NBA Predictions: Will Heat Upset Cavs as Home Underdog? 3/27/18

Cavs vs. Heat Prediction

Will the Miami Heat upset the Cleveland Cavaliers as a home underdog Tuesday night when the two teams square off at 8:00 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(769) Cleveland Cavaliers at (770) Miami Heat

Tuesday, March 27, 2018

TV: TNT, 8:00 p.m. ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager, the Cavs are 3.5-point road favorites to beat the Heat, while the over/under currently sits at 218.5 points.

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LINE MOVEMENT

Miami opened as 4-point home underdogs but the line has dropped to 3.5 at the majority of online sportsbooks. As for the total, it opened at 218.5 and that's where it currently sits.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of this writing, 79% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cavs to cover the spread tonight. Meanwhile, 73% of the betting tickets wagered online are on the over.

KEY INJURY TO WATCH

Kyle Korver (personal), Jeff Green (illness) and Cedi Osman (hip) are all out for the Cavaliers. On the other side, Hassan Whiteside (hip) is out and Dwyane Wade (undisclosed) is questionable to face his former team.

BETTING STRATEGY

The home team has been a great bet in this series, covering the spread in 11 of the last 14 meetings. The Cavs have also struggled to cover in Miami, posting a 1-5 ATS record in their last six trips to South Beach. Meanwhile, the Heat are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six home games, are 15-3-3 at the betting window in their last 21 games when facing an opponent with a winning record, and are 12-4-3 against the spread in their last 19 games overall.

 

OUR PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +3.5