Saturday 6/9/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, WNBA & CFL games.
Hank Goldberg selections.
Belmont
Exacta Box: 1,4,10
Superfecta: 1,4,10,8
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Jody demling @ sportsline - belmont stakes
$10 EXACTA 1 with 8,10 ($20)
$5 EXACTA 1 with 2,3,4,7 ($20)
$0.50 TRIFECTA 1 with 4,7,8,10 with ALL ($16)
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 1 with 4,7,8,10 with ALL with ALL ($22.40)
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 4,8,10 with 1,4,8,10 with 1,4,8,10 with ALL ($12.60)
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Stephen Nover
2* Minnesota (+103)
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Spartan
3* New York Yankees(-157)
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Fezzik
2* New York Mets / New York Yankees under 8.5
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Dave Essler
3* Tampa Bay Rays
2* Reds
2* Cardinals / Reds Over the Total
2* Over in Mets Game
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Eddie Olczyk's Belmont Picks: Take What They Give You
by Eddie Olczyk
June 6, 2018
Analysis: The Belmont Stakes always is interesting because you get some fresh horses to the Triple Crown series (new shooters), and you also get some who you think can get the mile and one-half distance. My handicapping take always has been that the mile and one-half race really boils down to about a half-mile. Positioning for each rider is all that is achieved in the first seven furlongs to a mile, and then it comes down to which horse is best over the last half-mile of those that are in the proper place. It’s a tough grind for a horse at the final part of the Triple Crown journey. When you hit the bottom of the tank, and believe me I recall that from my playing days, you’d better have something left or have a will to find it if it’s not really there.
Main Contenders: It is JUSTIFY’SBelmont to win or lose. They could have gone around again in the Preakness and nobody was going to get by him. He came out of the race well and has looked great in his training since then by all accounts. I’m not a chalk player, but sometimes you have to take what the races and the toteboard give you. There is some sentiment out there that he’s vulnerable and some handicappers will look to beat him. Six races since February 18 is a factor and a concern. But I trust in Bob Baffert, and his looks in training say “Yes!” If you wind up with 4-5 or 3-5 odds, that’s fair. HOFBURG is the other horse I trust most as he goes out for Hall of Fame Trainer, Mr. Bill Mott. He ran great in the Xpressbet Florida Derby and then didn’t have the cleanest of trips in Kentucky. Those big, sweeping turns at Belmont will hit him right between the eyes. He’s sitting on a big race and will relish the distance. It’s as if the Belmont was his target race from the beginning, especially given his pedigree, patient trainer and late start to his career.
Value Plays: Honestly, I can see anybody running third or fourth below the top pair. I will try to beat the Preakness pursuers, BRAVAZO and TENFOLD, as I don’t trust their performance at Pimlico as much as the margins suggest. I will attack the exacta with focus and use some of that uncertainty below in trying to land a price for the remaining slot in the trifecta.
Wagering Strategy ($100):
$52 Exacta: JUSTIFY over HOFBURG ($52)
$4 Trifecta Part-Wheel JUSTIFY over HOFBURG over ALL ($32)
$2 Trifecta Part-Wheel JUSTIFY over ALL over HOFBURG ($16)
Eddie’s Picks
JUSTIFY
HOFBURG
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Rocketman
10* St Louis
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Blockchain Sports
Brewers
Orioles
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Greg shaker
3* Tampa Bay/ Seattle under 7.5
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Goodfella
3* Tampa bay (-137)
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Rocky Atkinson
3* St .louis (-105)
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
Jim Feist
MLB
3* #924 Detroit +149
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Marty Otto
10* Tigers under 9
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Dwayne Bryant
4:10 PM ET
MLB
[909] San Diego Padres at [910] Miami Marlins
List Ross & Straily
UNDER 7.5 (-112)
Bet Size = 4%
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G-Money Man Sports:
7 units :
Washington -1’ +103
ST. Louis -105
Cubs -163
10 units
Boston -1’ -112
Astros -1’ -122
“OVER” 9 ST. Louis / Reds
“UNDER” 9’ Houston / Texas
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Rockdeman Sports
(MLB) - Arizona Diamondbacks
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Sean Michaels
100 DIME
Max Wager Winner
# 10 of 12
Saturday Night Bailout
Game of the Year
Houston Run Line
11th: MLB 8u: 902 WAS O 4.5 1st 5. WAS O 8.5gm. 903 MIL+100 1st 5. MIL+105gm. 915 BAL+100 1st 5. BAL+105gm. 905 PIT+145 1st 5. PIT+150gm.
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Marco D'Angelo
MLB
4% Rockies -138
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Matt Rivers
Bankroll Building
Blank Check
Waive The Rating
Game of the Month
CUBS -1.5 w/Lester
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Seabass
400 Reds RL
400Indians RL
400 Mets
500 Padres
600 TBay
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Bobby Ligs
3* Conn -5.5
3% Con Under 167.5
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Tony Finn
4% Padres Under
4% Astros -1.5
4% Red Sox Under
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Marco D'Angelo
Late Money Reds
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Ic
7 units COL OVER MLB
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Al Demarco
15 DIME RELEASE
Road Mismatch # 2 in a Row
Houston and Charlie Morton on the Run Line at Texas over the Rangers and Mike Minor. List both pitchers. The Astros are -115 laying -1 1/2 runs as of 10:35 am pacific.
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Sports Nostradamus
MLB
5* Top Play - New York Yankees
4* Rockies
4* Rays
3* Over 9 Giants/Nationals
3* Over 9 Reds/Cardinals
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Mario Rojas (6-9-18) (Day Games)
Best pick:
909 SAN DIEGO PADRES over 7.5-115 *2500
Secondaries picks:
923 CLEVELAND INDIANS over 9-115 *1500
908 CINCINNATI REDS -105 *1000
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Exodus to Black
MLB
Colorado-140
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Marco Belmont plays
Total Trifecta Wagers = $207.50
$1 Trifecta 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,3,4,7,8,9,10 = $100
$1 Trifecta 1, with 3,4,7,8,9,10 with 3,4,7,8,9,10 = $30
$1 Trifecta 1, with 4,7, with ALL = $16
$1 Trifecta 1, with 4,7, with 1,3,4,7,8,9,10 = $10
.50 Cent 3,4,7,8,9,10 with 1, with 3,4,7,8,9,10 = $15
.50 Cent 1,4,7, with 1,3,4,7 with 1,3,4,7,8,9,10 = $22.50
.50 Cent 4,7 with 1, with ALL = $8
.50 Cent 4,7 with 1, with 1,3,4,7,8,9,10 = $5
Total Exacta Wagers = $150
$16 Exacta 1 with 4,7 = $32
$7 Exacta 4,7 with 1 = $14
$10 Exacta 1 with 3,8 = $20
$5 Exacta 3,8 with 1 = $10
$7 Exacta 1 with 9,10 = $14
$3 Exacta 9,10 with 1 = $6
$3 4,7 with 3,4,7,8 = $18
$2 3,4,7,8 with 4,7 = $12
$2 Exacta Box 3,4,7,8 = $24
Total Superfecta Wagers = $54
.10 Cent Superfecta 1,4,7 with 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,3,4,7,8 with ALL = $25.20
.10 Cent Superfecta 1,4,7 with 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,3,4,7,8,9,10 = $14.40
.10 Cent Superfecta 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,4,7 with 1,3,4,7,8 with 1,3,4,7,8,9,10 = $14.40
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Dick Jerdi
1,4,8,7
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Bryan Leonard
924 Cleveland at Detroit
Clevinger & Fiers
Mike Clevinger really was a major surprise for the Tribe a year ago, and a lot was expected out of him in 2018. While he started the year off fine, he has struggled his past three starts. In his last 18 innings he has allowed 10 earned runs. He’s also pitched much worse at night than in the day in his short major league career. So we have these two starters pretty even talent wise. Traditionally the Cleveland bullpen has been much better, but this season has been a dumpster fire anytime the call to the bullpen is made. We actually have Detroit as a slightly better hitting team against right-handed starters.
PLAY DETROIT
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Mario Rojas (6-9-18 ) (Night games)
Best pick:
927 HOUSTON ASTROS under 5.5-120 (1st 5) *2500
Secondaries picks:
929 NEW YORK YANKEES over 8.5-120 *1500
929 NEW YORK YANKEES over 4.5-125 (1st 5) *1000
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11 th Hour
8u: 926 TB O 3.5 1st 5. TB O 7gm. 913 ATL+142 1st 5. ATL+147gm. ATL O 4 1st 5. ATL O 7.5gm
8u: 908 CIN O 4.5 1st 5. CIN O 8.5gm. 921 CHW+180 1st 5. CHW+185gm. 928 TEX+160 1st 5. TEX+165gm. TEX O 5 1st 5. TEX O 9.5gm.
8u: 930 NYM+135 1st 5. NYM+140gm. NYM O 4.5 1st 5. NYM O 8.5gm.
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