Alabama vs. Arkansas Total Pick
The undefeated Alabama Crimson Tide will most certainly pick up another victory on Saturday when they visit the 1-4 Arkansas Razorbacks at 12:00 p.m. ET. The question is: Will ‘Bama cash another over for bettors?
12:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 6, 2018
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Crimson Tide are 35-point favorites to beat the Razorbacks. The total, meanwhile, sits at 57 points. As of this writing, 69% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Crimson Tide.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama sophomore QB Tua Tagovailoa completed 8-of-8 passes for 128 yards and two touchdowns in Saturday's 56-14 win over UL-Lafayette. Tagovailoa's (6'1/218) incredible campaign continued and for the full season he's completed 66-of-88 passes (75 percent) for 1161 yards, 14 touchdowns and no interceptions. You have to wonder what kind of numbers he could put up if he played anywhere near the full game as he's been routinely pulled early in blowouts. That doesn't figure to change over the next couple of weeks either as they play Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. The game that could lock up Tua's top-tier Heisman candidacy will be a matchup with LSU on November 3rd.
Arkansas junior QB Ty Storey completed 14-of-26 passes for 193 yards, one touchdown and an interception in Saturday's 24-17 loss to Texas A&M. Arkansas' offense is one of the very worst in the Power 5. Today, it didn't reach 200 yards from scrimmage until a frenzied comeback attempt late in the fourth quarter. Storey's leash should be quite short going forward, but Cole Kelley only entered in subpackages this afternoon. Arkansas will act as Alabama's next sacrificial lamb next weekend.
The over cashed in five of Alabama’s last six games overall.
The under is 4-0 in the Razorbacks’ last four games overall.
This Alabama offense is a juggernaut, ranking first in the nation in points scored (54.2 per game), fifth in total yards per game (553.2), 11th in passing yards per game (335.8) and 29th in rushing yards per game (217.4). The Razorbacks are allowing 31.2 points per game defensively so it’s feasible the Tide score another 50 on their own. Can Arkansas contribute 10 points? It might be too much to ask against this ‘Bama defense but the only play here is the over.
College Football Prediction: Alabama/Arkansas over 58.5