NBA Predictions: Will Warriors Cover Spread vs. Spurs as Underdog? 3/19/18

Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction

Will the Golden State Warriors cover the point spread Monday night as a heavy road underdog when they visit the San Antonio Spurs at 9:30 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(613) Golden State Warriors at (614) San Antonio Spurs

Monday, March 19, 2018

TV: ESPN, 9:30 p.m. ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager, the Spurs are 6.5-point home favorites to beat the Warriors, while the over/under currently sits at 206.5 points.

Bet This Matchup & Other NBA Games

LINE MOVEMENT

San Antonio opened as 6.5-point home favorites so the line has not moved off the original number. The total has moved only slightly, going from 206 up to 206.5

PUBLIC BETTING

As of this writing, 69% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Spurs to cover the spread. Meanwhile, 93% of the betting tickets are also on the over tonight.

KEY INJURY TO WATCH

The Warriors will once again be without Kevin Durant (rib), Klay Thompson (thumb) and Stephen Curry (ankle). The Spurs are still without Kawhi Leonard (quad).

BETTING STRATEGY

Even without the trio of Durant, Thompson and Curry, this is too many points to lay to a talented Golden State team that has a nice bench. The Warriors have also owned this matchup from a betting standpoint, cashing in four straight games against the Spurs in San Antonio and in five of their last six games overall. The road team has had success in this series too, covering in four of the last five meetings. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and are 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games coming off a win of more than 10 points.

 

OUR PREDICTION: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS +6.5