Timberwolves vs. Heat Prediction
Will the Miami Heat be able to cover a small spread at home when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight at 6PM ET?
551 Minnesota Timberwolves vs. 552 Miami Heat
Sunday, December 30, 2018
6PM ET – American Airlines Arena
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Heat are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -4 points against the Timberwolves. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 208 points. The public betting for this game currently has 56 percent going on the Heat at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Timberwolves coming off loss
The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a 123-120 OT loss to Atlanta at home on Friday. That snapped a two-game win streak. Minnesota is 16-19 on the season, 4-13 on the road, 18-17 against the spread and 19-16 with the under.
Offensively, Minnesota puts up 111.4 points per game this season while shooting 45 percent from the field and 36 percent from the arc. Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 111.5 points per game while opponents shoot 37.3 percent from the arc against them. Both Jeff Teague and Derrick Rose are listed as doubtful for tonight’s game due to ankle injuries. Karl-Anthony Towns is leading the team with 21.2 points and 11.8 rebounds per game while Andrew Wiggins is adding 16.6 points per game.
Heat on fire
Miami is coming off a 118-94 win at home over Cleveland. The Heat have won six of their last seven games, covering the spread in all seven contests. They are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10. The Heat are 17-17 on the season, 8-10 at home, 20-14 against the spread and 18-16 with the over.
The Heat have been a great defensive team, allowing just 105.9 points per game while holding opponents to 43.8 percent shooting. Over their last five games, they have held opponents to just 95.4 points per game. Offensively, the Heat are putting up just 106.7 points per game while shooting 43.7 percent from the field. Josh Richardson is leading the team with 18.4 points per game while Hassan Whiteside is adding 13.2 points and 12.8 rebounds per contest.
NBA Betting Trends
The Timberwolves are 2-7-1 against the spread in their last 10 against Southeast Division opponents and 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a failed cover.
The Heat have covered in eight of their last nine conference games and in four straight against losing teams.
The Miami Heat are really rolling right now and I expect them to continue that against Minnesota. The Timberwolves have struggled on the road for most of the season and have just been inconsistent all year. The Heat’s defense should keep Minnesota in check and allow their offense to not have to get into a track meet to win tonight.
NBA Prediction: Miami Heat -4