Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction
Can the Denver Nuggets defend their home turf when they play host to the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight at 9PM ET?
563 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 564 Denver Nuggets
Saturday, December 14, 2019
9PM ET – Pepsi Center
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Denver is favored in this game, as the Nuggets are getting odds of -6.5 points against the Thunder. The over/under total is listed at 205 points. The public betting currently has 67 percent going on the Nuggets as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Thunder continue road trip
Oklahoma City is playing its fourth straight road game tonight. They are coming off a 94-93 loss at Sacramento on Wednesday to end a three-game win streak. The Thunder have covered in four straight games. Oklahoma City is 11-13 on the season, 4-8 on the road, 16-8 against the spread and 15-9 with the under.
OKC is average on offense and defense this season. The Thunder give up 107.2 points per game and hold opponents to 45.2 percent shooting. Offensively, they put up 107.8 points per game while shooting 46.3 percent from the field. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is leading OKC this year with 18.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. Chris Paul is adding 15.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.
Nuggets end skid
Denver had lost three straight games on the road, but returned home on Thursday and picked up a 114-99 win over Portland. The Nuggets are 15-8 on the season, 9-3 at home, 10-11-2 against the spread and 17-6 with the under.
The Nuggets are one of the stronger defensive teams in the league, allowing just 101.6 points per game while holding opponents to 43.6 percent shooting from the field and 30.8 percent shooting from the arc. Offensively, Denver is putting up 106.2 points per game while shooting 44.7 percent from the field and 35.7 percent from the arc. The Nuggets are led by Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 16.2 points, 10.0 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game. Jamal Murray is adding 17.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest.
NBA Betting Trends
The Thunder have covered the spread in four straight road games and in eight of their last 10 as an underdog.
The Nuggets are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven home games, but just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven Saturday games.
These two haven’t met this season, but Denver has been very strong against the Thunder. The Nuggets have covered in nine straight encounters in this series. But, all streak must come to an end and I think Oklahoma City finds a way to cover tonight. The Thunder have been competitive this season, even in most losses. Denver isn’t an explosive team that isn’t going to overwhelm most teams. They like a lower-scoring game, which makes it harder to cover big spreads. I like OKC’s scoring depth to help it on the road to cover this spread. I think they can find a hot hand to get the job done.
NBA Prediction: Oklahoma City +6.5