NBA Predictions: Will Heat cover as home favorite vs. Raptors? 3/23/17

Raptors vs. Heat Prediction

Will the Heat cover as a home favorite tonight against the Raptors when the two teams square off at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Heat are 4.5-point home favorites versus the Raptors after opening as 3-point favorites. As for the total, the number hit the board at 203 and has been bet up to 204.

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Toronto has won six of its last 10 games entering play tonight and has split at the betting window over those 10 contests. They've also won four of their last five games, including a 122-120 victory over the Bulls as a 7.5-point home favorite on Tuesday night. DeMar DeRozan had 42 points with eight assists and seven rebounds in the victory.

Miami has won seven of its last 10 games and is 8-2 against the spread during that stretch. In their 112-97 win over the Suns as 11.5-point favorites on Tuesday night, Hassan Whiteside finished with 23 points and a team-high 14 rebounds while Goran Dragic scored 16 points with four boards.

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OUR PREDICTION: The favorite is a perfect 6-0 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams and so is the home team. The Heat are also 11-1 against the spread in their last 12 games versus an opponent with a winning record, are 21-5-1 against the number in their last 27 games coming off a win, and are 16-4-1 against the spread in their last 21 games playing on one day of rest. On the other side, the Raptors are just 4-9 against the number in their last 13 conference games and have lost six of their last seven games at the betting window following a win.

 

THURSDAY NBA PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT -4.5