Heat vs. Pistons Prediction

NBA Predictions: Heat a trap bet against Pistons on Tuesday? 3/28/17

Are the Heat a risky play tonight in Detroit where they'll take on the Pistons at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Pistons are now 2.5-point home underdogs versus the Heat after the game opened as a pick'em. As for the total, the number hit the board at 207.5 but has been bet all the way down to 202.

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Miami enters play tonight with a 6-4 record over its last 10 games and is 8-2 against the number during that span. The Heat are also 44-28 at the betting window this season, including 22-14 against the spread on the road this year.

Detroit is scuffling, dropping seven of its last 10 games overall and going 3-7 at the betting window during that stretch. The Pistons are also 34-40 against the spread on the season, but have been a good bet at home (22-15 ATS).

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OUR PREDICTION: The home team is 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 meetings between these two teams while the Heat have failed to cover in four of their last five games in Auburn Hills. The Pistons are also a perfect 9-0 against the spread in their last nine home games when playing a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, are 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 home games, and are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games when playing an opponent with a losing road record.

TUESDAY NBA PREDICTION: DETROIT PISTONS +2.5

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