NBA Predictions: Will Pacers win as home dog vs. Warriors? 4/5/18

Warriors vs. Pacers Pick

Can the host Indiana Pacers take down the powerful Golden State Warriors tonight when they meet at 7PM ET?

701 Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers, 7PM ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Warriors are a 2-point favorite on the spread line. The total sits at 209.5 points.

Bet NBA Action For Thursday, April 5, 2018

LINE MOVEMENT

Golden State opened as a 1.5-point favorite, while the total has slip down after opening at 213.5 points. The Warriors are at -2 at most books, but can be found up to -3 if you shop around. The over-under is 209.5 at almost all sportsbooks, but is also available at 209.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of Thursday afternoon, 83 percent of public bets are pouring in on Golden State. Online wager info also says that 62 percent of bets are being placed on the over.

INJURY TO WATCH

Warriors small forward Kevon Looney (flu) and point guard Shaun Livingston (personal) are both probable to play tonight. Power forward Draymond Green (ankle) is questionable. Small forward Andre Iguodala (knee) is out. Small forward Chris Boucher (ankle), shooting guard Patrick McCaw (back) and small forward Omri Casspi (ankle) are all out indefinitely. Point guard Steph Curry (knee) is out until late April. For the Pacers, there are no injuries to report.

BETTING STRATEGY

So we have one team in Golden State that is without at least one if not two of its star players including arguably its most important player in Curry, plus a slew of injuries to role players. And then on the other side, we have a team with no injuries and at home. Sure, the Warriors are the better team when healthy and still have more star power on the floor. But Golden State has absolutely nothing to play for right now other than to get tuned up for the postseason. Indiana can still play for seeding and with the home crowd, will be way up for this game. I really like the home team here.

NBA DAILY PREDICTION: INDIANA PACERS +2

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