Cavs vs. Heat Prediction & Odds

Cavs vs. Heat, 3/10/23 NBA Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

The Cavs have struggled against the Heat from an ATS standpoint but Miami has been a disaster at the window of late. What’s the smart ATS play tonight when these two teams meet at 8:00 p.m. ET?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

507 Cleveland Cavs (-1.5) at 508 Miami Heat (+1.5); o/u 214

8:00 p.m. ET, Friday, March 10, 2023

Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL

Cavs vs. Heat Public Betting Information

Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 58% of public bettors are currently backing the Cavs when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Cleveland Cavs DFS Spin

Darius Garland led the Cavaliers to a 104-100 win over the Heat on Wednesday with a line of 25 points (8-of-16 FGs, 6-of-6 FTs), seven assists, two steals, and three 3-pointers in 39 minutes. All five Cavs starters hit double figures Wednesday night, with Garland being the best of the quintet. He's scored 20 or more in three of his last four games, his most productive stretch since late January when he met or exceeded that number in six straight. Garland's good night helped make up for Donovan Mitchell shooting 7-of-18 from the field and finishing with 18 points (four rebounds, four assists, two steals, and one 3-pointer). But Mitchell did manage to make franchise history, surpassing J.R. Smith for the most made 3-pointers in a season. Jarrett Allen (15/12/2/1/1), Evan Mobley (15/6/6/1/2), and Isaac Okoro (13/0/2/2 with three 3-pointers) also hit double figures for the Cavaliers.

Miami Heat DFS Spin

Jimmy Butler shot 8-of-14 from the field and 12-of-15 from the foul line in Wednesday's 104-100 loss to the Cavaliers, scoring 28 points with five rebounds, five assists, two steals, and one blocked shot in 35 minutes. Two nights removed from shooting 8-of-14 from the field in a win over the Hawks, Butler duplicated that feat Wednesday night. He's scored 26 or more in four of his last seven games, providing top-25 per-game value in 9-cat formats over the last two weeks. Butler has now cracked the first round in season-long value; production has never been the concern for fantasy managers, availability is. Butler hasn't missed a game since January 24, and this is why he's now a first-round player. Tyler Herro (22/5/5/2 with four 3-pointers) and Bam Adebayo (17/1/1/0/2) also hit double figures, but the latter somehow grabbed just one rebound in 28 minutes.

Cavs vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends

Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Miami

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 road games

Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 overall

Cavs vs. Heat NBA Prediction:

The Heat are just 5-16 against the spread in their last 21 games overall, are 10-26-1 against the number in their last 37 home games and are 5-17-1 at the betting window in their last 23 home games versus a team with a losing road record. On the other side, the Cavs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, are 5-2 against the number in their last seven road games and are 7-3 at the betting window in their last 10 games coming off a win.


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