Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction
Are the Warriors a good bet to cover against the Nuggets tonight at 9:00PM ET playing on back-to-back nights?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Warriors are 6.5-point home favorites versus the Nuggets while the over/under currently sits at 221.5 points. Golden State enters play tonight with a 6-2 record overall and a 3-5 mark against the spread, while Denver is 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS.
WARRIORS KEY TRENDS: The Warriors are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games versus Northwest opponents and for one reason or another, they've enjoyed playing on Thursday, covering the number in 12 of their last 14 games played on this day. That said, they're just 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games overall and are 1-4 at the betting window in their last five road games.
NUGGETS KEY TRENDS: The Nuggets have covered in four of their last five games overall and have been a great play coming off a loss, covering in all five of their last five games following a defeat. They're also 4-1 against the spread in their lat five games versus Western Conference opponents but they've struggled to cover at home, going 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven games in Denver.
OUR PREDICTION: The only other time the Warriors played on no rest, they lost by 20 at the Lakers earlier this month. The Warriors are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games versus the Nuggets overall and the underdog has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams. Emmanuel Mudiay scored a season-high 30 points in the Nuggets' win over the Celtics on Sunday and came back with 23 against the Grizzlies. While Kevin Durant is settling in nicely with his new team, leading the Warriors in points per game (28.8) and field goal percentage (58.2), this is a good spot to grab the home dog.
THURSDAY NBA FREE PICK: DENVER NUGGETS +6.5