Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Odds

Warriors vs. Grizzlies 3/18/23 NBA Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

The seventh-seeded Warriors travel to Memphis to take on the third-seeded Grizzlies on NBA TV Saturday night at 8:00 PM ET. Can the Grizzlies cover the 4.5-point spread as home favorites?

The Golden State Warriors are 36-35 on the season. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Warriors are 33-37-1 ATS on the year.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 42-27 on the season. They’re 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Grizzlies are 32-35-2 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

539 Golden State Warriors (+4.5) at 540 Memphis Grizzlies (-4.5); O/U 236.5

8:00 PM ET, Saturday, March 18, 2023

FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 79% of public bettors are currently backing the Warriors +4.5 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.

Golden State Warriors DFS Spin

Golden State small forward Andrew Wiggins is still out while dealing with a personal issue. Wiggins hasn’t played since February 13th, and there’s no timetable for his return. Wiggins is fourth on Golden State in scoring with 17.1 points per game.

Warriors superstar point guard Stephen Curry has been on a hot streak lately. The former #7 overall pick is averaging 34.2 points per contest in 7 March games this month. In that same span, he’s shooting 55.4% from the field and an astronomical 51.4% from three-point land. You may have to pay a steep price for Stephen Curry in DFS but he may be worth it Saturday if he records his fifth 30-point game this month.   

Memphis Grizzlies DFS Spin

Memphis star point guard Ja Morant is serving an eight-game suspension and won’t be eligible to return until Monday. He’ll remain out of the lineup for the Grizzlies on Saturday. Morant had been having a tremendous statistical season before the suspension. He was putting up 27.1 points, 6 rebounds, 8.2 assists, 1.1 steals, and 1.6 made three-pointers per game for the Grizzlies this year. 

Memphis point guard Tyus Jones has been starting in Morant’s absence, and he’s filled the star guard's shoes admirably. The former Duke Blue Devil is averaging 16.9 points, 7.7 assists, and 1.6 steals per game since Morant was suspended. He might be a nice value play against a Golden State team that ranks 25th in the NBA in opponent’s points per game.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA Betting Trends

Golden State is 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.

Golden State is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team with a home winning percentage over .600.

Golden State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against the Grizzlies in Memphis.

Memphis is 41-18-1 ATS in their last 60 home games.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies NBA Prediction

These two teams just played each other in Memphis on March 9th. The Grizzlies won that game easily by a score of 131-110. The Grizzlies have the fifth-best ATS record as a home team this year at 20-12-1. Conversely, Golden State has the worst ATS record in the league as a road team at 8-26. These two teams’ straight-up records tell a similar story. Memphis is 28-5 at home straight up this season and Golden State is an abysmal 7-28 straight up on the road this year. The Grizzlies might not have Ja Morant, but they’ve gone 4-3 without him since he got suspended and they have a perfect 2-0 record at home during that span. I’ll take the great home team against the poor road team in this one. 

NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -4.5

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