NBA Predictions: Why the under is a good bet in Rockets vs. Mavs 3/11/18

Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction

The Houston Rockets had their winning streak snapped last night but they'll try to get back on track tonight when they visit the Dallas Mavericks at 7:00 p.m. ET.

Game Snapshot

(811) Houston Rockets at (812) Dallas Mavericks

Sunday, March 11, 2018

TV: N/A, 7:00 p.m. ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager, the Rockets are 9.5-point road favorites to beat the Mavericks tonight. The total, meanwhile, sits at 211.5 points at the majority of online sportsbooks.

Bet This Matchup & Other NBA Games

LINE MOVEMENT

Houston opened as a 12-point favorite at some books but the line has dropped to 9.5 at the majority of places. As for the total, the number hit the board at 215 but has dropped to 211.5.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of this writing, 70% of betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rockets to cover the nearly double-digit point spread. Meanwhile, 72% of the betting tickets are on the over.

KEY INJURY TO WATCH

James Harden is doubtful tonight due to a knee injury while Ryan Anderson (hip) is out for the Rockets. Dennis Smith Jr. is probable to play for the Mavericks despite dealing with a knee injury.

BETTING STRATEGY

The under has been a great bet in this series and without Harden playing for Houston, I like it even more. The Rockets had their 17-game winning streak burst last night by the Raptors so we could see a checked out Houston squad offensively. The under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last five meetings in Dallas. The under is also 4-1 in the Rockets' last five road games, is 13-4 in their last 17 conference matchups, and has hit in 17 of their last 25 games overall. On the other side, the under is 7-1 in Dallas' last eight games when facing an opponent with a winning record and is 42-20-1 in its last 63 games coming off a win.

 

OUR PREDICTION: ROCKETS/MAVERICKS UNDER 211.5