Heat vs. Lakers Game 1, 9/30/20 NBA Finals Betting Predictions

Heat vs. Lakers Game 1 Prediction

Game 1 of the 2020 NBA Finals will take place tonight in Orlando when LeBron and the Lakers battle Jimmy Butler and the Heat at 9:00 p.m. ET. With the Lakers listed as a 5-point favorite and the total sitting at 217.5, what’s the best play for bettors?

Game Snapshot

701 Miami Heat (+5) vs. 702 Los Angeles Lakers (-5); o/u 217.5

9:00 p.m. ET, Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Game 1, NBA Finals

Miami Heat DFS Spin

Bam Adebayo said he needs to be smarter about avoiding "ticky-tack" fouls against the Lakers while staying active on defense. "We can't just let them get free layups and get in motion," said Bam. "That's when everything starts clicking for them." Foul trouble wasn't a major issue for Adebayo during the regular season, but he averaged 3.3 fouls during the Eastern Conference Finals, and the Lakers will make it a point to go right at Bam to force the refs to make some tough decisions. Hopefully, he will be able to avoid foul trouble, because the matchup between Bam and Anthony Davis will be a pleasure to watch.

Los Angeles Lakers DFS Spin

Anthony Davis (ankle), LeBron James (groin), Danny Green (finger) and Alex Caruso (wrist) are all probable for Game 1 of the Finals vs. Miami on Wednesday. We'd expect these guys to be "probable" for the remainder of the series, and it's possible Frank Vogel will add another few guys to the probable report as we progress through these final 4-7 games. Rajon Rondo isn't even being listed on the injury report, so for now, it looks like the back issues are behind him.

Heat vs. Lakers Game 1 Betting Prediction

The Heat are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 games overall, have covered in seven of their last 10 games as an underdog and are 10-3 against the number in their last 13 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous contest. The Lakers, meanwhile, are just 7-15-1 at the betting window in their last 23 NBA Championship games, are 2-5 against the number in their last seven games playing on three or more days of rest and have failed to cover in five of the last six times they played on Wednesday.

2020 NBA FINALS BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +5