest off a loss. Montreal is 10-14 when playing with one day of rest off a win.
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SDQL
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 06/24 | 8:10 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: The Twins are 8-0 OU (+2.88 ppg) at home after a game in which they scored in at most two separate innings and 7-0 OU (+4.64 rpg) behind Jose Berrios as a home -140 or steeper favorite when they won his last two starts. The Indians are 8-0 OU (+3.94 rpg) off a road game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter and 10-0 OU (+4.55 rpg) in the first game of a series with rest on the road after a game in which they scored in two separate inning at most.
PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS | 06/24 | 8:15 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -145
ANALYSIS: The Cardinals are 11-0 as a -140 or steeper in the first game of a series with no rest after a loss as a road favorite in which they held the lead. The Pirates are 0-13 as an underdog behind Chad Kuhl when he went more than five innings and gave up fewer than six hits in his last start, losing by an average of 4.00 runs per game.
OAKLAND @ TEXAS | 06/24 | 2:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND -140
ANALYSIS: The Rangers are 0-20 as an underdog of +110 or better when they lost by one run in their starter’s last start and it is before the All-Star break. Texas has lost these 10 games by an average of 3.83 runs. The Athletics, on the other hand, are a reliable 14-0 behind Chris Bassitt as a -140 or steeper favorite when they scored first in his last start.
CHI. CUBS @ L.A. DODGERS | 06/24 | 10:10 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS +199
ANALYSIS: The Cubs are 5-0 on the road when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost, 4-0 as a +170 or better underdog off a home game in which they allowed six or fewer hits and 9-0 in the first game of a series with rest after a wins as a home favorite in which they never trailed. The Dodgers are 0-5 as a -150 or steeper favorite off a game as an underdog in which they allowed five-plus walks and 0-3 as a -200 or steeper favorite behind Walker Buehler when he threw 100-plus pitches in his last start.
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 06/24 | 8:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +162
ANALYSIS: The Indians are 6-0 as an underdog after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and 8-0 in the first game of a series with rest after playing as a road underdog when their opponent's starting pitcher has same-season revenge. The Twins are 0-5 as a home favorite behind Jose Berrios when they scored more than six runs in his last start, losing every game by multiple runs. Also, Minnesota is 0-8 in the first game of a home series with rest after a game as a home favorite in which they used five-plus pitchers.
Matt Severance
KANSAS CITY @ N.Y. YANKEES | 06/24 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -180
ANALYSIS: Don't love this price, but it's the first game on the schedule and I'll be watching it so need to take a side to make it interesting. I've backed the Yankees in both games of this series so far. They should have won the opener but lost and probably should have lost Wednesday but won. Yanks starter Jameson Taillon (1-4, 5.59) has pretty bad numbers overall but will be on extra rest and has a 3.29 ERA at home. The Royals' Brad Keller (6-7, 6.34) is 0-3 with a 9.39 ERA in his past five, allowing at least five runs in each. KC is 3-9 in its past 12 after a loss.
VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +125
ANALYSIS: I will end this series believing that Vegas is the more talented team, but perhaps Montreal is a team of destiny. This deep into the playoffs, you have to give me a reason NOT to back the home team and there simply isn't one here. The Canadiens' penalty kill has been historically good all postseason, and the Knights' forwards just aren't scoring. This is the first time in 11 best-of-7 all-time matchups that the Golden Knights have faced a 3-2 series deficit. They are 2-3 when facing elimination in their short history. Habs goalie Carey Price owns a career record of 7-5 in elimination games. Montreal reaches its first Cup Final since 1993.
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Dave Essler
3* TOM
Twins Over 9
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Elite Sports Picks
Oakland (Bassitt)/Texas (Allard) UNDER 8.5
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Insider Sports Report
4* Kansas City (Keller)/N.Y. Yankees (Taillon) OVER 10
Range: 9.5 to 10.5
3* Phoenix/L.A. Clippers OVER 219.5 (NBA)
Range: 217.5 to 221.5
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National Sports Service
4* N.Y. Yankees (Taillon) -1.5 runs +105 over Kansas City (Keller)
3* L.A. Clippers +1 over Phoenix (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 06/24/21
4 Unit --> Texas (Allard) +1.5 runs -115 over Oakland (Bassitt)
3 Unit --> St. Louis (Martinez) -145 over Pittsburgh (Kuhl)
3 Unit --> Phoenix -1 over L.A. Clippers (NBA)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 06/24/21
4★ Kansas City (Keller)/N.Y. Yankees (Taillon) OVER 10
3★ Phoenix/L.A. Clippers UNDER 219.5 (NBA)
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World Worst Picker
Suns
We take: Clippers
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Jack Winningham
KC @ NYY OVER 9.5
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Master Sports
NBA
3* #572 L.A. Clippers +1
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XS Sports Picks Thursday
Executive Top Play Program
This month +$6,762
NBA:
5* phoenix -1 -110
MLB:
5* Houston -1.5 -145
5* Houston over 9.5 -115
4* Miami under 8.5 -103
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Brandon Lang
60 Dime Clippers
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Doug Upstone NBA
3* Los Angeles Clippers +1.0
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John Bollman
N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/25 | 8:00 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS +155
ANALYSIS: The Islanders stormed back in Game 6 after being down 2-0 to win 3-2 in OT. However, I think it was the way it happened that was shocking. The Lightning were getting completely outplayed in the third period and they were just limping to the finish line. If theres one thing I know about Game 7, anything can happen. The better team doesn't always win so when I see a line that is this lopsided I have to go with the underdog. The Lightning were banged up in the last game also, but most notably Nikita Kucherov left after the first shift. I think the Islanders put on a defensive gem and move on to the Stanley Cup Finals.
VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +125
ANALYSIS: There has been value on the Canadiens all series long and it looks like that still won’t change for Game 6 in Montreal. The Golden Knights have still yet to score a power play goal in this series, but they are also having trouble scoring in general. The Candiens and Carey Price are putting on a masterclass on defense and they aren’t even allowing the Knights a bunch of chances. The Canadiens have all the momentum right now even without their head coach due to COVID protocols. The Canadiens should be the favorites tonight, take the Canadiens at plus money… AGAIN.
VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/24 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 5
ANALYSIS: The total of the first five games in this series hit exactly five goals four times and hit three goals the last time. These games haven’t been high scoring at all and it doesn’t seem like there is the possibility of a blow out by one of the teams considering the defensive style. Carey Price has been the best goalie in the playoffs and I think he will put together his best game of the series tonight with a chance to go to the Stanley Cup on the line. My guess is Robin Lehner will be back in net and he was great in his only start this series. Take the under.
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The Winners Circle – Thursday
MLB BASEBALL
Play St. Louis -150 over Pittsburgh (MLB)
Play Tampa Bay -125 over Boston (MLB)
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NHL HOCKEY
Play Vegas -140 over Montreal (NHL)
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NBA HOOPS
Play Los Angeles Clippers +1.5 over Phoenix (NBA)
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OFFSHORE PICKS
TODAY'S PICKS (Thursday, June 24, 2021)
(MLB) 7:05 PM EST - BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS. TORONTO BLUE JAYS
PICK- OVER 11 (-110) - RISK 7 UNITS
(MLB) 7:10 PM EST - WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS. MIAMI MARLINS
PICK- NATIONALS -116 (-116) - RISK 9 UNITS
(MLB) 8:15 PM EST - PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
PICK- CARDINALS -150 (-150) - RISK 5 UNITS
(NBA) 9:00 PM EST - PHOENIX SUNS VS. LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
PICK- OVER 221 (-110) - RISK 25 UNITS
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #951
Nationals -115 over Marlins
Ross/Poteet
The Nationals got themselves an amazing come from behind win and are looking to get back to .500 baseball. The Marlins have really struggled with their offense the last few games and I am not sure they will be able to match the intensity of Washington after all the runs they scored last night. Washington has won 4 in a row, but come from behind wins really jump start teams to go on big runs. Take the Nationals.
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Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)
Ceara SC CE - Atletico Mineiro MG
Brazil, Serie A, 00:00 CET (Jun 25) / 6:00 PM ET
1 Unit: Ceara SC CE +0.25 +100
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GoodFella
PLAY: PHOENIX SUNS Money-Line
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
3* on PHOENIX SUNS money-line
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Dave Cokin
Boston 1st 5innings
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The Whale's picks for you today based on a $1,000 bankroll:
1005am 959 Over 9 on Kansas City/Yankees to win $50
1105am 961 A's -143 to win $80
410am 965 Astros run line -1.5 to win $80
410pm 951 Nationals -117 to win $80
710pm 958 Dodgers run line -1.5 to win $50
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Rockdeman Sports
Pirates/Cardinals Over 9
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB
Athletics -142 - - - BIG PLAY
Astros -215
Blue Jays -183
Indians/Twins Over 9 [-115]
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
No Big Plays Today
MLB
Blue Jays/Orioles Under 11
Prop Wager - Tigers +3.5 runs (-190)
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Action Network Sports
MLB
2* Indians
2* Pirates
2* Rangers
2* Tigers/Astros Under 10
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JIMMY ADAMS
Game: (571) Phoenix Suns at (572) Los Angeles Clippers
Date/Time: Jun 24 2021 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Los Angeles Clippers +1.0 (-110)
The last second alley-oop from Deandre Ayton was a devastating blow to LA, but it put them in the perfect spot to play them for game 3. For whatever reason, the Clippers seem to play at their best with their backs up against the wall. Let’s not forget that they were down 0-2 in both of their previous series. Patrick Beverley has stepped up big, and we can expect another strong performance out of him as well the rest of the “supporting cast.” LA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and getting them as a slight underdog is even better. Take the Clippers.
Line Parameter: 4 units as underdog, 3 units as favorite
Game: (965) Houston Astros at (966) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jun 24 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-140) L Garcia (RHP), J Urena (RHP) Must Start
The Astros are on an absolute tear, winners of their past 10 games, with all but 1 coming by more than a run. Most of the wins came by extremely large margins, and that was the case again on Wednesday in a 13-0 win over the Orioles. Houston will now look to feast on another “bottom feeder” when they open up a 4 game set in Detroit Thursday. Luis Garcia has been about as “bet on” a pitcher as we’ve come across this season. Garcia has a 2.82 ERA on the season and has allowed just 1 run in 4 of his last 5 starts. Jose Urena owns an ERA of 5.79 and has given up 7 and 8 runs in his last 2 starts. Take the Astros run line.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -140 or lower, 3 units at higher than -140
Game: (951) Washington Nationals at (952) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Jun 24 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Washington Nationals -108 J Ross (RHP), C Poteet (RHP) Must Start
The Nationals are coming off possibly their most impressive win of the season Wednesday. First down, 5-0, then 9-5, Washington was relentless in a 13-12 victory over the Phillies. Washington has now won 9 of their past 10 games, and giving up runs won’t be as big of a problem with Jon Lester on the hill. Lester has given up 2 earned runs or fewer in all of his past 5 starts. Meanwhile, the Marlins have lost 3 straight and 7 of 9. Cody Poteet doesn’t have great numbers and more importantly he doesn’t go deep into games. Poteet has thrown 3.2 and 2.2 innings in his last 2 starts. We’re getting a good price on a team that’s flying under the betting radar. Take the Nationals.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -115 or lower, 3 units at higher than -115
*Correction: Joe Ross is currently listed as the starting pitcher for Washington. This REMAINS a 4 unit play and has been changed to ACTION
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BOBSPORTSBETS
Miami ml
Redsox F5 ml
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Schule
Twins
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Lundin
Astros rl
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Big al
Boston
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