Bucks vs. Warriors 3/11/23 NBA Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Bucks vs. Warriors Prediction & Odds

The top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks head to San Francisco to take on the seventh-seeded Warriors on ABC Saturday night at 8:30 PM ET. Can the Warriors cover the 1-point spread as home underdogs?

The Milwaukee Bucks are 48-18 on the season. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games. The Bucks are 37-25-4 ATS on the year.

The Golden State Warriors are 34-33 on the season. They’re 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Warriors are 31-35-1 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

529 Milwaukee Bucks (-1) at 530 Golden State Warriors (+1); O/U 231.5

8:30 PM ET, Saturday, March 11, 2023

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Bucks vs. Warriors Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 50% of public bettors are currently backing the Bucks -1 in this contest. Note that these numbers are subject to change, so be sure to check the link to receive the most up-to-date public betting data.

Milwaukee Bucks DFS Spin

Bucks superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo missed Milwaukee’s last game with right hand soreness and he’s officially listed as questionable for Saturday’s tilt with Golden State. Antetokounmpo is averaging 31.2 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game for the Bucks this season.

Milwaukee point guard Jrue Holiday has been great in most DFS formats this season. The UCLA alum is averaging 19.7 points, 7.3 assists, 5 rebounds, 1.2 steals, and 2.4 made three-pointers per game for the Bucks this year. He could be in for a big day against a Warriors defense that ranks 25th in the NBA in opponent points per game.

Golden State Warriors DFS Spin

Golden State forwards Andrew Wiggins and Jonathan Kuminga won’t play Saturday night against Milwaukee. Wiggins is dealing with a personal matter and Kuminga is nursing an ankle injury. The two forwards combined to average 26.3 points per game for the Warriors this season.

Warriors guard Klay Thompson is probable for Saturday’s game. He had been nursing a right knee injury. He wouldn’t be a bad addition to your DFS lineups if you need shooting. Thompson is second in the NBA to his teammate Steph Curry in made three-pointers per game with 4.3 and the Washington State alum is converting a sizzling 40.7% of his treys on 10.6 attempts per game. 

Bucks vs. Warriors NBA Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.

Milwaukee is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Milwaukee is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on the road against Golden State.

Golden State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following an outright loss.

Bucks vs. Warriors NBA Prediction

Milwaukee has the best straight-up record in the NBA at 48-28 and they’re tied for the best straight-up road record in the league at 20-12. The Bucks are top 10 in the NBA in points scored and points allowed, and they rank third in the league in average scoring margin. 

Golden State is known for its three-point shooting, but Milwaukee ranks second in the league in opponent three-point percentage. Milwaukee’s opponents only shoot 34.3% on average from beyond the arc. Furthermore, Milwaukee ranks first in the league in opponent effective field goal percentage and opponent true shooting percentage. The Bucks are elite at challenging opposing teams’ shots. I think they utilize their excellent shooting defense to great effect on Saturday and win this game outright on the road. 

NBA BETTING PREDICTION: MILWAUKEE BUCKS -1