Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl Prediction
UCF (9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS, 10-3 O/U) faced Ball State (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U) eight years. Now Central Florida looks to bounce back from an overtime loss in the C-USA Championship game to Tulsa, 33-27 in overtime. Ball State is one of the hottest bowl games, having won six straight games. They ended the season with a 31-24 road win over Miami-Ohio giving 8 on Nov. 23. The Ball State Cardinals meet the Central Florida Knights from Tropicana Field on Friday night at 7:30pmET from St. Petersburg, Fla in the Beef O Brady's Bowl.
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed Central Florida as a 7-point favorite over Ball State, while the total is 61.5 in most books. The Knights enter tonight’s game with a 9-4 overall record and the Cardinals finished 9-3 in the regular season.
LINE MOVEMENT: UCF opened as a 7-point favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 63 and moved to 61.5 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Current college football public betting information says that 62% of public bettors are currently backing Ball State. This information is subjected to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for more detailed information.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PICK: Take Central Florida. According to latest college football trends, the Knights are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. MAC.
Ball State has made their living on winning close games. They have won six straight, but covered just three of those. The Cardinals won four games with scores in the last two minutes of regulation or in overtime. Ball State’s losses are to Clemson, Northern Illinois and Kent State - who combined for a 33-5 record - and the Cardinals have averaged 31 points in those games. Quarterback Keith Wenning, who is probable with an Achilles injury which kept him out of the last regular-season game, has completed 65.5 percent of his passes and thrown for 22 touchdowns while averaging 261.2 yards. The Knights have lost to undefeated Ohio State, bowl-bound Tulsa twice and Missouri – three of those by six points or less. Central Florida has been balanced by scoring 31 times on the ground and 25 through the air. RB Latavius Murray has 1,035 yards rushing in 10 games. Quarterback Blake Bortles has thrown 22 touchdown passes with only seven interceptions. Bortles averages more than 200 yards and has completed 62.6 percent of his passes. J.J. Worton, Rannell Hall and Jeff Godfrey all have at least 31 receptions and 400 yards, combining for 11 scores. Central Florida is tied for 16th in the nation in turnover margin plus .85. They should take this game by at least two touchdowns. They are also located less than two hours from Tropicana Field, which will mean a lot of UCF fans at the Beef O Brady's Bowl.
2012 BEEF ‘O’ BRADY’S BOWL FREE PICK: CENTRAL FLORIDA -7