NBA Predictions: Will Celtics cover vs. Heat as home favorite? 3/26/17

Heat vs. Celtics Prediction

Will the Celtics cover as a home favorite this evening when they host the Heat at 6:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Celtics are 5.5-point home favorites versus the Heat while the over/under currently sits at 210.5 points.

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Miami has won seven of its last 10 games entering play this evening and is 8-2 against the spread during that span. The Heat are an impressive 43-28 against the number on the season, making them one of the best ATS teams in the league this year. They're also 21-14 against the spread on the road.

Boston has also won seven of its last 10 games but is just 5-5 at the betting window over that same stretch. The Celtics are 37-34 against the spread on the season, but just 16-19 against the number at home. They're 26-9 straight up at TD Garden this season.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Heat are just 17-35 against the spread in their last 52 games versus the Celtics and are 5-15 against the number in their last 20 games in Boston. While they own a losing ATS record at home overall this season, the Celtics have covered in five of their last six home games and are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. For all their success against the spread this season, for one reason or another the Heat are still just 1-6 against the number in their last seven games played on Sunday.

 

SUNDAY NBA PREDICTION: BOSTON CELTICS -5.5