2015 Richmond Clinch Scenarios
Nascar.com
Regardless of who wins at Richmond…
Jamie McMurray clinches by starting the race.
Ryan Newman clinches by finishing 31st or better; 32nd with at least one lap led; or 33rd with the most laps led.
Jeff Gordon clinches by finishing 17th or better; 18th with at least one lap led; or 19th with the most laps led.
Paul Menard clinches by finishing ninth or better; 10th with at least one lap led; or 11th with the most laps led.
If there is a repeat winner…
Jamie McMurray, Ryan Newman and Jeff Gordon will clinch regardless of finish.
Paul Menard clinches by finishing 38th or better; 39th with at least one lap led; or 40th with the most laps led.
Clint Bowyer clinches by finishing 28th or better; 29th with at least one lap led; or 30th with the most laps led.
In summary…
Four drivers control their Chase destiny without a win: Jamie McMurray, Ryan Newman, Jeff Gordon and Paul Menard).
Three drivers can clinch without a win, but need help in the form of poor finishes from winless drivers ahead of them in points and/or a repeat winner: Bowyer, Aric Almirola and Kasey Kahne.
Twelve drivers need to win to clinch a Chase spot: Greg Biffle, Kyle Larson, Austin Dillon, AJ Almendinger, Casey Mears, Danica Patrick, Tony Stewart, David Ragan, Sam Hornish Jr., Trevor Bayne, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Justin Allgaier.
Two other drivers need to win and get help to clinch a spot: Cole Whitt and David Gilliland.
All other drivers have been eliminated from Chase contention.
Federated Auto Parts 400
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com
For the second time this season NASCAR will visit Richmond International Raceway, but Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400 will have quite a bit more importance than the Apr. 26 race because it signifies the end of the regular season before NASCAR’s version of the playoffs start next week at Chicagoland.
This is the last chance for drivers outside the Top-16 in points to try and get the automatic Chase birth by winning a race which is going to to put immense pressure on several drivers to take all levels of their game up a notch. They will be forced to make daring moves they might not try in other races, and since there is no tomorrow, they’ll lay it all on the line.
Of the drivers that need to win to make the Chase, I think you can only make a case for three drivers -- Kasey Kahne, Kyle Larson and Tony Stewart. Larson probably has the best possibilities of all, but Kahne has the experience in these spots and I like Stewart to run well just because his practice sessions last week at Darlington raised an eyebrow. This isn’t the same set-up as Darlington, but knowing Stewart’s crew found some speed has me intrigued about him this week, and he should be able to be found at odds of 75/1 or higher.
Stewart has three Richmond wins to his credit, the last coming in 2002, but more than just a solid 12th-place average finish there appears to be a spark within the team, and it’s about time. For goodness sakes, this is Tony Stewart, the owner of the team which happens to include last year's champion Kevin Harvick and the Richmond winner from April, Kurt Busch. While the No. 4 and No. 41 have been winning races and looking like possible candidates to win this year's Chase, Stewart has run more than Danica Patrick, who has been a major disappointment to Stewart-Haas Racing.
Patrick is another driver needing to win, but if she hasn’t won during her first three years in the Series there is no reason to think she can win, unless you believe that association with the No. 4 and No. 41 cars are to her benefit. The sports books will tempt you with 500/1 odds to win at Richmond, but I wouldn’t even thinking of laying $5 on her unless there was another zero attached to the price. Because she gets sponsorship dollars, we will see another year of Patrick, who -- let’s be kind -- hasn’t been as spectacular as expected in stock cars.
The first thing you should do when handicapping Saturday’s race is look at what happened at Phoenix in March, Richmond in April and New Hampshire in July. Those three tracks require similar set-ups because of size and being relatively flat. If a driver did well on one, it’ll carry over to the next one. Harvick won at Phoenix, was second at Richmond and third at New Hampshire. He led 278 laps between the three races. Kurt Busch was fourth at Phoenix, won at Richmond -- led 291 laps -- and 10th at New Hampshire. Joey Logano also has similar consistency with all of them, as does Jamie McMurray.
Kahne, who is in major desperation mode right now, finished fourth at Phoenix and sixth at Richmond, but the finished 19th at New Hampshire. Clearly a disappointing season for Kahne, but a win could completely change the mood and complexion. Kahne won at Richmond in 2005 and has averaged a 17th-place finish in 23 starts. There are worse things to throw $5 on than Kahne at 30/1 odds. At least you know you got a hungry horse with Hendrick Motorsports backing.
While Kahne and Stewart are shots in the dark because of their situation, the drivers that have always fared well at Richmond are Kyle Busch with a 7.3 average finish, Harvick with a 10.7 average and Denny Hamlin with a 11th-place average. Kyle Busch has won four times on the three-quarter mile track and Harvick has won three times. Hamlin is a two-time winner, but the native Virginian has finished 21st or worse in his past four starts there.
While I think Harvick and Kurt Busch are going to be extremely tough this week, I kind of like the roll Brad Keselowski is on. He’s had eight straight top-10 finishes coming into Saturday and he won this race last season. He finished second to Kyle Busch on the similar New Hampshire layout in July. The younger Busch is also a threat, especially now considering he can relax after finally clinching a Chase spot last week. He may have been point racing the past few weeks.
Top-5 Finish Prediction:
1) #2 Brad Keselowski (8/1)
2) #4 Kevin Harvick (5/1)
3) #41 Kurt Busch (10/1)
4) #22 Joey Logano (8/1)
5) #18 Kyle Busch (6/1)
NASCAR Odds and Betting Breakdown
By Micah Roberts
Sportingnews.com
While Jimmie Johnson is tied for the Sprint Cup lead with four wins this season and has won three times in his career at Richmond International Raceway, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has opened him at 18-to-1 odds to win Saturday night's Federated Auto Parts 400. You might have just done a double-take – that’s the highest price at which Johnson's been offered for a non-road course race since his rookie season in 2002.
It only took 10 races into Johnson's rookie year for him to win his first race, as he took the checkers at Fontana at 20-to-1 odds. He earned early respect with six top-10 finishes through the first nine races in a Hendrick Motorsports-powered car. Since then, he’s won 73 more races, six Sprint Cup titles and has been one of the most consistent drivers in NASCAR's modern era.
But when setting odds to win each week’s race, the sports book has to look at the driver’s current form. Twelve races have passed since Johnson's last win, May 31 at Dover, and he's had only two top-five finishes over that span. The entire Hendrick team has struggled, with Kasey Kahne and Jeff Gordon still trying to find their first win, and Dale Earnhardt Jr.'s only win coming in a restrictor plate race at Daytona in July.
Meanwhile, Joe Gibbs Racing and Penske Racing have taken their games up a notch by combining to win nine of the past 10 races. They are peaking at the right moment – Saturday’s race is the 26th and final of the regular season before the Chase for the Championship begins next week at Chicagoland.
Here’s a driver-by-driver breakdown of Saturday’s race at Richmond, including opening odds posted at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
KEVIN HARVICK (9/2). Three-time Richmond winner with a 10.7 average finish in 29 starts, but hasn't won a race since Phoenix in March. What makes him the favorite this week is his remarkable consistency on this type of track this season. Similar set-ups are required for Phoenix, Richmond and New Hampshire because all three are flat and nearly the same size, and no one has been better than Harvick on these layouts in 2015. He grabbed the win at Phoenix, was runner-up at Richmond and finished third at New Hampshire.
BRAD KESELOWSKI (5/1). It may seem like an off year for Kes since his only win came in March at Fontana, but he's anything but off right now, riding an eight-race streak of top-10 finishes. He won this race last year and is trending upward as his odds suggest.
KYLE BUSCH (6/1). He leads active drivers with four wins and a 7.3 average finish at Richmond. This is his type of track, and while it seems like an eternity since he won his fourth race of the season (it was actually just six races ago), he may have been playing it safe to secure one of the 16 Chase positions. He didn't clinch his spot in the top-30 in points until last week at Darlington. Because of his win at New Hampshire and history at Richmond, he’s the driver to beat this week.
JOEY LOGANO (7/1). He won the Richmond spring race last season and was fifth in April, leading 94 laps. He also finished fourth at New Hampshire. He's on the best roll in NASCAR right now, as he’s won two of the past four races and has nine top-five finishes in his past 12 starts.
MATT KENSETH (8/1). He won this race in 2002, but none since, and has averaged a 17th-place finish in 31 Richmond starts. However, he's finished seventh or better in five of his past six starts on the three-quarter mile track. He's part of the Joe Gibbs revival with two wins in the past five on schedule.
DENNY HAMLIN (10/1). The native Virginian is a two-time winner at Richmond with an 11th-place average finish in 18 starts, but has finished 21st or worse in his past four starts there. His best finish between Phoenix, Richmond and New Hampshire this season was 14th.
CARL EDWARDS (10/1). He won this race in 2013, but was only 19th in the spring race. In 22 career starts, he's averaged a 14th-place finish.
KURT BUSCH (10/1). He dominated the April race, leading 291 of the 400 laps en route to his second career Richmond win. The only thing suggesting he won't do it again is that Gibbs and Penske are light years ahead of where they were in April. The competition is much stiffer than it was in the spring.
JIMMIE JOHNSON (18/1). No, that isn't a typo. Six-time has been relegated to the second tier of candidates to win just like the rest of his HMS teammates. The last of his three Richmond wins came in 2008. The good news, if you want to take a shot with him at this enticing price, is that he finished third at this track in April.
MARTIN TRUEX JR (18/1). Only one top-five finish in 19 career starts at Richmond, but did finish 10th in the spring race. After being one of the best stories in the first half of the season with 14 top-10s in the first 15 races, he has been in a downward spiral with only three top-10s in his past 10 starts. It may just be a coincidence, but his poor runs started when his team started talking publicly about changing manufacturers.
JEFF GORDON (20/1). The Richmond rowdies have probably given him more abuse than any other crowd, and in 45 starts, they saw him win only twice, most recently in 2000. If there is a repeat winner Saturday night, he'll secure a Chase position by finishing 17th. If there is a repeat winner, he clinches by starting the race.
DALE EARNHARDT JR (20/1). He's a three-time Richmond winner, with all three coming in the spring and the last in 2006. After struggling with Phoenix and Richmond earlier this season, he came back strong with a fifth-place finish at New Hampshire in July.
JAMIE McMURRAY (25/1). Only three top-five finishes in 25 Richmond starts with a 20.5 average, but all three came in his past four starts, including a fourth-place in the spring. He also finished second at Phoenix. He makes the Chase as soon as the green flag drops, so he can relax a bit and just race hard.
KYLE LARSON (30/1). Of all the drivers outside looking in at the Chase, he probably has the best shot to win at Richmond and get in. It's the only way he can make it. He's averaged a 13th-place finish over three career starts on the track.
KASEY KAHNE (40/1). He won the 2005 spring race, but has averaged a 17th-place finish over 25 starts. He been doing the best he can with underperforming HMS cars, but has been 12th or worse in his past nine starts. He has a slim shot to make the Chase on points if some drivers ahead of him have poor outings, but his mind set will be to do all he can to win.
RYAN NEWMAN (40/1). He won this race in 2003 and has the fourth-best average finish (11.1) among active drivers. All he has to do is finish 31st or better to clinch a Chase spot. He finished third at Phoenix and was 11th at both Richmond and New Hampshire.
CLINT BOWYER (50/1). This has always been one of his better tracks with two wins and an 11.4 average finish, and he'll need another good one Saturday night, as he's clinging to the 16th and final Chase position. His hope is that a previous winner on the season wins again, in which case he can clinch a spot with a finish of 28th or better.
TONY STEWART (80/1). He's a three-time Richmond winner with a 12.1 average over 32 starts, and he needs a win to make the Chase. Despite an awful season, there were signs last week at Darlington during practice that his team had found some speed. Different set-ups this week, but it was still encouraging for Stewart fans. Hard to believe the owner of Harvick’s and Kurt Busch's cars couldn't run similarly on occasion over the course of 25 races. If there is one longshot to put your money on, Stewart might be it – it’s win-or-nothing, and he appeared to get better at Darlington.
GREG BIFFLE (100/1). It's win-or-nothing for him this week, too. He was outstanding with the low-down force package at Darlington last week, or at least in practices. In 26 Richmond starts, he's had only two top-five finishes, and most of those starts were with strong Roush Fenway Racing cars.
PAUL MENARD (100/1). The good news is that if there’s a repeat winner, all Menard has to do is finish 38th or better to clinch a playoff spot. If a new 2015 winner emerges, he has to finish ninth or better. The bad news is he's averaged a 23.5 finish over 17 career starts at this track. He was 15th in the spring race.
AUSTIN DILLON (100/1). His Chase hopes remain alive only if he wins, but he’s finished 20th or worse in all three career starts at this track. However, he did finish eighth at New Hampshire.
DAVID RAGAN (200/1). He had some good runs with RFR early in his career with a third-place and two fourth-place finishes at this track, but has been 20th or worse in his past seven starts.
ARIC ALMIROLA (300/1). He sits one position out of the Chase and will need a great run while hoping either Menard or Bowyer exit the race early. His best finish on this type of track this season was 15th at New Hampshire. His best Richmond finish was eighth in 2013, and he was 10th in this race last season.
AJ ALLMENDINGER (500/1). He needs a win to make the Chase for the second straight year, and his sixth-place finish last spring at Richmond is a positive. He was 13th in the April race.
RICKY STENHOUSE JR (500/1). He's been 26th or worse in his past three Richmond starts.
DANICA PATRICK (500/1). Like Stewart, with teammates like Harvick and Busch, you have to wonder how she isn't better. Her 25th-place finish in the spring lowered her track average to 26.8.
CASEY MEARS (500/1). In 25 career starts at Richmond, he's averaged a 24.5 finish.
TREVOR BAYNE (500/1). His first career Cup start at Richmond was in the spring, and he finished 24th.
SAM HORNISH JR (500/1). He's won at Richmond in an Indy Car, but finished 35th in the spring Cup race.
FIELD (500/1). Rather than make this terrible bet, put all six Penske and Gibbs drivers’ names in a hat and pull one out.
Driver Handicaps: Richmond
By: Jeff Wackerlin
Racingone.com
To assist in making your fantasy racing picks, MRN.com's Jeff Wackerlin helps steer you toward Saturday night's Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond International Raceway.
Who's HOT at Richmond
• Kurt Busch led 291 laps en route to the win in the spring race for his second consecutive top 10.
• Joey Logano has finished sixth or better in four of his last five starts, including a win in the 2014 spring race.
• Brad Keselowski is the defending race winner and has combined to lead 648 laps in the last four races.
• Jeff Gordon is the only driver that has finished in the top 10 in the last four races.
• Kyle Busch leads all drivers in wins (4 - all in the spring race) and average finish (7.4).
• Matt Kenseth has finished seventh or better in six of the last seven races.
• Kevin Harvick leads all drivers with a 6.0 average finish in the last five races, including a win in the 2013 spring race.
• Clint Bowyer has combined to lead 273 laps and has posted four top 10s in the last six races, including a win in this event in 2012.
• Jamie McMurray has finished fourth in three of the last four races.
Who to Keep an Eye On at Richmond
• Ryan Newman (9.2), Dale Earnhardt Jr. (11.2), Carl Edwards (11.4) and Martin Truex Jr. (13.8) each rank in the top 10 in average finish among drivers that have raced in ALL of the last five races at Richmond.
• Gordon, Edwards, Kyle Larson, Sam Hornish Jr., David Ragan, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Brian Scott tested at Richmond in June.
• Jimmie Johnson, who has posted three top fives in the four short-track races this season, has finished in the top 10 in his last two Richmond starts.
• Kasey Kahne finished sixth at Richmond in the spring after starting 40th.
• Denny Hamlin is a two-time winner at Richmond, but has yet to finish in the top 10 in his last five starts. This weekend will mark his first race since suffering a torn Anterior Cruciate Ligament in his right knee. Hamlin did lead 54 laps and finish third in his last short-track start at Bristol, two races ago.
MRN.com Staff Picks
Jeff Wackerlin: Kevin Harvick
Pete Pistone: Joey Logano
Robbie Mays: Kurt Busch
John Singler: Joey Logano
Driver Notes - Ordered by Top 20 in Average Finish in the Five Races at Richmond
Kevin Harvick: Leads all drivers with a 3.5 average finish in the last two races. Harvick has made three track starts with Stewart-Haas Racing, posting a 6.0 average finish. He scored three wins in his 26 previous starts with Richard Childress Racing. Harvick will return in the same car (chassis No. 843) that he last finished 42nd with at Pocono Raceway due to an engine failure.
Jeff Gordon: Has finished in the top 10 in five of his last six starts, including three runner-up finishes. Gordon has two wins in 45 overall starts with the last coming in this event in 2000. He tested at Richmond in June.
Joey Logano: Is tied with Jeff Gordon for the best average finish (4.0) in the last three races. Logano won the 2014 spring race and has combined to lead 140 laps in the last three races. He tested at Richmond in June.
Kurt Busch: Dominated the spring race, leading 291 laps en route to the win. The win was his second consecutive top 10 in three track starts with Stewart-Haas Racing. Busch, who also has one win with Roush Racing in this event in 2005, will return in the same car (chassis No. 839) that he raced at Richmond in the spring.
Ryan Newman: Has posted a 9.3 average finish in three starts with Richard Childress Racing, but has yet to lead a lap in that span. Newman has finished ninth or better in the last four September races. He does have one win, coming in this event in 2003 with Team Penske. This weekend, Newman will return in the same car (chassis No. 490) that he finished 27th with at Martinsville Speedway in the spring.
Jamie McMurray: Has finished fourth in three of the last four races, including the last two. Those finishes are his only top fives in 25 starts. In the spring race, McMurray led four laps from the ninth starting position.
Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Has posted four top 10s and an average finish of 16.0 in 15 track starts with Hendrick Motorsports. Earnhardt's best finish with the team was second in the 2012 spring race. He scored three wins in the spring race with Dale Earnhardt, Inc., with the last coming in 2006.
Carl Edwards: Finished 19th in the spring in his first track start with Joe Gibbs Racing. Edwards won this event in 2013 for one of his 11 top 10s in previous 21 starts with Roush Fenway Racing. He tested at Richmond in June.
Kyle Larson: Has posted a 13.0 average finish in three starts with his best finish, of 11th, coming in this event last year. Larson participated in the Goodyear tire test and the NASCAR test at Richmond in June.
Matt Kenseth: Has finished seventh or better in five of his last six starts. A 41st-place finish in this event last year raised his average finish to 13.2 in five track starts with Joe Gibbs Racing. He's combined to lead 180 laps with JGR, but only five have come in the September race.
Martin Truex Jr.: Has finished 10th in two of his three track starts with Furniture Row Racing, including the spring race. Overall, Truex has posted an average finish of 21.4 in 19 starts and his lone top five (fifth) came in the 2008 spring race with Dale Earnhardt, Inc.
AJ Allmendinger: Has posted a 14.3 average finish in four track starts with JTG Daugherty Racing. Allmendinger's last of three top 10s in 16 overall starts came in this 2014 spring race, in sixth. In this year's spring race, he started fourth and finished 13th.
Brad Keselowski: Is the defending race winner after leading 383 laps. Keselowski has combined to lead 648 laps in the last four races. He's made 12 overall starts and his four top 10s have come in the last seven races.
Kasey Kahne: Has posted a 12.7 average finish in seven track starts with Hendrick Motorsports. Kahne snapped a streak of five consecutive finishes outside the top 10 with a sixth-place finish in the spring. Kahne's first career Sprint Cup win came at Richmond in 2005 when he drove for Evernham Motorsports.
Kyle Busch: Has recorded four wins with all of them coming in the spring race. Busch's last top 10 in the September race came in 2011, in sixth. His 7.4 average finish leads all drivers and he ranks fifth in laps led, with 950.
Paul Menard: Recorded his lone top 10 in this race in 2006, in fifth. Menard's average finish in the last four races is 15.5. He will clinch a spot in the Chase if he finishes ninth or better or 38th if there is a repeat winner. This weekend, Menard will return in the same car (chassis No. 488) that he finished 23rd with at Martinsville Speedway. The team participated in the Goodyear tire test in June.
Aric Almirola: Last of two top 10s came in this event last season, in 10th. Almirola has yet to lead a lap in seven starts.
Clint Bowyer: Last of two wins came in this event in 2012. Bowyer has finished in the top 10 in his last two starts and has posted a 12.9 average finish in seven track starts with Michael Waltrip Racing. He has not led a lap in his last three starts. If there is a repeat winner this weekend, Bowyer will clinch a spot in the Chase with a finish of 28th or better (no laps led).
Jimmie Johnson: Last of three wins came in this event in 2008 - held on Sunday during the day. Johnson has finished in the top 10 in his last two starts, including a third-place run in the spring. He has not led a lap in his last five starts.
Greg Biffle: Last of six top 10s came in the 2012 September race, in ninth. Biffle has a 17.2 average finish in 26 overall start and has not led a lap in his last seven starts.
Drivers to Watch - Richmond
By Sportsbook.ag
With only one race remaining until the Chase for the Sprint Cup Challenger Round begins, the drivers head to Richmond for the Federated Auto Parts 400. Richmond International Speedway opened in 1946 and features a .75-mile asphalt track. The D-shaped track has banking that runs 14 degrees on the turns, eight degrees on the frontstretch and two degrees on the backstretch.
A few drivers that will be participating on Saturday have won this race multiple times, and that list includes Jimmie Johnson (2007, 2008), Denny Hamlin (2009, 2010) and Kevin Harvick (2006, 2011). For Hamlin it’s worth nothing that he may feel some discomfort on Saturday, as he suffered a torn ACL over the week and will be driving through it for the first time in this event.
The winner of this race in 2014 was Brad Keselowski and it was the second consecutive victory by a driver who races with a Ford manufactured car. Carl Edwards’ victory in 2013 took only two hours, 51 minutes and 23 seconds. It was the fastest anybody has finished this race since Dale Jarrett’s victory in 1997.
Let’s now take a look at who could be coming away with a win this weekend:
Drivers to Watch
Kevin Harvick (9/2) - Harvick is the favorite to win the Federated Auto Parts 400, and it’s for good reason. Harvick has won this event twice in the past 10 years and his past two trips to Richmond have been very successful. He earned a fifth place finish at this track back on Sep. 6, 2014 and a second place finish on Apr. 26. Harvick’s excellent driving isn’t just limited to Virginia, though. He has racked up eight top-10 finishes in his past 10 Sprint Cup races and earned two victories early in the season. He’s a very good pick to win this event on Saturday.
Jimmie Johnson (15/1) - Johnson is coming off of a disappointing race at Darlington, failing to crack the top-15 for the second time in his past two races. He is, however, receiving great odds in this race and is being a little disrespected coming into the event. Johnson has won this race twice in his career and has still finished in the top-10 of three of the past five races this season. He may not be dominating the way he used to, but he’s one of the best drivers in the Sprint Cup Series and is worth a play at the incredible value he’s getting on Saturday.
Kyle Larson (30/1) - Larson finished 10th at the Bojangles’ Southern 500 this past week and has been in excellent form lately, finishing in the top-15 in five of the past six races. He has two top-10 finishes in that span as well. Larson has never won a Sprint Cup Series race, but he’s closing in on that first victory and it’s only a matter of time before he breaks through. Being ahead of the curve and placing a unit or two on him would be a wise decision with these odds.
Ryan Newman (40/1) - Newman has been racing extremely well this season and has finished in the top-10 at two of the past three races while also piling up six top-15s in the past seven races. The “Rocket Man” is one of the most consistent drivers around and will be racing on what is likely his favorite track Saturday evening. Newman has eight straight top-15s at Richmond International and is getting way too good of odds for a guy that has owned this course in the past. He’s a name to keep an eye on and is certainly worth a unit or two this coming weekend.
David Ragan (200/1) - Ragan has not been at his best recently, getting wrecked in back-to-back races and unfortunately finishing 40th because of that. He is, however, going to be racing for his season on Saturday and crazier things have happened. He is a very solid driver and has finished in the top-15 at two races this season. If you’re looking for a darkhorse pick that is completely under the radar then Ragan is your guy.
Odds to win Federated Auto Parts 400
Kevin Harvick 9/2
Brad Keselowski 5/1
Kyle Busch 6/1
Joey Logano 7/1
Matt Kenseth 8/1
Kurt Busch 9/1
Carl Edwards 10/1
Denny Hamlin 10/1
Jimmie Johnson 18/1
Martin Truex Jr. 18/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 20/1
Jeff Gordon 20/1
Jamie McMurray 25/1
Kyle Larson 30/1
Kasey Kahne 40/1
Ryan Newman 40/1
Clint Bowyer 50/1
Tony Stewart 80/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Greg Biffle 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100/1
David Ragan 200/1
Aric Almirola 300/1
AJ Allmendinger 500/1
Casey Mears 500/1
Danica Patrick 500/1
Ricky Stenhouse 500/1
Sam Hornish Jr. 500/1
Trevor Bayne 500/1